| Result | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| +110 |
|
| Draw | +275 |
| +270 |
Total goals 2.5: over -150
, under +128 ![]()
Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 10:25 AM ET.
Fulham vs Newcastle United preview
Fulham hosts Newcastle United in Premier League play Saturday at 10:00 AM ET. The moneyline lists Fulham as the favorite at +110, with Newcastle +245 and the draw +275, while the total is 2.5. Fulham enters 15th in the league with 9 points from 9 matches (W2 D3 L4), scoring 9 and conceding 11. Newcastle is 13th with 11 points from 9 matches (W3 D2 L4), scoring 12 and conceding 15.
Newcastle’s availability is one angle to track: Ewen Jaouen is out with a hamstring injury, Tino Livramento is out with a knock, and Matias Fernandez-Pardo and Lewis Miley are day-to-day. Fernandez-Pardo’s over 0.5 fouls at -200 has cleared in 4 of his last 5, which is relevant to the day-to-day status. These are research notes only, not predictions.
Fulham vs Newcastle United prediction
The books imply 47% / 26% / 27%
The model leans narrowly to Fulham (40% win, 24% draw, 36% Newcastle United), while the books make Fulham a clearer favorite (46%, 27%, 27%). Fulham’s DWWLD form and Newcastle’s LWLLW run plus 1.67 goals conceded per match support the model’s tighter read, and Newcastle are missing Ramsey (red card), Livramento (knee), and Jaouen (muscle).
A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (9 and 9 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
Top Fulham vs Newcastle United player props
| Player | Prop | Best price | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matias Fernandez-Pardo Newcastle United | Over 0.5 fouls | -200 |
80% (4/5) | 80% |
| Gonzalo García Fulham | Over 0.5 fouls | -200 |
77.8% (7/9) | 60% |
| Fabian Schär Newcastle United | Over 0.5 shots | -155 |
70% (7/10) | 40% |
| Josh King Fulham | Over 0.5 shots on target | -172 |
70% (7/10) | 60% |
| David Affengruber Fulham | Over 1.5 tackles | -135 |
66.7% (4/6) | 80% |
Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 10:25 AM ET.
Key matchups
From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.
Bobb vs Hall
Bobb
HallIwobi vs Dedic
Iwobi
DedicGarcia vs Schar and Burn
Garcia
Schar
BurnElanga vs Robinson
Elanga
RobinsonBarnes vs Castagne
Barnes
CastagneOsula vs Affengruber and Bassey
Osula
Affengruber
BasseyAffiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.
Predicted lineups
Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.
Fulham 4-2-3-1
Newcastle United 4-2-3-1
5/101 LenoSaves 2.5+
6/1021 CastagneTackles 1.5+
4/622 AffengruberTackles 1.5+
6/103 BasseyTackles 1.5+
6/1033 RobinsonShots 0.5+
16 Berge
19 Charles
14 Bobb
7/1024 KingSOT 0.5+
17 Iwobi
7/97 GarciaFouls 0.5+
5/921 HornicekSaves 3.5+
4/737 DedicTackles 1.5+
7/105 ScharShots 0.5+
5/1033 BurnShots 0.5+
6/103 HallShots 0.5+
14 Steur
6 Nico
19 Elanga
5/109 WissaSOT 0.5+
6/1011 BarnesTackles 0.5+
6/1010 OsulaFouls won 0.5+Fulham missing: T. Cairney (knee)
Newcastle United missing: E. Jaouen (muscle), Joelinton (muscle), V. Livramento (knee), J. Ramsey (red card)
Form and head to head
Fulham15th in the tableDWWLD2W 3D 4L · 1.00 points a match
Newcastle United13th in the tableLWLLW3W 2D 4L · 1.22 points a match- May 2026FUL 2-0 NEW
- Oct 2025NEW 2-1 FUL
- Feb 2025NEW 1-2 FUL
- Sep 2024FUL 3-1 NEW
- Apr 2024FUL 0-1 NEW
- Dec 2023NEW 3-0 FUL
Clean sheets and goal trends
Fulham
Clean sheet3/9
Failed to score2/9
Both scored5/9
Over 2.53/9
Newcastle United
Clean sheet2/9
Failed to score2/9
Both scored5/9
Over 2.55/9
Attack and defense
Attacking
- 1.0Scored per match1.3
- 11.4Shots per match11.0
- 4.6Shots on target per match3.2
- 1.9Big chances per match1.3
Defensive
- 1.2Conceded per match1.7
- 11.0Shots against per match12.0
- 15.0Tackles per match12.7
- 10.7Fouls per match12.0
Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.
Recent results
| Fulham | DWWLD | D 1-1 at AVL · W 1-0 at Coventry · W 1-0 vs Hull City · L 1-2 at IPS · D 1-1 vs MUN |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | LWLLW | L 0-1 vs EVE · W 2-0 at CRY · L 0-1 vs AVL · L 1-4 at Coventry · W 2-1 vs Hull City |
Last five Premier League results, most recent first.
Season numbers
| Fulham | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Table | 15 (9 pts) | 13 (11 pts) |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-3-4 | 3-2-4 |
| Home / away record | 1-1-2 (6-7) home | 2-0-2 (6-8) away |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.22 | 1.67 |
| Shots / on target per match | 11.44 / 4.56 | 11.00 / 3.22 |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals | 56% / 33% / 22% | 78% / 56% / 44% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 22% |
| Failed to score | 22% | 22% |
| Yellow cards per match | 2.11 | 2.67 |
| Corners per match | 6.19 | 4.60 |
This season, 9 and 9 matches.
Referee
Robert Jones averages 3.3 yellow cards and 25.4 fouls per match over 7 matches this season (league average 4.0 and 23.3), lighter with cards than most.
Injury report
Fulham: none listed.
Newcastle United
- Ewen Jaouen (G): Out, Hamstring Injury
- Tino Livramento (D): Out, Knock Injury
- Matias Fernandez-Pardo (F): Day-To-Day, Illness
- Lewis Miley (M): Day-To-Day, Knock Injury
Fulham vs Newcastle United odds by sportsbook
| Book | FUL ML | NEW ML | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +100 | +250 | O 2.5 -150 | U 2.5 +120 | |
| +102 | +255 | O 2.75 -120 | U 2.75 -110 | |
| +110 | +240 | O 2.5 -155 | U 2.5 +125 | |
| -105 | +270 | O 2.5 -158 | U 2.5 +128 | |
| +100 | +250 | O 2.5 -160 | U 2.5 +120 |
Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 10:25 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.
Line movement since we first listed this match (Fri 4:17 AM ET): no change in the main lines yet.
Goal lines and both teams to score
Both teams to score: yes -185, no +145
| Total goals | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | -520 | +370 |
| 2.5 | -158 | +128 |
| 3.5 | +164 | -205 |
| 4.5 | +390 | -550 |
Line movement chart
More on these teams: Newcastle United vs Everton Nov 2 · Aston Villa vs Fulham Oct 31 · All Premier League prop picks · All Premier League predictions
Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work
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