ex-RUSTEC vs Spirit Academy Prediction: NODWIN Clutch Series 14 Odds & Stats (Nov 12, 2026)

by

ex-RUSTEC3-7 last 10World #83
1:00 PM ETThu, Nov 12Win % 45–55
Spirit Academy logo

Spirit Academy6-4 last 10World #106

CS2 · NODWIN Clutch Series 14 · B-tier · Bo3 · Thu, Nov 12, 6:00 PM UK / 1:00 PM ET

Team Match Map 1
ex-RUSTEC 2.05 2.15
Spirit Academy 1.68 1.62

Decimal prices. They move, so check your book before you bet.

ex-RUSTEC vs Spirit Academy prediction

The market makes Spirit Academy the favourite at 55% once the bookmaker’s margin is taken out. ex-RUSTEC won 3 of its last 10 series and Spirit Academy 6 of its last 10. Check the roster first: ex-RUSTEC may be using stand-ins (youka, yiksrezo, bl1x1).

ex-RUSTEC: youka looks like a stand-inex-RUSTEC: yiksrezo looks like a stand-inex-RUSTEC: bl1x1 looks like a stand-inex-RUSTEC: 2d restex-RUSTEC: 1 series in 14dSpirit Academy: 1d restSpirit Academy: 7 series in 14d

Top ex-RUSTEC vs Spirit Academy player props

Player Prop Price Hit rate
S1nside Over 20.5 maps 1-2 headshots Pick’em 7/10
VILBy Over 25.5 maps 1-2 kills Pick’em 6/10
VILBy Over 14.5 maps 1-2 headshots Pick’em 6/10
yiksrezo Over 21.5 maps 1-2 headshots Pick’em 6/10
youka Over 30.5 maps 1-2 kills Pick’em 5/10
S1nside Over 31.5 maps 1-2 kills Pick’em 5/10

Storylines

ex-RUSTEC

Best map: Nuke, 69% across 26 maps.

Worst map: Mirage, 29% across 14 maps.

Spirit Academy

Fights back: won 18 of 55 maps after trailing by 4 or more rounds.

Best map: Dust2, 68% across 22 maps.

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Recent form

ex-RUSTEC

Lost 0-2 FORZE.R NODWIN Clutch Series 14
Lost 1-2 Illyrians CCT Europe 2026 Series 12
Lost 0-2 TS.A CCT Europe 2026 Series 12
Lost 1-2 FORZE.R CCT Europe 2026 Series 12
Won 2-1 SSins CCT Europe 2026 Series 12

Spirit Academy

Lost 0-2 ex-Zero Tenacity NODWIN Clutch Series 14
Won 2-0 BMB NODWIN Clutch Series 14 Play-In
Won 2-0 L&G NODWIN Clutch Series 14 Play-In
Lost 1-2 PF CCT Europe 2026 Series 13 Play-In
Lost 1-2 Noir Verse NODWIN Clutch Series 14 Play-In

Team comparison

ex-RUSTECSpirit Academy
54%Map win rate63%

n=140 / 119 maps

53%CT round win57%

n=1501 / 1276 rounds

49%T round win47%

n=1499 / 1350 rounds

48%Pistol win52%

n=276 / 238 pistols

14%Clutch conversion12%

n=1540 / 1378 attempts · all teams 12%

53%Trade kill after first death53%

n=1461 / 1256 rounds · all teams 52%

14%Overtime rate14%

n=138 / 119 maps

Comebacks and pistols

ex-RUSTECSpirit Academy
27%Won map after trailing by 3+43%

n=85 / 75 maps trailed

17%Won map after trailing by 5+29%

n=58 / 41 maps trailed

45%Won map after losing a pistol58%

n=73 / 62 pistols lost · all teams 42%

63%Won map after winning a pistol68%

n=65 / 57 pistols won · all teams 58%

36%Won series after losing map 125%

n=28 / 16 series

Economy

Round win rate by team equipment value, pistol rounds left out.

ex-RUSTECSpirit Academy
5%Eco (under $5k)4%

n=167 / 171 rounds

27%Semi buy ($5-10k)16%

n=140 / 146 rounds

45%Force buy ($10-20k)41%

n=388 / 251 rounds

58%Full buy ($20k+)61%

n=2029 / 1820 rounds

How their rounds end

Share of the rounds each team won.

ex-RUSTECSpirit Academy
65%Elimination69%

n=1537 / 1369 rounds won · all teams 66%

18%Bomb exploded15%

n=1537 / 1369 rounds won · all teams 17%

13%Defuse12%

n=1537 / 1369 rounds won · all teams 13%

4%Time ran out4%

n=1537 / 1369 rounds won · all teams 4%

What each team gives up

Last 60 days ex-RUSTEC Spirit Academy
Kills allowed per map 75.6 #163 of 239 75.3 #159 of 239
Headshots allowed per map 39.1 #170 of 239 38.8 #162 of 239
Enemy ADR 72.7 #94 of 239 72.5 #88 of 239

Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a higher number is a softer matchup for player overs.

