Wizards vs Pacers Prediction, Starting Lineups & Player Props (Nov 11, 2026)

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NBA prop picks: today's featured picks
Washington Wizards logo

Wizards4-7 · 5-6 ATS10th in the East
7:00 PM ETWed, Nov 11Win % 48–52
Indiana Pacers logo

Pacers3-8 · 6-5 ATS12th in the East

NBA · Wednesday, November 11, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Washington Wizards +130 +2.5 -105 O 227.5 -112
Indiana Pacers -145 -2.5 -111 U 227.5 -108

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 1:48 PM ET.

Wizards vs Pacers preview

The Wednesday matchup in Indiana lists Indiana as a 4.5-point favorite with a 226.5 total, down from an opening 228.5, and Indiana at -160 on the moneyline. The last meeting was Feb. 20, 2026, when Washington won 131-118 at home. Washington is 4-7 straight up and 5-6 against the spread this season, with a 3-7 straight-up and 4-6 ATS mark over its last 10; Indiana is 3-8 straight up and 6-5 ATS, and 2-8 straight up and 5-5 ATS over its last 10. Washington is 4-6 straight up and 3-1 ATS in the last 10 head-to-head meetings.

The main research angles are Indiana’s injury list and a StatsBench projection. Tyrese Haliburton is out with a left hamstring strain and T.J. McConnell is questionable with a right hamstring strain. In the props market, StatsBench projects Pascal Siakam at 29.4 points plus assists against a 25.5 line.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Wizards vs Pacers player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5 Projection
Anthony Davis WAS Over 0.5 steals -240 Fanatics 90% (9/10) 80% 1.4
AJ Dybantsa WAS Over 0.5 threes made -245 Kalshi 85.7% (6/7) 80% –
Jarace Walker IND Over 4.5 rebounds +100 bet365 80% (8/10) 80% 6.8
T.J. McConnell IND Over 1.5 rebounds -115 Cloudbet 80% (8/10) 80% 2.2
Obi Toppin IND Over 3.5 field goals made -167 Cloudbet 80% (8/10) 80% –

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 1:48 PM ET.

The rest of the Wizards vs Pacers propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Kelly Oubre Jr.Over 3.5 rebounds + assists8/10
KyShawn GeorgeOver 0.5 blocks8/10
Andrew NembhardOver 26.5 points + rebounds + assists7/10

Key matchups

Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.

Kelly Oubre Jr. vs Wizards

Kelly Oubre Jr.SF, IND
VS
WizardsDefense vs small forwards
Good matchup for Kelly Oubre Jr.Wizards allow 20 rebounds + assists a game to small forwards, 4th most in the league. Jr. averages 3.8 against a line of 3.5.
Toughest27th of 30, rebounds + assistsSoftest
Rebounds + assists over 3.58/10avg 3.8 · 27th of 30 vs SF · -170bet365
Threes made over 0.57/10avg 0.8 · 19th of 30 vs SF · -186Kalshi
Points + rebounds + assists over 9.57/10avg 13 · 28th of 30 vs SF · -250bet365

Anthony Davis vs Pacers

Anthony DavisC, WAS
VS
PacersDefense vs centers
Good matchup for Anthony DavisPacers allow 1.2 steals a game to centers, 9th most in the league. Davis averages 1.3 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest22nd of 30, stealsSoftest
Steals over 0.59/10avg 1.3 · 22nd of 30 vs C · -240Fanatics
Points + rebounds + assists over 35.57/10avg 37.1 · 21st of 30 vs C · -112FanDuel
Points + assists over 25.56/10avg 27.3 · 22nd of 30 vs C · +100Fanatics

AJ Dybantsa vs Pacers

AJ DybantsaSF, WAS
VS
PacersDefense vs small forwards
Good matchup for AJ DybantsaPacers allow 3.7 threes a game to small forwards, 9th most in the league. Dybantsa averages 0.9 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest22nd of 30, threesSoftest
Threes made over 0.56/7avg 0.9 · 22nd of 30 vs SF · -245Kalshi
Rebounds over 5.55/7avg 6.1 · 25th of 30 vs SF · -127BetParx
Assists over 1.55/7avg 2.1 · 20th of 30 vs SF · -223Kalshi

