Magic vs Warriors Prediction, Starting Lineups & Player Props (Nov 7, 2026)

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NBA prop picks: today's featured picks
Orlando Magic logo

Magic2-6 · 2-6 ATS12th in the East
FINAL119 – 126
Golden State Warriors logo

Warriors6-3 · 7-2 ATS5th in the West

NBA · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · Chase Center

Final score by quarter

Team 1 2 3 4 OT T
Magic 19 22 37 32 9 119
Warriors 31 26 20 33 16 126

How the bets settled

MoneylineWarriors wonClosed at -309
SpreadMagic coveredMagic +7.5, by 0.5
TotalOver 220.5245 scored, 24.5 over

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Golden State beat Orlando 126-119, with overtime deciding it after regulation ended tied. The game swung in the third quarter when Orlando erased a double-digit halftime deficit and took a lead, but the Warriors controlled the extra period 16-9.

Stephen Curry led Golden State with 41 points, Draymond Green had 13 assists and Yaxel Lendeborg grabbed 8 rebounds. Franz Wagner paced Orlando with 30 points and 11 assists, while Jamal Cain pulled down 12 rebounds. Golden State shot 54 percent from the field and 47 percent from three to Orlando’s 38 and 33 percent. Orlando’s 57 rebounds and 24 offensive boards kept it close, but Golden State turned turnovers into 26 points compared with Orlando’s 10.

For bettors, Orlando covered the 7.5-point closing spread by half a point, and the game went over the 220.5 total by 24.5.

How the props finished

8 of 11 cleared

Player Line Price Result
Gui Santos Over 2.5 rebounds -149 betus 1 Missed
Draymond Green Over 5.5 assists -122 Kalshi 13 Cleared
Brandin Podziemski Over 1.5 threes made -150 Kalshi 4 Cleared
Stephen Curry Over 0.5 steals -190 Fanatics 0 Missed
De’Anthony Melton Over 5.5 rebounds + assists +122 prophetexchange 2 Missed
Franz Wagner Over 0.5 steals -270 FanDuel 2 Cleared
Georges Niang Over 9.5 points + rebounds + assists -200 bet365 14 Cleared
Charles Bassey Over 4.5 points -116 FanDuel 8 Cleared
Al Horford Over 3.5 rebounds -141 betus 5 Cleared
Wendell Carter Jr. Over 0.5 threes made -156 Kalshi 3 Cleared
Anthony Black Over 0.5 steals -245 bet365 4 Cleared

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

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Against the spread, start to finish

WarriorsMagic
The score margin against the closing spread (Warriors -7.5). Blue: Warriors covering. Orange: Magic covering.
+13.5Largest ORL cover
56%ORL covering
+8.5Largest GS cover
44%GS covering

Win probability

WarriorsMagic
Blue: Warriors favored. Orange: Magic favored. ESPN’s in-game win probability, start to finish.

Top performers

Magic

Warriors

Team stats

MagicWarriors
38%FG%54%
33%3P%47%
71%FT%81%
57Rebounds42
29Assists32
44Points in the paint50
5Fast break points8
14Turnovers19
9Steals10
6Blocks10
6Biggest lead16

Box score

Orlando MagicGolden State Warriors

Orlando Magic

Player MIN PTS FG 3PT FT REB AST TO STL BLK OREB DREB PF +/-
Franz Wagner F 40 30 11-22 3-7 5-5 6 11 6 2 0 1 5 4 -2
Tristan da Silva F 39 19 7-21 5-16 0-0 7 2 1 1 0 5 2 0 -9
Wendell Carter Jr. C 40 19 6-12 3-3 4-9 11 0 2 0 2 6 5 6 -9
Anthony Black G 38 18 7-19 2-6 2-3 8 6 2 4 3 3 5 4 -7
Jase Richardson G 30 2 1-13 0-6 0-0 4 4 1 0 0 3 1 2 +5
Bench
Jamal Cain F 36 18 6-14 2-8 4-4 12 1 2 1 1 4 8 3 -15
Nikola Vucevic C 6 0 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -5
Goga Bitadze C 7 4 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 0 5 1 +7
Jevon Carter G 15 9 3-7 3-7 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -8
Alex Morales G 15 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 +8
Colin Castleton Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total 119 43-113 18-54 15-21 57 29 14 9 6 24 33 24

Team shooting: FG 38% · 3PT 33% · FT 71%

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN PTS FG 3PT FT REB AST TO STL BLK OREB DREB PF +/-
Draymond Green F 34 2 1-5 0-1 0-2 6 13 4 2 2 0 6 2 +11
Gui Santos F 12 3 1-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 2 1 0 0 1 1 -4
Yaxel Lendeborg F 37 23 9-15 2-4 3-4 8 3 6 0 3 1 7 5 +6
Stephen Curry G 36 41 13-19 5-10 10-10 6 6 3 0 0 0 6 3 +11
Brandin Podziemski G 39 15 5-7 4-5 1-2 7 1 0 2 1 1 6 3 +6
Bench
Georges Niang F 25 11 4-6 3-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 +13
Al Horford C 13 2 1-4 0-2 0-0 5 4 0 0 2 0 5 0 -5
Charles Bassey C 11 8 2-4 0-0 4-4 4 0 0 0 1 1 3 1 -3
Gary Payton II G 13 4 2-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 0
De’Anthony Melton G 17 4 1-5 1-3 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 2 +1
Brandon Williams G 17 9 3-7 0-2 3-3 0 2 2 2 0 0 0 3 -2
Will Richard G 12 4 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 +1
Malevy Leons Did not play: Coach’s decision
LJ Cryer Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total 126 43-80 15-32 25-31 42 32 18 10 10 3 39 24

