FORZE Reload vs Butterfly Prediction: NODWIN Clutch Series 14 Odds & Stats (Nov 12, 2026)

FORZE Reload logo

FORZE Reload7-3 last 10World #121
7:00 AM ETThu, Nov 12Win % 55–45
Butterfly logo

Butterfly7-3 last 10World #119

CS2 · NODWIN Clutch Series 14 · B-tier · Bo3 · Thu, Nov 12, 12:00 PM UK / 7:00 AM ET

Team Match Map 1
FORZE Reload 1.68 1.85
Butterfly 2.05 1.85

Decimal prices. They move, so check your book before you bet.

FORZE Reload vs Butterfly prediction

The market makes FORZE Reload the favourite at 55% once the bookmaker’s margin is taken out. FORZE Reload won 7 of its last 10 series and Butterfly 7 of its last 10. Check the roster first: Butterfly may be using a stand-in (nitzie).

Butterfly: nitzie looks like a stand-inFORZE Reload: 0d restFORZE Reload: 7 series in 14dButterfly: 1d restButterfly: 6 series in 14d

Top FORZE Reload vs Butterfly player props

Player Prop Price Hit rate
nitzie Over 31.5 maps 1-2 kills Pick’em 7/10
Lack1 Over 27.5 maps 1-2 kills Pick’em 7/10
Forester Over 14.5 maps 1-2 headshots Pick’em 7/10
HeCkBNk Over 31.5 maps 1-2 kills Pick’em 6/10
Lack1 Over 15.5 maps 1-2 headshots Pick’em 5/10
ayano Over 16.5 maps 1-2 headshots Pick’em 5/10

Storylines

FORZE Reload

Best map: Cache, 80% across 10 maps.

Worst map: Overpass, 20% across 10 maps.

Butterfly

Fights back: won 14 of 47 maps after trailing by 4 or more rounds.

Best map: Mirage, 75% across 12 maps.

Worst map: Inferno, 28% across 18 maps.

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Recent form

FORZE Reload

Won 2-1 ACES CCT Europe 2026 Series 13
Won 2-0 MSC CCT Europe 2026 Series 14
Won 2-0 ex-RUSTEC NODWIN Clutch Series 14
Won 2-0 MOUZ.N European Pro League Series 10
Lost 0-2 NXS CCT Europe 2026 Series 13

Butterfly

Won 2-0 ex-UPGRADE NODWIN Clutch Series 14
Won 2-1 Honvéd CCT Europe 2026 Series 14
Won 2-1 NXS CCT Europe 2026 Series 13
Won 2-0 MB CCT Europe 2026 Series 13
Won 2-1 megoshort CCT Europe 2026 Series 13

Team comparison

FORZE ReloadButterfly
54%Map win rate55%

n=137 / 93 maps

51%CT round win56%

n=1516 / 1010 rounds

50%T round win46%

n=1484 / 983 rounds

46%Pistol win49%

n=271 / 185 pistols

13%Clutch conversion14%

n=1521 / 1012 attempts · all teams 12%

52%Trade kill after first death47%

n=1458 / 932 rounds · all teams 52%

16%Overtime rate9%

n=136 / 93 maps

Comebacks and pistols

FORZE ReloadButterfly
29%Won map after trailing by 3+37%

n=85 / 62 maps trailed

19%Won map after trailing by 5+7%

n=53 / 30 maps trailed

43%Won map after losing a pistol47%

n=68 / 49 pistols lost · all teams 42%

65%Won map after winning a pistol64%

n=68 / 44 pistols won · all teams 58%

22%Won series after losing map 138%

n=27 / 16 series

Economy

Round win rate by team equipment value, pistol rounds left out.

FORZE ReloadButterfly
7%Eco (under $5k)7%

n=187 / 141 rounds

21%Semi buy ($5-10k)28%

n=126 / 96 rounds

47%Force buy ($10-20k)40%

n=341 / 254 rounds

58%Full buy ($20k+)60%

n=2075 / 1317 rounds

How their rounds end

Share of the rounds each team won.

FORZE ReloadButterfly
64%Elimination64%

n=1529 / 1023 rounds won · all teams 66%

19%Bomb exploded18%

n=1529 / 1023 rounds won · all teams 17%

14%Defuse13%

n=1529 / 1023 rounds won · all teams 13%

4%Time ran out5%

n=1529 / 1023 rounds won · all teams 4%

What each team gives up

Last 60 days FORZE Reload Butterfly
Kills allowed per map 68.7 #47 of 239 69.6 #58 of 239
Headshots allowed per map 36.8 #91 of 239 36.9 #98 of 239
Enemy ADR 69.4 #22 of 239 73.2 #116 of 239

Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a higher number is a softer matchup for player overs.