KyShawn George vs Pacers

KyShawn GeorgeSG, WAS
VS
PacersDefense vs shooting guards
Good matchup for KyShawn GeorgePacers allow 0.8 blocks a game to shooting guards, 10th most in the league. George averages 1.4 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest21st of 30, blocksSoftest
Blocks over 0.58/10avg 1.4 · 21st of 30 vs SG · -170bet365
Threes made over 1.57/10avg 2.3 · 21st of 30 vs SG · -170Kalshi
Points + rebounds over 19.56/10avg 22.2 · 22nd of 30 vs SG · -110bet365

T.J. McConnell vs Wizards

T.J. McConnellPG, IND
VS
WizardsDefense vs point guards
Tough matchup for T.J. McConnellWizards allow 5.2 rebounds a game to point guards, 7th fewest in the league. McConnell averages 2.1 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest7th of 30, reboundsSoftest
Rebounds over 1.58/10avg 2.1 · 7th of 30 vs PG · -115Cloudbet
Points + assists over 11.57/10avg 14.9 · 6th of 30 vs PG · +110Fanatics
Points + rebounds + assists over 11.57/10avg 17 · 5th of 30 vs PG · -116Cloudbet

Jarace Walker vs Wizards

Jarace WalkerPF, IND
VS
WizardsDefense vs power forwards
Tough matchup for Jarace WalkerWizards allow 13.6 points a game to power forwards, 5th fewest in the league. Walker averages 7.8 against a line of 4.5.
Toughest5th of 30, pointsSoftest
Points over 4.58/10avg 7.8 · 5th of 30 vs PF · -350bet365
Rebounds + assists over 5.58/10avg 7.5 · 10th of 30 vs PF · -145bet365
Rebounds over 4.58/10avg 5.7 · 17th of 30 vs PF · +100bet365

Betting trends

  • The over is 2-8 in Wizards’ last 10 games.
  • The over is 3-7 in Pacers’ last 10 games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Projected starting lineups

Projected starting fives. Teams confirm their starters about 30 minutes before tip and this page updates then. Updated 1:48 PM ET. The badge next to each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent games; green at 70% or better.

Washington WizardsProjected
  1. PGTrae YoungOver 11.5 rebounds + assists7/10
  2. SGKyShawn GeorgeOver 1.5 threes made7/10
  3. SFAJ DybantsaOver 5.5 rebounds5/7
  4. PFAnthony DavisOver 35.5 points + rebounds + assists7/10
  5. CAlexandre SarrOver 6.5 rebounds6/10

Not in the lineup or in doubt: Tristan Vukcevic (out), Jamir Watkins (out), Justin Champagnie (out), Reece Beekman (out)

Indiana PacersProjected
  1. PGAndrew NembhardOver 26.5 points + rebounds + assists7/10
  2. SGBraden Smith
  3. SFAaron NesmithOver 1.5 assists6/10
  4. PFPascal SiakamOver 25.5 points + assists7/10
  5. CIvica ZubacOver 1.5 assists6/10

Not in the lineup or in doubt: Johnny Furphy (out), Ben Sheppard (out), Tyrese Haliburton (out), T.J. McConnell (questionable)

Every NBA starting lineup today

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Wizards vs Pacers defense vs position

What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 30 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.

Wizards defense facing the Pacers

Pos Pts Reb Ast 3PM PRA
PGAndrew Nembhard 21.24th 5.27th 7.48th 1.71st 33.75th
SGBraden Smith 32.628th 9.929th 9.630th 4.827th 52.230th
SFAaron Nesmith 36.529th 13.627th 6.422nd 3.519th 56.528th
PFPascal Siakam 13.65th 9.317th 2.02nd 1.610th 24.94th
CIvica Zubac 13.23rd 12.420th 2.66th 1.121st 28.26th

Softest spot: 9.6 assists a game to shooting guards, the most in the league. Braden Smith is projected to start there.

Toughest spot: 1.7 threes a game to point guards, the fewest in the league. Andrew Nembhard is projected to start there.

Pacers defense facing the Wizards

Pos Pts Reb Ast 3PM PRA
PGTrae Young 20.43rd 4.02nd 6.11st 3.49th 30.51st
SGKyShawn George 25.218th 9.226th 8.429th 4.221st 42.724th
SFAJ Dybantsa 31.624th 12.325th 5.520th 3.722nd 49.524th
PFAnthony Davis 20.519th 9.823rd 3.919th 2.220th 34.220th
CAlexandre Sarr 19.121st 12.522nd 3.721st 0.78th 35.321st

Softest spot: 8.4 assists a game to shooting guards, 2nd most in the league. KyShawn George is projected to start there.

