Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

How the bets settled

Match report

Leeds United beat Tottenham Hotspur 1-0, with N. Okafor deciding the match in the 79th minute. Leeds picked up two yellow cards and Tottenham four.

Leeds generated 2.01 expected goals from 16 shots and four big chances, while Tottenham managed 0.78 xG from seven shots and one big chance. Possession favored Tottenham 61% to 39%, but both teams had four shots on target and Leeds led corners 6-4.

Before the match, Tottenham arrived with form of WWWDL and Leeds with LDDLD, so the result went against the recent form line. Leeds had both teams to score in 56% of matches and over 2.5 in 22%, while Tottenham’s rates for both teams to score and over 2.5 were both 33%; the 1-0 outcome meant only one team scored and the match stayed under 2.5 goals.

How the props finished

4 of 9 cleared

Player	Line	Price	Result
James Trafford	Over 2.5 saves	-145 DraftKings	4 Cleared
Jayden Bogle	Over 0.5 shots	-188 bet365	3 Cleared
James Justin	Over 0.5 shots	-190 Fanatics	0 Missed
Pedro Porro	Over 1.5 shots	+260 Fanatics	0 Missed
Conor Gallagher	Over 0.5 shots on target	+240 bet365	0 Missed
Ethan Ampadu	Over 0.5 yellow card	+225 Fanatics	0 Missed
Andrew Robertson	Over 0.5 shots	+135 Fanatics	0 Missed
Archie Gray	Over 0.5 shots	+125 Fanatics	1 Cleared
Omar Marmoush	Over 1.5 fouls	+120 DraftKings	2 Cleared

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the match, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

Goals

• 79′ N. Okafor Leeds United

How the key matchups went

• Calvert-Lewin: 3 shots, 1 shot on target, 0 fouls won. van Hecke: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards. van de Ven: 1 foul committed, 0 tackles, 1 yellow card.
• Kudus: 1 shot, 1 shot on target, 0 fouls won. Gudmundsson: 2 fouls committed, 4 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
• Tel: 0 shots, 0 shots on target, 1 foul won. Bogle: 3 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
• Marmoush: 2 shots, 1 shot on target, 2 fouls won. Justin: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards. Elvedi: 3 fouls committed, 2 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Muharemovic: 0 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.

Box score

Leeds

Player	MIN	G	A	SH	SOT	xG	KP	PAS	TKL	FC	FS	YC	SV	RAT
Ampadu E.	90	0	0	3	0	0.14	1	33/37	3	0	1	0	0	7.2
Bogle J.	89	0	0	3	0	0.11	3	14/18	1	3	3	0	0	7.5
Trafford J.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	16/27	0	0	0	0	4	8.5
Tanaka A.	77	0	0	2	0	0.33	0	23/26	5	0	2	0	0	7.2
Longstaff S.	89	0	0	1	1	0.08	2	21/24	4	1	0	1	0	6.7
Muharemovic T.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	39/49	1	0	1	0	0	7.4
Nmecha L.	77	0	0	2	1	0.16	1	7/10	1	0	3	0	0	6.4
Justin J.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	26/30	1	1	2	0	0	7.4
Elvedi N.	90	0	0	1	0	0.27	0	26/27	2	3	3	0	0	7.3
Calvert-Lewin D.	90	0	0	3	1	0.34	2	11/19	0	0	0	0	0	7.5
Gudmundsson G.	45	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	15/19	4	2	0	0	0	7.2
Rodon J.	1	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	–
Bard M.	45	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	12/20	3	1	0	0	0	6.8
Gruev I.	1	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	–
Okafor N.	13	1	0	1	1	0.53	0	3/3	0	0	0	1	0	7.6
Wilson H.	13	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1/2	1	0	1	0	0	6.5

