Portsmouth vs Stoke City Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

How the bets settled

Match report

Portsmouth 1-2 Stoke City. T. Shade put Portsmouth ahead in the 6th minute, but J. McGlynn equalised in the 59th, assisted by L. Bombino, and B. Wilmot scored the 77th-minute winner. Both sides received three yellow cards.

Stoke’s 0.86 expected goals edged Portsmouth’s 0.66, and Stoke had the only big chance. Portsmouth had 55% possession, 8 shots to 4, 3 shots on target each, and 7 corners to 0.

The outcome ran against Portsmouth’s WDWDW form and Stoke’s WWDWL. Before the match, both teams had scored in 57% and 64% of their matches respectively, over 2.5 goals in 50% and 64%, and both teams to score was priced yes -105, no -120. Shade, McGlynn, Bombino and Wilmot were the key player contributors.

How the props finished

5 of 11 cleared

Player	Line	Price	Result
Ben Johnson	Over 0.5 shots	-154 BetMGM	0 Missed
Jack Ryan McGlynn	Over 0.5 shots on target	+125 BetRivers	1 Cleared
Benjamin Lewis Wilmot	Over 0.5 shots	+115 BetMGM	2 Cleared
Jayden Meghoma	Over 1.5 tackles	-160 DraftKings	1 Missed
Million Manhoef	Over 0.5 shots on target	+110 bet365	0 Missed
Luke Graham	Over 1.5 tackles	-125 DraftKings	3 Cleared
Viktor Tobias Johansson	Over 2.5 saves	-165 DraftKings	2 Missed
Rocco Robert Shein	Over 1.5 fouls	+100 DraftKings	0 Missed
Ebrima Adams	Over 0.5 yellow card	+360 DraftKings	1 Cleared
Luca Bombino	Over 1.5 fouls won	+120 DraftKings	2 Cleared
Abu Kamara	Over 1.5 fouls won	+110 DraftKings	0 Missed

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the match, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

Goals

• 6′ T. Shade Portsmouth
• 59′ J. McGlynn, assist L. Bombino Stoke City
• 77′ B. Wilmot Stoke City

How the key matchups went

• Segecic: 1 shot, 0 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Johnson: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
• Kamara: 0 shots, 0 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Tchamadeu: 1 foul committed, 2 tackles, 1 yellow card.
• Shade: 2 shots, 1 shot on target, 2 fouls won. Wilmot: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards. Lawal: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards. Graham: 1 foul committed, 3 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
• McGlynn: 1 shot, 1 shot on target, 1 foul won. Meghoma: 0 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
• Manhoef: 0 shots, 0 shots on target, 1 foul won. Devlin: 2 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 1 yellow card.
• Bozenik: 0 shots, 0 shots on target, 1 foul won. Poole: 2 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 1 yellow card. Dia: 2 fouls committed, 2 tackles, 0 yellow cards.

Box score

PortsmouthStoke

Portsmouth

Player	MIN	G	A	SH	SOT	xG	KP	PAS	TKL	FC	FS	YC	SV	RAT
Segecic A.	65	0	0	1	0	0.08	1	10/12	1	0	0	0	0	5.8
Poole R.	90	0	0	1	1	0.09	1	29/37	0	2	0	1	0	6.0
Shade T.	90	1	0	2	1	0.12	0	27/34	2	3	2	0	0	7.5
Kamara A.	81	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	11/14	0	0	0	0	0	5.6
Bailey O.	81	0	0	2	1	0.10	1	28/37	4	0	0	0	0	6.6
Meghoma J.	75	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	23/30	1	0	1	0	0	6.1
Pack M.	75	0	0	1	0	0.03	0	21/24	0	0	1	0	0	6.4
Schmid N.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	26/45	0	0	0	0	1	5.6
Adams E.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	25/33	5	3	4	1	0	6.8
Devlin T.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	20/39	1	2	1	1	0	6.0
Dia M.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	34/38	2	2	2	0	0	6.5
Waddingham T.	25	0	0	1	0	0.08	0	1/1	0	1	1	0	0	6.2
Kavuma McQueen R.	9	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0/1	1	0	0	0	0	–
Shein R. R.	15	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	12/13	2	0	0	0	0	6.6
Murphy J.	9	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1/1	0	0	0	0	0	–
Swanson Z.	15	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	12/14	0	1	0	0	0	6.3

