How the bets settled
Match report
Internazionale beat Como 2-0, with F. Esposito opening the scoring in the 12th minute from D. Spence’s assist and M. Thuram doubling the lead in the 19th.
The stats reflected Inter’s control of the chances: they posted 1.86 expected goals to Como’s 0.19, 14 shots to 5, and 4 big chances to 0, despite holding only 43% possession to Como’s 57%. Inter also had 4 corners to Como’s 2 and completed 88% of passes to Como’s 91%, with Inter receiving the match’s only yellow card.
Inter came in on LWWWW and Como on WWWWD. Inter’s 70% both teams to score and 80% over 2.5 pre-match rates, plus Como’s 60% and 50%, contrasted with a 2-0 finish, while Esposito and Thuram settled the key attacking moments.
How the props finished
5 of 11 cleared
| Player | Line | Price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 score or assist | +120 |
1 Cleared | |
| Over 0.5 shots | -105 |
0 Missed | |
| Over 0.5 shots | -115 |
2 Cleared | |
| Over 0.5 shots | +100 |
0 Missed | |
| Kaiki | Over 0.5 shots | -137 |
0 Missed |
| Over 1.5 shots | +200 |
2 Cleared | |
| Over 2.5 shots | +138 |
0 Missed | |
| Over 0.5 shots on target | +110 |
0 Missed | |
| Over 0.5 fouls won | -150 |
1 Cleared | |
| Over 0.5 fouls | -188 |
5 Cleared | |
| Over 1.5 tackles | -195 |
0 Missed |
Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the match, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.
Goals
- 12′ F. Esposito, assist D. Spence Internazionale
- 19′ M. Thuram Internazionale
| Match stats | Internazionale | Como |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | 1.82 | 0.21 |
| Ball possession | 43% | 57% |
| Total shots | 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target | 4 | 1 |
| Big chances | 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks | 4 | 2 |
| Passes | 88% (439/499) | 91% (593/652) |
| Yellow cards | 1 | 0 |
How the key matchups went
- Spence: 0 shots, 0 shots on target, 1 foul won. Valle: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
- Dimarco: 4 shots, 1 shot on target, 0 fouls won. Couto: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
- Esposito: 1 shot, 1 shot on target, 2 fouls won. Ramon: 3 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards. Kempf: 0 fouls committed, 3 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
- Thuram: 5 shots, 1 shot on target, 1 foul won. Ramon: 3 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards. Kempf: 0 fouls committed, 3 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
- Da Cunha: 0 shots, 0 shots on target, 1 foul won. Dimarco: 0 fouls committed, 2 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
- Baturina: 0 shots, 0 shots on target, 2 fouls won. Spence: 0 fouls committed, 2 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
- Douvikas: 0 shots, 0 shots on target, 1 foul won. Akanji: 0 fouls committed, 3 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Bastoni: 3 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Carlos Augusto: 2 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
Box score
Inter
| Player | MIN | G | A | SH | SOT | xG | KP | PAS | TKL | FC | FS | YC | SV | RAT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 42/48 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 25/35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7.0 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.08 | 3 | 61/66 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.4 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 48/51 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 | |
| 88 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0.49 | 3 | 17/22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8.3 | |
| 72 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.91 | 2 | 18/25 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 29/33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.4 | |
| 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 22/24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 67/74 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.4 | |
| 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 53/57 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 | |
| 87 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.31 | 0 | 28/32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 | |
| Pavard B. | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| Mkhitaryan H. | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 11/12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| Sucic P. | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 11/11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| Bonny A. | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 5/6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Diouf A. | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Como
| Player | MIN | G | A | SH | SOT | xG | KP | PAS | TKL | FC | FS | YC | SV | RAT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 77/85 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 65/71 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 | |
| 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 39/43 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 83/87 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 | |
| 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 50/57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 25/29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6.0 | |
| 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 16/16 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 38/48 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 | |
| 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 43/44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 | |
| 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 40/43 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 4/5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.6 | |
| Smolcic I. | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 52/58 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 |
| Kaiki | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1/2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Caqueret M. | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 8/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Ricci S. | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 48/49 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Liberali M. | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 4/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
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Internazionale vs Como pre-game preview
Internazionale host Como in Serie A on Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. The three-way moneyline has no listed prices for home, draw, or away, and the total is n/a. Inter sit third with 25 points from 10 matches, while Como are fourth with 23.
