Barcelona vs Aston Villa Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 3, 2026)

How the bets settled

Match report

Barcelona beat Aston Villa 3-0 after Lamine Yamal scored in the seventh minute and Raphinha added two second-half goals, assisted by Fermin and J. Cancelo. Barcelona had one yellow card to Aston Villa’s three.

Barcelona’s 1.97 expected goals compared with Villa’s 0.71, while the shot count was 16 to 9, possession 65% to 35%, and big chances 5 to 1; Villa had one shot on target. Before the match, Villa had won all three with over 2.5 goals in 100% of matches and both teams scoring in 67%, while Barcelona’s both teams to score and over 2.5 rates were each 87%; the both teams to score yes price was -285. Barcelona’s form was LWWWL and Villa’s WWW. Raphinha’s brace and Yamal’s early goal decided the key attacking matchups.

How the props finished

1 of 8 cleared

Player	Line	Price	Result
Lamine Yamal	Over 1.5 fouls won	-195 DraftKings	2 Cleared
Ibrahim Mbaye	Over 0.5 shots on target	-105 DraftKings	0 Missed
Pedri	Over 1.5 fouls won	-125 DraftKings	0 Missed
Gerard Martín	Over 0.5 fouls won	-150 DraftKings	0 Missed
Nicolas Jackson	Over 0.5 shots on target	-175 DraftKings	0 Missed
Marc Bernal	Over 0.5 fouls won	-185 DraftKings	0 Missed
João Cancelo	Over 0.5 yellow card	+390 DraftKings	0 Missed
Anthony Gordon	Anytime goal	+145 Fanatics	0 Missed

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the match, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

Goals

• 7′ Lamine Yamal Barcelona
• 52′ Raphinha, assist Fermin Barcelona
• 64′ Raphinha, assist J. Cancelo Barcelona

How the key matchups went

• Lamine Yamal: 5 shots, 2 shots on target, 2 fouls won. Maatsen: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 1 yellow card.
• Gordon: 3 shots, 1 shot on target, 2 fouls won. Cash: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
• Raphinha: 2 shots, 2 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Lindelof: 0 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards. Torres: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
• McGinn: 0 shots, 0 shots on target, 2 fouls won. Cancelo: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
• Buendia: 0 shots, 0 shots on target, 1 foul won. Farinas: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
• Jackson: 1 shot, 0 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Cubarsi: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Martin: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.

Box score

BarcelonaAston Villa

Barcelona

Player	MIN	G	A	SH	SOT	xG	KP	PAS	TKL	FC	FS	YC	SV	RAT
Raphinha	70	2	0	2	2	0.73	1	18/21	0	1	0	1	0	8.5
Lamine Yamal	90	1	0	5	2	0.53	0	25/35	2	4	2	0	0	7.3
Cubarsi P.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	87/93	0	0	1	0	0	7.2
Garcia J.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	19/19	1	0	1	0	1	7.6
Fermin	70	0	1	4	2	0.24	2	32/36	3	2	0	0	0	7.3
Martin G.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	71/73	1	1	0	0	0	7.4
Farinas B.	82	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	60/62	1	1	0	0	0	7.0
Cancelo J.	90	0	1	1	0	0.03	1	50/52	1	1	1	0	0	8.3
Rodri	45	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	46/50	1	0	0	0	0	6.5
Gordon A.	90	0	0	3	1	0.38	2	30/36	1	2	2	0	0	6.7
Pedri	70	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	39/43	0	0	0	0	0	7.1
Balde A.	8	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	4/5	1	0	0	0	0	–
Gabriel Jesus	20	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	7/8	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
de Jong F.	20	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	14/15	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Gavi	20	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	11/12	1	1	0	0	0	6.5
Bernal M.	45	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	28/30	3	1	0	0	0	6.4