Toughest spot: 6.1 assists a game to point guards, the fewest in the league. Trae Young is projected to start there.

The props these matchups touchEvery NBA line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Washington Wizards

Anthony Davis C25.7 PTS · 9.7 REB · 1.9 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/9 @ DET 34 44 13 1 2
11/4 vs ATL 29 26 10 3 0
11/2 @ ORL 33 27 9 1 1
10/30 vs CHA 34 25 13 1 0
10/28 @ CLE 33 18 5 3 2
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs IND
PTS 25.7 (9) 27.4 (5) 20.4 (20) –
REB 9.7 (9) 8.6 (5) 11.1 (20) –
AST 1.9 (9) 1.8 (5) 2.8 (20) –

Trae Young PG18.5 PTS · 3.2 REB · 8.7 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/9 @ DET 38 20 1 7 3
11/7 @ OKC 28 4 5 3 0
11/6 @ ATL 36 23 2 10 3
11/4 vs ATL 33 18 2 6 2
11/2 @ ORL 34 15 3 9 2
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs IND
PTS 18.5 (11) 17.6 (7) 17.9 (15) –
REB 3.2 (11) 3.7 (7) 2.0 (15) –
AST 8.7 (11) 8.0 (7) 8.0 (15) –

KyShawn George SG17.9 PTS · 4.4 REB · 5.0 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/9 @ DET 34 12 3 2 2
11/7 @ OKC 29 14 7 6 2
11/6 @ ATL 39 33 4 8 5
11/4 vs ATL 35 25 4 7 3
11/2 @ ORL 36 22 4 5 4
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs IND
PTS 17.9 (11) 18.7 (7) 14.8 (48) 6.7 (3)
6 · 9 · 5
REB 4.4 (11) 4.7 (7) 5.1 (48) 4.7 (3)
3 · 8 · 3
AST 5.0 (11) 5.6 (7) 4.5 (48) 4.7 (3)
1 · 9 · 4

Indiana Pacers

Pascal Siakam PF22.2 PTS · 6.8 REB · 4.3 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/9 @ DAL 35 29 9 8 5
11/7 vs DEN 31 23 2 5 2
11/4 @ MEM 30 20 5 2 2
11/1 vs BKN 35 17 5 5 0
10/30 @ MIA 28 13 5 4 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs WSH
PTS 22.2 (10) 22.3 (4) 24.0 (62) 17.5 (2)
11 · 24
REB 6.8 (10) 5.3 (4) 6.6 (62) 7.5 (2)
4 · 11
AST 4.3 (10) 4.0 (4) 3.8 (62) 2.5 (2)
4 · 1

Tyrese Haliburton PG21.8 PTS · 4.5 REB · 9.5 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/26 @ MIL 34 22 6 9 4
10/25 @ BKN 31 24 4 10 4
10/23 vs DAL 32 18 6 7 0
10/21 @ NOP 33 23 2 12 2
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs WSH
PTS 21.8 (4) 18.0 (1) – –
REB 4.5 (4) 6.0 (1) – –
AST 9.5 (4) 7.0 (1) – –

Andrew Nembhard PG17.1 PTS · 2.1 REB · 7.6 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/9 @ DAL 34 12 3 12 1
11/7 vs DEN 31 9 1 8 3
11/4 @ MEM 37 22 2 4 2
11/1 vs BKN 34 23 3 4 4
10/30 @ MIA 30 22 2 9 5
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs WSH
PTS 17.1 (9) 16.5 (4) 16.9 (57) 6.0 (2)
5 · 7
REB 2.1 (9) 2.3 (4) 2.8 (57) 1.5 (2)
1 · 2
AST 7.6 (9) 7.8 (4) 7.7 (57) 5.0 (2)
4 · 6

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Wizards 4-7 5-6 3-8 2-2 2-5
Pacers 3-8 6-5 4-7 0-5 3-3

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Wizards vs Pacers head-to-head

Wizards are 4-6, 3-1 ATS, O/U 1-3 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Wizards won 131-118 on February 20, 2026.