Tottenham

Player	MIN	G	A	SH	SOT	xG	KP	PAS	TKL	FC	FS	YC	SV	RAT
Tel M.	43	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	10/11	0	3	1	0	0	6.1
van Hecke J. P.	90	0	0	1	1	0.07	0	67/75	0	0	0	0	0	7.5
Porro P.	65	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	28/42	2	3	2	1	0	6.0
Tonali S.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	31/42	1	2	0	1	0	5.6
Kudus M.	83	0	0	1	1	0.04	1	24/26	1	1	0	0	0	5.3
Fernandes M.	65	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	48/54	1	0	1	0	0	6.7
Robertson A.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	50/62	0	1	0	0	0	5.8
van de Ven M.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	65/68	0	1	1	1	0	5.6
Gray A.	90	0	0	1	0	0.07	2	27/28	1	0	0	0	0	6.5
Marmoush O.	65	0	0	2	1	0.16	0	6/6	1	2	2	0	0	6.2
Kinsky A.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	23/40	0	0	0	0	2	6.9
Kulusevski D.	25	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	7/10	3	1	0	0	0	6.4
Solanke D.	47	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	5/7	0	1	1	0	0	6.8
Gallagher C.	25	0	0	1	0	0.05	0	20/25	2	1	0	0	0	6.0
Bentancur R.	25	0	0	1	1	0.34	0	30/31	3	0	1	0	0	6.7
Williams-Barnett L.	7	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	3/4	0	0	1	0	0	–

Recap: Tottenham’s winning run brought to abrupt end by late Noah Okafor winner (ESPN)

Highlights

• Burley slams VAR for not sending off Bogle (ESPN)

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

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Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur pre-game preview

Leeds United hosts Tottenham Hotspur on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at 7:30 AM ET in the Premier League. On the three-way moneyline, Leeds is +180, Tottenham is the slight favorite at +160 and the draw is +250, with the total at 2.5. The last meeting ended 1-1 in May, after Leeds lost 2-1 to Tottenham in October 2025. Leeds’ league form is LDDLD with a 1-3-0 home record, while Tottenham’s form is WWWDL with a 1-2-1 away record.

Leeds concedes 0.89 goals per match and has a 33% clean-sheet rate; Tottenham scores and concedes 1.11 per match. Tottenham lists Odobert, Simons, Mudryk and Sávio out, and Leeds lists Joseph out with Okafor, Calvert-Lewin and Stach day-to-day. James Trafford’s over 2.5 saves at -145 has cleared in 9 of his last 10, a useful prop angle given Leeds’ defensive profile.

Confirmed lineups

The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Leeds United 3-4-2-1Tottenham Hotspur 4-3-3

1 Trafford

24 Justin

30 Elvedi

5 Muharemovic

2 Bogle

4 Ampadu (C)

22 Tanaka

3 Gudmundsson

8 Longstaff

14 Nmecha

9 Calvert-Lewin

31 Kinsky

23 Porro

6 van Hecke

37 van de Ven (C)

3 Robertson

16 Tonali

18 Fernandes

14 Gray

20 Kudus

22 Marmoush

11 Tel

Leeds United missing: M. Joseph (knee), A. Stach (foot)

Tottenham Hotspur missing: L. Bergvall (knee), M. Mudryk (ankle), W. Odobert (knee), Sávio (muscle), X. Simons (knee)

Form and head to head

Leeds United12th in the tableLDDLD2W 5D 2L · 1.22 points a match

2meetings

0 wins1 draw1 win

Tottenham Hotspur9th in the tableWWWDL3W 3D 3L · 1.33 points a match

100%Over 1.52/2

50%Over 2.51/2

0%Over 3.50/2

100%Both scored2/2

• May 2026TOT 1-1 LEE
• Oct 2025LEE 1-2 TOT

Clean sheets and goal trends

Attack and defense

Attacking

Leeds UnitedTottenham Hotspur

22%Win %33%

49%Possession %63%

56%Both teams scored %33%

44%Scored first %33%

• 1.0Scored per match1.1
• 8.7Shots per match14.1
• 3.7Shots on target per match4.4
• 1.4Big chances per match1.9

Defensive

Leeds UnitedTottenham Hotspur

22%Loss %33%

33%Failed to score %44%

33%Clean sheet %44%

33%Conceded first %44%

• 0.9Conceded per match1.1
• 10.6Shots against per match9.8
• 15.4Tackles per match17.8
• 13.1Fouls per match13.2

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Last five Premier League results, most recent first.

Season numbers

This season, 9 and 9 matches.

Referee

John Brooks averages 4.5 yellow cards and 20.1 fouls per match over 10 matches this season (league average 4.0 and 23.2), a card-heavy referee.

Injury report

Leeds United

• Mateo Joseph (F): Out, Knee Injury
• Anton Stach (M): Day-To-Day, Foot Injury

Tottenham Hotspur: none listed.

Line movement chart