Head to head

FORZE Reload 0-1 Butterfly in the meetings we track.

2026-10-29 Butterfly won 2-1 CCT Europe 2026 Series 12

Map pool

FORZE Reload Butterfly
Map Win CT T Pistol Rounds Win CT T Pistol Rounds
Dust2 62% 34 50% 56% 46% 21.9 63% 19 58% 48% 50% 22.3
Ancient 56% 32 50% 52% 49% 22.4 47% 17 46% 54% 48% 19.4
Mirage 45% 22 50% 47% 41% 21.5 75% 12 67% 45% 67% 21.5
Nuke 46% 13 59% 41% 54% 25.2 67% 21 66% 41% 48% 21.6
Inferno – – – – – 28% 18 47% 42% 44% 21.8
Anubis 54% 13 43% 54% 31% 21.7 0% 1 42% 50% 0% 24.0
Overpass 20% 10 47% 39% 35% 22.7 – – – – –
Cache 100% 1 91% 25% 50% 23.0 60% 5 52% 56% 40% 22.4

Win rate with maps played beside it, round win by side, pistol win and average rounds. Maps either team played at least 3 times.

Rounds per map, last 10

WonLost

FORZE Reload

23Anu
30Anu
18Dus
19Anc
21Dus
24Dus
16Cac
24Mir
17Nuk
35Anc

Average 22.7 rounds a map, margin +4.1 (last 10).

Butterfly

29Mir
20Nuk
19Dus
21Inf
16Anc
22Mir
24Cac
24Dus
19Cac
23Nuk

Average 21.7 rounds a map, margin +2.5 (last 10).

Player form

Averages per map over each player’s last 10 maps with the team.

FORZE Reload

Player Maps Kills Deaths ADR KAST HS% First kills
YumsaN 10 19.0 12.5 87.5 74 28 4.3
HeCkBNk 10 17.0 12.8 73.8 82 62 2.0
KusMe 10 15.3 13.4 80.3 81 54 2.2
Lack1 10 15.0 14.6 72.4 73 56 2.0
bl1x1 10 14.8 14.3 72.2 79 57 1.9

Not seen in the last 5 series: ALONEINTOKYO 剣聖, floyd, maloii, Kaide, relaxxie.

Butterfly

Player Maps Kills Deaths ADR KAST HS% First kills
Krad 10 17.4 15.3 89.6 70 61 2.7
nitzie Stand-in 10 17.0 13.4 79.2 73 33 3.5
zealot 10 14.1 14.9 74.5 71 62 2.7
Forester 10 13.7 13.8 74.6 68 53 2.5
ayano 10 12.7 13.9 65.5 72 64 1.4

Not seen in the last 5 series: Qioke, k1ssly, kinqie.

Stats vs markets

How each team’s recent results grade the posted prices. The bar is the team’s rate, the tick is the market’s chance with the margin taken out. Small samples swing a lot.

Series winnerthunderpick
FORZE Reload1.68Butterfly2.05
FORZE Reload+15 vs market70%

7-3 last 10market 55%

Butterfly+25 vs market70%

7-3 last 10market 45%

Map 1 winnerthunderpick
FORZE Reload1.85Butterfly1.85
FORZE Reload+1 vs market51%

31/61 map 1s wonmarket 50%

Butterfly+6 vs market56%

20/36 map 1s wonmarket 50%

Map 2 winnerthunderpick
FORZE Reload1.65Butterfly2.10
FORZE Reload+3 vs market59%

35/59 map 2s wonmarket 56%

Butterfly+9 vs market53%

20/38 map 2s wonmarket 44%

Map 3 winnerthunderpick
FORZE Reload1.72Butterfly2.00
FORZE Reload-10 vs market44%

7/16 map 3+s wonmarket 54%

Butterfly+12 vs market58%

11/19 map 3+s wonmarket 46%

Odds board

Match lines

Series winner FORZE Reload 1.68 Butterfly 2.05

Map 1

Winner FORZE Reload 1.85 Butterfly 1.85
Map 2 1 market
Winner FORZE Reload 1.65 Butterfly 2.10
Map 3 1 market
Winner FORZE Reload 1.72 Butterfly 2.00

Decimal prices from thunderpick. They move, so check your book before you bet.

More: All CS2 predictions · Esports · CS2 scores · CS2 prop picks · Pistol round lab

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favoured in FORZE Reload vs Butterfly?

The market has FORZE Reload at 55% once the bookmaker’s margin is removed. That is the price, not a guarantee.

When is FORZE Reload vs Butterfly?

Thu, Nov 12 at 12:00 PM UK, 7:00 AM ET, in NODWIN Clutch Series 14, best of 3.

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