Date Venue Wizards result ATS O/U
Feb 20, 26 Wizards home W 131-118 W -1.5 O 230.5
Feb 19, 26 Wizards home W 112-105 W +2.5 U 233.5
Dec 14, 25 Pacers home W 108-89 W +10.5 U 233.5
Nov 28, 25 Pacers home L 86-119 L +6.5 U 240.5
Apr 8, 25 Pacers home L 98-104 – –
Mar 27, 25 Wizards home L 109-162 – –
Feb 12, 25 Wizards home L 130-134 – –
Nov 24, 24 Pacers home L 103-115 – –
Jan 10, 24 Pacers home L 104-112 – –
Dec 15, 23 Wizards home W 137-123 – –

Recent form

Washington Wizards: last 10 (3-7, 4-6 ATS, O/U 2-8)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 9, 26 @ DET L 111-122 L +9.5 O 218.5
Nov 7, 26 @ OKC L 75-114 L +12.5 U 224.5
Nov 6, 26 @ ATL L 132-139 W +8.5 O 228.5
Nov 4, 26 vs ATL L 105-120 L +1.5 U 229.5
Nov 2, 26 @ ORL W 103-94 W +2.5 U 224.5
Oct 30, 26 vs CHA W 95-79 W +1.5 U 218.5
Oct 28, 26 @ CLE L 111-121 L +9.5 U 240.5
Oct 26, 26 @ CHA L 103-110 L +2.5 U 225.5
Oct 24, 26 @ CHI W 124-120 W +1.5 U 244.5
Oct 23, 26 vs TOR L 102-112 L +9.5 U 236.5

Indiana Pacers: last 10 (2-8, 5-5 ATS, O/U 3-7)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 9, 26 @ DAL L 122-125 W +4.5 O 227.5
Nov 7, 26 vs DEN L 102-114 L +8.5 U 229.5
Nov 4, 26 @ MEM W 107-103 W +5.5 U 227.5
Nov 2, 26 vs ATL L 104-108 W +10.5 U 226.5
Nov 1, 26 vs BKN L 90-98 L -3.5 U 230.5
Oct 30, 26 @ MIA L 125-145 L +8.5 O 236.5
Oct 28, 26 vs PHI L 109-114 W +7.5 U 234.5
Oct 26, 26 @ MIL L 102-110 L -3.5 U 239.5
Oct 25, 26 @ BKN W 136-109 W -5.5 O 231.5
Oct 23, 26 vs DAL L 105-121 L -7.5 U 241.5

Injury report

Washington Wizards

  • Tristan Vukcevic (PF): Out, Left Hip Impingement
  • Jamir Watkins (SG): Out, Left ACL Repair / Surgery
  • Justin Champagnie (SF): Out, Right Foot Surgery
  • Reece Beekman (PG): Out, Right AC Joint Injury

Indiana Pacers

  • Johnny Furphy (SG): Out, Right ACL Repair / Surgery
  • Ben Sheppard (SG): Out, Left Meniscus Surgery
  • Tyrese Haliburton (PG): Out, Left Hamstring Strain
  • T.J. McConnell (PG): Questionable, Right Hamstring Strain

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Wizards defense Pacers defense
Points allowed per game 113.4 (16th of 30) 115.2 (20th of 30)
Rebounds allowed per game 47.8 (28th of 30) 47.4 (27th of 30)
Assists allowed per game 27.5 (22nd of 30) 27.1 (20th of 30)
Threes allowed per game 12.4 (11th of 30) 13.9 (20th of 30)
Pace (possessions) 101.1 (19th) 102.2 (6th)

Venue and weather

Gainbridge Fieldhouse · Indianapolis, INIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Wizards vs Pacers odds by sportsbook

Book WSH spread IND spread WSH ML IND ML Over Under
bet365 +2.5 -109 -2.5 -111 +123 -146 O 225.5 -110 U 225.5 -110
BetRivers +2.5 -110 -2.5 -112 +110 -149 O 227.5 -112 U 227.5 -109
Caesars +3 -110 -3 -110 +122 -145 O 228 -110 U 228 -110
DraftKings +2.5 -105 -2.5 -115 +124 -148 O 228.5 -107 U 228.5 -113
FanDuel +2.5 -106 -2.5 -116 +130 -154 O 227.5 -112 U 227.5 -108
Fanatics +3 -115 -3 -105 +125 -150 O 228 -110 U 228 -110

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 1:48 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line Open Now Move
Pacers spread -4.5 -2.5 +2
Total 228.5 228.5 –
Wizards moneyline +135 +124 +2.1% win chance
Pacers moneyline -161 -148 -2% win chance

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Pacers spread -4.5 → -2.5
Total 226.5 → 227.5
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More on these teams: Washington Wizards stats · Indiana Pacers stats · Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks Nov 9 · Washington Wizards vs Detroit Pistons Nov 9 · All NBA prop picks

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