Aston Villa

Player	MIN	G	A	SH	SOT	xG	KP	PAS	TKL	FC	FS	YC	SV	RAT
Maatsen I.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	30/40	1	1	5	1	0	6.2
Jackson N.	77	0	0	1	0	0.05	1	9/11	0	2	0	1	0	6.1
Cash M.	90	0	0	1	0	0.03	1	29/37	1	1	0	0	0	6.0
Torres P.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	41/46	1	1	1	0	0	6.0
Manzambi J.	62	0	0	2	1	0.23	0	7/10	0	0	0	0	0	6.0
McGinn J.	77	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	11/20	0	1	2	0	0	5.7
Suzuki Z.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	27/36	0	0	0	0	4	6.7
Lindelof V.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	35/37	1	0	0	0	0	5.9
Kamara B.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	22/25	4	1	3	0	0	6.4
Joao Gomes	62	0	0	1	0	0.11	0	14/17	4	0	0	0	0	5.9
Buendia E.	62	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	6/9	5	2	1	1	0	7.1
Goretzka L.	28	0	0	1	0	0.10	0	10/11	0	0	0	0	0	6.4
Barkley R.	28	0	0	1	0	0.07	0	5/8	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Mbaye I.	28	0	0	1	0	0.04	2	6/7	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
Alysson	13	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	4/4	1	0	1	0	0	6.8
Abraham T.	13	0	0	1	0	0.06	0	0/2	0	0	0	0	0	6.4

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

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Barcelona vs Aston Villa pre-game preview

Barcelona host Aston Villa in Tuesday’s Champions League match as the home favorite, with the three-way moneyline at Barcelona -350, draw +620 and Aston Villa +800, and the total at 4.5. In Champions League table terms Villa sit second with nine points from three matches and a WWW form line, while Barcelona are eighth with six points from three matches and an LWWWL recent form line. Villa have scored 4.00 and conceded 1.00 per match with over 2.5 goals in 100 percent, while Barcelona score 2.87 and concede 1.73 with both teams scoring in 87 percent. Villa are missing Onana, Ruggeri and Wan-Bissaka; Barcelona are missing Kounde, Olmo, Eric Garcia, Espart and Bardghji. Among the prop angles, Fermín López over 1.5 fouls at -150 has cleared in 7 of his last 10, and Lamine Yamal over 1.5 fouls won at -195 has also cleared in 7 of 10.

Confirmed lineups

The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Barcelona 4-2-3-1Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

1 Garcia

4 Farinas

5 Cubarsi

18 Martin

2 Cancelo

16 Rodri

8 Pedri

10 Lamine Yamal

7 Fermin

17 Gordon

11 Raphinha (C)

1 Suzuki

2 Cash

3 Lindelof

14 Torres

22 Maatsen

35 Joao Gomes

8 Kamara

7 McGinn (C)

44 Manzambi

10 Buendia

11 Jackson

Barcelona missing: R. Bardghji (knee), A. Christensen (muscle), X. Espart (ankle), E. Garcia (muscle), J. Kounde (ankle), D. Olmo (groin)

Aston Villa missing: M. Cisse (off the roster), B. Madjo (off the roster), A. Onana (knee), M. Ruggeri (muscle), A. Wan-Bissaka (muscle)

Form and head to head

Barcelona9th in the tableLWWWL9W 2D 4L · 1.93 points a match

No recent meetings

Aston Villa2nd in the tableWWW3W 0D 0L · 3.00 points a match

Clean sheets and goal trends

Attack and defense

Attacking

BarcelonaAston Villa

60%Win %100%

64%Possession %45%

87%Both teams scored %67%

40%Scored first %100%

• 2.9Scored per match4.0
• 17.3Shots per match18.3
• 7.4Shots on target per match10.0
• 3.1Big chances per match2.0

Defensive

BarcelonaAston Villa

27%Loss %0%

13%Failed to score %0%

0%Clean sheet %33%

60%Conceded first %0%

• 1.7Conceded per match1.0
• 10.3Shots against per match11.7
• 15.5Tackles per match15.7
• 9.5Fouls per match11.0

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Last five Champions League results, most recent first.

Season numbers

This season, 15 and 3 matches.

Referee

Davide Massa averages 1.7 yellow cards and 18.7 fouls per match over 3 matches this season (league average 3.4 and 22.0), lighter with cards than most.

Injury report

Barcelona

• Roony Bardghji (F): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
• Eric García (D): Out, Thigh Injury
• Dani Olmo (M): Out, Thigh Injury
• Xavi Espart (D): Out, Ankle Injury
• Jules Koundé (D): Out, Sprained Ankle

Aston Villa

• Amadou Onana (M): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
• Matteo Ruggeri (D): Out, Hamstring Injury
• Aaron Wan-Bissaka (D): Out, Hamstring Injury

Barcelona vs Aston Villa odds by sportsbook

Book	BAR ML	AVL ML	Over	Under
bet365	–	–	O 5.5 +200	U 5.5 -250

Highlighted: the best price in each column before kickoff. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement chart