Stoke

Player	MIN	G	A	SH	SOT	xG	KP	PAS	TKL	FC	FS	YC	SV	RAT
Tchamadeu J.	57	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	9/13	2	1	0	1	0	6.0
Galbraith E.	90	0	0	1	1	0.02	0	27/36	1	1	2	1	0	7.2
McGlynn J.	90	1	0	1	1	0.22	0	18/31	0	0	1	0	0	7.3
Bozenik R.	57	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	4/9	0	2	1	1	0	6.2
Johnson B.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	13/24	1	1	2	0	0	6.2
Manhoef M.	86	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	16/19	1	3	1	0	0	5.8
Wilmot B.	90	1	0	2	1	0.64	0	24/33	1	1	1	0	0	8.1
Lawal B.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	26/30	1	1	0	0	0	6.5
Graham L.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	37/53	3	1	1	0	0	7.9
Johansson V.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	18/24	0	0	1	0	2	6.9
Soumare D.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	28/34	2	0	1	0	0	7.2
Bombino L.	33	0	1	0	0	0.00	1	8/11	0	0	2	0	0	6.9
Hirst G.	33	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2/3	2	1	0	0	0	6.6
Devenny J.	4	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0/4	0	0	0	0	0	–

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

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Portsmouth vs Stoke City pre-game preview

Portsmouth host Stoke City in the Championship on Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET. Portsmouth are the +130 moneyline favorite, with the draw at +225 and Stoke at +235, and the total is 2.5. Portsmouth sit 10th with 22 points and recent league form of WDWDW; Stoke are 5th with 26 points and form of WWDWL. The last meeting was a 3-1 Portsmouth win at Stoke on April 25, 2026, after Portsmouth lost 1-0 at home to Stoke in October 2025.

Portsmouth’s confirmed XI lists Anderson (overload), Ogilvie (knee) and Kosznovszky (inactive) among the absentees, while Stoke list Cresswell (knee) and Cisse (inactive). A useful prop angle: Gallagher over 0.5 tackles at -130 has cleared in 7 of his last 10, and Johnson over 0.5 shots at -162 has cleared in 7 of his last 10. Portsmouth score 1.36 and concede 1.14 per match; Stoke score 1.57 and concede 1.21, with both teams scoring in 64% of Stoke matches.

Confirmed lineups

The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Portsmouth 4-2-3-1Stoke City 3-4-3

1 Schmid

24 Devlin

5 Poole

55 Dia

16 Meghoma

38 Adams

7 Pack (C)

10 Segecic

27 Bailey

11 Kamara

17 Shade

1 Johansson

16 Wilmot

18 Lawal

5 Graham

22 Tchamadeu

27 Soumare

8 Galbraith

2 Johnson

7 McGlynn

9 Bozenik

42 Manhoef

Portsmouth missing: K. Anderson (overload), B. Arthur (back), C. Bishop (knee), L. Brooke-Smith (ankle), M. Kosznovszky (inactive), M. Milovanovic (thigh), C. Ogilvie (knee), J. Swift (knee)

Stoke City missing: A. Ampah (knee), E. Bocat (injury), L. Cisse (inactive), A. Cresswell (knee)

Form and head to head

Portsmouth10th in the tableWDWDW6W 4D 4L · 1.57 points a match

2meetings

1 win0 draws1 win

Stoke City5th in the tableWWDWL8W 2D 4L · 1.86 points a match

50%Over 1.51/2

50%Over 2.51/2

50%Over 3.51/2

50%Both scored1/2

• Apr 2026Stoke City 1-3 Portsmouth
• Oct 2025Portsmouth 0-1 Stoke City

Clean sheets and goal trends

Attack and defense

Attacking

PortsmouthStoke City

43%Win %57%

51%Possession %47%

57%Both teams scored %64%

50%Scored first %71%

• 1.4Scored per match1.6
• 11.2Shots per match10.2
• 3.6Shots on target per match3.6
• 0.0Big chances per match0.0

Defensive

PortsmouthStoke City

29%Loss %29%

29%Failed to score %7%

29%Clean sheet %36%

36%Conceded first %21%

• 1.1Conceded per match1.2
• 10.3Shots against per match11.6
• 15.4Tackles per match16.0
• 11.0Fouls per match13.9

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Last five EFL Championship results, most recent first.

Season numbers

This season, 14 and 14 matches.

Referee

Ben Speedie averages 2.7 yellow cards and 21.9 fouls per match over 10 matches this season (league average 3.8 and 22.1), lighter with cards than most.

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 3:05 PM ET.

Line movement chart