Head to head

ex-RUSTEC 0-1 Spirit Academy in the meetings we track.

2026-10-27 Spirit Academy won 2-0 CCT Europe 2026 Series 12

Map pool

ex-RUSTEC Spirit Academy
Map Win CT T Pistol Rounds Win CT T Pistol Rounds
Dust2 49% 37 50% 50% 42% 22.5 68% 22 55% 53% 52% 20.8
Nuke 69% 26 60% 45% 56% 22.3 67% 24 60% 41% 52% 23.1
Ancient 58% 12 57% 47% 43% 19.3 65% 26 55% 50% 46% 21.1
Mirage 29% 14 50% 45% 32% 22.1 55% 22 60% 42% 50% 21.8
Anubis 63% 27 52% 57% 59% 20.5 43% 7 51% 48% 57% 24.3
Cache 40% 10 52% 51% 45% 20.4 60% 15 55% 52% 60% 23.3
Inferno 50% 14 54% 41% 46% 20.7 – – – – –

Win rate with maps played beside it, round win by side, pistol win and average rounds. Maps either team played at least 3 times.

Rounds per map, last 10

WonLost

ex-RUSTEC

21Anc
23Dus
15Anu
21Anu
19Mir
30Dus
18Anu
18Anc
18Dus
30Anu

Average 21.3 rounds a map, margin -3.3 (last 10).

Spirit Academy

17Mir
14Anc
20Mir
23Cac
18Dus
20Nuk
20Mir
22Nuk
34Cac
18Mir

Average 20.6 rounds a map, margin -1.2 (last 10).

Player form

Averages per map over each player’s last 10 maps with the team.

ex-RUSTEC

Player Maps Kills Deaths ADR KAST HS% First kills
yiksrezo Stand-in 10 15.0 16.7 80.6 72 73 2.4
youka Stand-in 10 14.4 13.8 69.7 68 36 2.3
Brilliance 10 11.7 16.2 65.3 65 53 2.3
Mokuj1n 2 11.5 13.5 55.6 73 58 0.0
rehard 4 11.3 11.8 74.8 77 71 1.0
jakekeS 10 10.6 14.2 59.4 68 50 1.9

Not seen in the last 5 series: KIRO.

Spirit Academy

Player Maps Kills Deaths ADR KAST HS% First kills
S1nside 10 17.1 13.9 95.9 74 67 3.2
k0gaSs 10 15.1 15.7 80.0 71 59 2.1
Kiryasoo 10 14.2 13.3 69.2 67 35 2.4
VILBy 10 13.6 13.6 73.6 71 63 1.8
Tresh 9 12.6 14.6 64.4 67 55 1.6
Netrix 10 11.0 14.0 63.6 65 55 0.8

Not seen in the last 5 series: Flash_1, Qikert, Kidofpain.

Stats vs markets

How each team’s recent results grade the posted prices. The bar is the team’s rate, the tick is the market’s chance with the margin taken out. Small samples swing a lot.

Series winnerthunderpick
ex-RUSTEC2.05Spirit Academy1.68
ex-RUSTEC-15 vs market30%

3-7 last 10market 45%

Spirit Academy+5 vs market60%

6-4 last 10market 55%

Map 1 winnerthunderpick
ex-RUSTEC2.15Spirit Academy1.62
ex-RUSTEC+4 vs market47%

26/55 map 1s wonmarket 43%

Spirit Academy+6 vs market63%

32/51 map 1s wonmarket 57%

Map 2 winnerthunderpick
ex-RUSTEC1.85Spirit Academy1.85
ex-RUSTEC+6 vs market56%

32/57 map 2s wonmarket 50%

Spirit Academy+14 vs market64%

32/50 map 2s wonmarket 50%

Map 3 winnerthunderpick
ex-RUSTEC2.00Spirit Academy1.72
ex-RUSTEC+16 vs market62%

16/26 map 3+s wonmarket 46%

Spirit Academy+7 vs market61%

11/18 map 3+s wonmarket 54%

Odds board

Match lines

Series winner ex-RUSTEC 2.05 Spirit Academy 1.68

Map 1

Winner ex-RUSTEC 2.15 Spirit Academy 1.62
Map 2 1 market
Winner ex-RUSTEC 1.85 Spirit Academy 1.85
Map 3 1 market
Winner ex-RUSTEC 2.00 Spirit Academy 1.72

Decimal prices from thunderpick. They move, so check your book before you bet.

More: All CS2 predictions · Esports · CS2 scores · CS2 prop picks · Pistol round lab

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favoured in ex-RUSTEC vs Spirit Academy?

The market has Spirit Academy at 55% once the bookmaker’s margin is removed. That is the price, not a guarantee.

When is ex-RUSTEC vs Spirit Academy?

Thu, Nov 12 at 6:00 PM UK, 1:00 PM ET, in NODWIN Clutch Series 14, best of 3.

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