The last meeting was a 4-3 Internazionale win at Como on April 12, 2026. Inter’s most recent league form is LWWWW and their home record is 5-0-0. Como’s form is WWWWD and their away record is 4-1-1.
Como’s injury list includes Moise Kean, Assane Diao, Jesús Rodriguez and Jayden Addai; Inter are without Luis Henrique. Marcus Thuram’s over 0.5 score or assist prop at +120 has cleared in 7 of his last 10. Inter have gone over 2.5 goals in 80% of matches and both teams scored in 70%, while Como have gone over 2.5 in 50% and both teams scored in 60%.
Confirmed lineups
The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.
Internazionale 3-5-2
Como 4-2-3-1
1 Martinez
25 Akanji
95 Bastoni
30 Carlos Augusto
99 Spence
23 Barella (C)
20 Calhanoglu
7 Zielinski
32 Dimarco
94 Esposito
9 Thuram
97 Sanchez
27 Couto
4 Ramon
2 Kempf
3 Valle
5 Perrone
6 Milla
7 Da Cunha (C)
10 Paz
20 Baturina
9 DouvikasInternazionale missing: Luis Henrique (thigh), L. Martinez (thigh)
Como missing: J. Addai (muscle), T. Chalobah (injury), A. Diao (thigh), M. Kean (leg), J. Rodriguez (injury)
Form and head to head
Internazionale3rd in the tableLWWWW8W 1D 1L · 2.50 points a match
Como5th in the tableWWWWD7W 2D 1L · 2.30 points a match- Apr 2026COM 3-4 INT
- Dec 2025INT 4-0 COM
- May 2025COM 0-2 INT
- Dec 2024INT 2-0 COM
Clean sheets and goal trends
Internazionale
Clean sheet3/10
Failed to score0/10
Both scored7/10
Over 2.58/10
Como
Clean sheet3/10
Failed to score2/10
Both scored6/10
Over 2.55/10
Attack and defense
Attacking
- 2.6Scored per match1.8
- 19.0Shots per match16.0
- 7.2Shots on target per match6.1
- 3.2Big chances per match2.4
Defensive
- 1.3Conceded per match0.8
- 8.7Shots against per match10.9
- 16.6Tackles per match16.3
- 9.3Fouls per match8.1
Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.
Recent results
| Inter | LWWWW | L 1-3 at MIL · W 2-0 at VEN · W 2-1 vs FIO · W 3-1 at BOL · W 3-0 vs PRM |
|---|---|---|
| Como | WWWWD | W 1-0 vs VEN · W 3-1 at TOR · W 2-0 vs SAS · W 3-1 at FIO · D 0-0 vs ROM |
Last five Serie A results, most recent first.
Season numbers
| Inter | Como | |
|---|---|---|
| Table | 3 (25 pts) | 5 (23 pts) |
| Record (W-D-L) | 8-1-1 | 7-2-1 |
| Home / away record | 5-0-0 (17-7) home | 4-1-1 (13-7) away |
| Goals scored per match | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.30 | 0.80 |
| Shots / on target per match | 19.00 / 7.20 | 16.00 / 6.10 |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals | 90% / 80% / 60% | 80% / 50% / 30% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 20% |
| Yellow cards per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Corners per match | 6.40 | 7.10 |
This season, 10 and 10 matches.
Referee
Daniele Chiffi averages 2.8 yellow cards and 22.0 fouls per match over 8 matches this season (league average 3.1 and 21.7).
Injury report
Internazionale
- Luis Henrique (M): Out, Thigh Injury
Como
- Assane Diao (M): Out, Thigh Injury
- Jesús Rodriguez (M): Out, Muscle Injury
- Jayden Addai (M): Out, Muscle Injury
More on these teams: Como vs Venezia Nov 1 · AC Milan vs Internazionale Oct 31 · All Serie A prop picks · All Serie A predictions
Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work
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