Team shooting: FG 54% · 3PT 47% · FT 81%

Attendance 18,064 · Officials: Curtis Blair, Robert Hussey, Intae Hwang

Recap: Stephen Curry scores 41 points as Warriors win seventh straight, beating Magic 126-119 in overtime (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

  • Magic have failed to cover in 3 straight games.
  • The under has hit in 3 straight Magic games.
  • Magic are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10.
  • The over is 3-7 in Magic’ last 10 games.
  • Warriors have covered the spread in 7 straight games.
  • Warriors are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10.
  • Magic are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings with the Warriors.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Magic vs Warriors pre-game preview

The betting market lists Golden State at -270 on the moneyline and -7.5 on the spread, with the total at 219.5. Orlando enters 2-6 straight up and 2-6 against the spread, and its last 10 are 3-7 and 3-7 ATS, including a 104-117 loss at Phoenix on Nov. 5. Golden State is 6-3 and 7-2 ATS, with a 6-4 last-10 mark and 7-3 ATS, after a 120-100 win over Miami. The last meeting on Dec. 22, 2025 was a 97-120 Orlando road loss, and over the last six meetings Orlando is 1-5 straight up and 0-1 ATS.

Injuries are a major research angle. Orlando lists Paolo Banchero, Jalen Suggs, Jonathan Isaac, Izaiyah Nelson and Noah Penda out. Golden State lists Kristaps Porzingis, Jimmy Butler and Moses Moody out.

The defensive ranks add context: Orlando allows 29.5 assists (28th) and Golden State allows 27.2 (23rd), while pace sits at 100.2 for Orlando (24th) and 101.2 for Golden State (19th). The Gui Santos over 2.5 rebounds prop has cleared 10 of last 10 and the StatsBench model projects 5.1.

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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Orlando Magic

Paolo Banchero PF24.5 PTS · 6.5 REB · 7.5 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/23 vs MIN 26 14 6 5 0
10/21 vs ATL 41 35 7 10 3
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs GS
PTS 24.5 (2) – 22.5 (81) 21.0 (1)
21
REB 6.5 (2) – 8.4 (81) 12.0 (1)
12
AST 7.5 (2) – 5.3 (81) 7.0 (1)
7

Franz Wagner SF19.6 PTS · 6.4 REB · 8.5 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/5 @ PHX 37 15 8 15 0
11/2 vs WAS 37 24 3 6 1
11/1 vs BOS 39 14 6 12 1
10/30 @ TOR 39 26 5 11 2
10/28 @ TOR 34 15 4 5 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs GS
PTS 19.6 (8) 19.8 (4) 19.9 (40) 18.0 (1)
18
REB 6.4 (8) 7.5 (4) 5.3 (40) 8.0 (1)
8
AST 8.5 (8) 10.0 (4) 3.4 (40) 3.0 (1)
3

Desmond Bane SG17.5 PTS · 3.9 REB · 2.3 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/5 @ PHX 32 15 6 0 3
11/2 vs WAS 36 20 3 3 4
11/1 vs BOS 39 19 2 1 5
10/30 @ TOR 38 28 2 6 6
10/28 @ TOR 33 13 5 4 2
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs GS
PTS 17.5 (8) 19.5 (4) 20.0 (91) 21.5 (2)
20 · 23
REB 3.9 (8) 4.8 (4) 4.2 (91) 5.0 (2)
4 · 6
AST 2.3 (8) 3.0 (4) 3.9 (91) 4.0 (2)
3 · 5

Golden State Warriors

Stephen Curry PG29.9 PTS · 3.7 REB · 4.4 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/5 vs MIA 27 29 1 4 6
11/2 vs PHX 32 34 6 7 5
10/30 vs LAL 30 31 4 6 8
10/28 @ MIN 31 44 8 6 6
10/26 @ DEN 26 24 3 3 3
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs ORL
PTS 29.9 (7) 29.5 (4) 26.5 (45) 30.0 (2)
26 · 34
REB 3.7 (7) 3.3 (4) 3.5 (45) 3.0 (2)
3 · 3
AST 4.4 (7) 5.3 (4) 4.7 (45) 7.5 (2)
6 · 9

Yaxel Lendeborg SF21.0 PTS · 7.1 REB · 4.1 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/5 vs MIA 30 17 8 6 1
11/2 vs PHX 29 16 5 5 2
11/1 vs LAC 33 37 4 6 6
10/30 vs LAL 24 6 1 0 1
10/28 @ MIN 34 26 9 1 2
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs ORL
PTS 21.0 (9) 18.8 (5) – –
REB 7.1 (9) 6.2 (5) – –
AST 4.1 (9) 4.6 (5) – –

Brandin Podziemski SG15.9 PTS · 5.1 REB · 4.7 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/5 vs MIA 31 9 6 3 2
11/2 vs PHX 32 20 3 2 3
11/1 vs LAC 37 17 8 8 2
10/30 vs LAL 33 21 5 6 4
10/28 @ MIN 31 8 5 6 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs ORL
PTS 15.9 (7) 17.0 (5) 14.0 (84) 10.5 (2)
16 · 5
REB 5.1 (7) 4.8 (5) 5.2 (84) 5.0 (2)
4 · 6
AST 4.7 (7) 4.4 (5) 3.6 (84) 2.5 (2)
5 · 0

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Magic 2-6 2-6 3-5 0-4 2-2
Warriors 6-3 7-2 5-4 4-1 2-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Magic vs Warriors head-to-head

Magic are 1-5, 0-1 ATS, O/U 0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Magic lost 97-120 on December 22, 2025.

Date Venue Magic result ATS O/U
Dec 22, 25 Warriors home L 97-120 L +6.5 U 228.5
Nov 18, 25 Magic home W 121-113 – –
Feb 27, 25 Magic home L 115-121 – –
Feb 3, 25 Warriors home L 99-104 – –
Mar 27, 24 Magic home L 93-101 – –
Jan 2, 24 Warriors home L 115-121 – –

Recent form

Orlando Magic: last 10 (3-7, 3-7 ATS, O/U 3-7)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 5, 26 @ PHX L 104-117 L +1.5 U 222.5
Nov 2, 26 vs WSH L 94-103 L -2.5 U 224.5
Nov 1, 26 vs BOS L 97-108 L +6.5 U 221.5
Oct 30, 26 @ TOR W 121-114 W +5.5 O 226.5
Oct 28, 26 @ TOR L 99-129 L +5.5 O 224.5
Oct 25, 26 @ NY W 111-102 W +6.5 U 224.5
Oct 23, 26 vs MIN L 93-115 L -1.5 U 234.5
Oct 21, 26 vs ATL L 125-132 L -2.5 O 233.5
Apr 12, 26 @ BOS L 108-113 L -12.5 U 222.5
Apr 10, 26 @ CHI W 127-103 W -16.5 U 246.5

Golden State Warriors: last 10 (6-4, 7-3 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 5, 26 vs MIA W 120-100 W -3.5 U 236.5
Nov 2, 26 vs PHX W 116-113 W -2.5 O 227.5
Nov 1, 26 vs LAC W 124-112 W -1.5 O 220.5
Oct 30, 26 vs LAL W 112-95 W +2.5 U 234.5
Oct 28, 26 @ MIN W 119-114 W +3.5 O 227.5
Oct 26, 26 @ DEN W 134-114 W +6.5 O 236.5
Oct 24, 26 @ PHX L 122-131 W +9.5 O 221.5
Oct 23, 26 vs MEM L 108-111 L -4.5 U 236.5
Oct 21, 26 @ LAL L 105-127 L +6.5 U 233.5
Apr 12, 26 @ LAC L 110-115 L +3.5 U 229.5

Injury report

Orlando Magic

  • Jonathan Isaac (PF): Out, Left Knee Injury Management
  • Izaiyah Nelson (SF): Out, Left Ankle Injury Recovery
  • Noah Penda (PF): Out, Right Partially Torn Hamstring
  • Paolo Banchero (PF): Out, Right High Ankle Sprain
  • Jalen Suggs (PG): Out, Right Knee Contusion / Bone Bruise
  • Desmond Bane (SG): Out, Illness

Golden State Warriors

  • Kristaps Porzingis (C): Out, Not With Team
  • Jimmy Butler (SF): Out, Right ACL Repair / Surgery
  • Moses Moody (SG): Out, Left Patellar Tendon Repair / Surgery

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Magic defense Warriors defense
Points allowed per game 116.2 (22nd of 30) 113.6 (15th of 30)
Rebounds allowed per game 42.4 (8th of 30) 42.6 (9th of 30)
Assists allowed per game 29.8 (29th of 30) 27.4 (22nd of 30)
Threes allowed per game 12.9 (15th of 30) 13.2 (16th of 30)
Pace (possessions) 100.2 (23rd) 101.2 (18th)

Venue and weather

Chase Center · San Francisco, CAIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Magic vs Warriors odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Warriors spread -6.5 -7.5 -1
Total 220.5 220.5 –
Magic moneyline +191 +250 -5.8% win chance
Warriors moneyline -230 -309 +5.9% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Warriors spread -6.5 → -7.5
Total 221.5 → 219.5
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More on these teams: Orlando Magic stats · Golden State Warriors stats · New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors Nov 9 · Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Nov 5 · Orlando Magic vs Phoenix Suns Nov 5 · All NBA prop picks

Betting guides: NBA player props guide · how to predict NBA props · NBA first basket guide · how parlays work

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