Vikings vs Packers Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 15, 2026)

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NFL prop picks: today's featured picks
Minnesota Vikings logo

Vikings6-2 · 4-4 ATS6th in the NFC
1:00 PM ETSun, Nov 15Win % 44–55
Green Bay Packers logo

Packers6-3 · 6-3 ATS7th in the NFC

NFL · Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Lambeau Field

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Minnesota Vikings +130 +3 -109 O 42.5 -105
Green Bay Packers -148 -3 -104 U 42.5 -115

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 1:31 PM ET.

Vikings vs Packers preview

The betting market lists Green Bay at -148 on the moneyline and Minnesota at +134, with Green Bay -3 and a 42.5 total; DraftKings opened Green Bay -4.5 and 45.5 before moving to Green Bay -2.5 and 42.5. The last meeting was September 13, 2026, when Minnesota won 39-22 at home. Minnesota is 6-2 straight up and 4-4 against the spread this season, with an 8-2 last-10 record, 5-5 ATS and a most recent 6-23 loss to Buffalo. Green Bay is 6-3 straight up and 6-3 ATS, with a 6-4 last-10 mark, 7-3 ATS and a most recent 45-27 win at New England.

The main defensive angle is Minnesota allowing 14.5 points per game, first in the league, plus 186.9 passing yards allowed and 16.9 receptions allowed, both top rankings. Green Bay allows 21.2 points and 231.9 passing yards, ranked 10th and 13th. Among props, Jordan Love’s over 3.5 longest rush at -106 has cleared in 9 of his last 10, while Aaron Jones Sr.’s over 7.5 rushing attempts at -111 has cleared in 8 of his last 10 and in all three games against this opponent.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Vikings vs Packers player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5 vs this opponent
Jordan Love GB Over 3.5 longest rush -106 DraftKings 90% (9/10) 100% –
Dallas Turner MIN Over 1.5 solo tackles -135 Fanatics 90% (9/10) 80% 66.7% (3)
Trey Smack GB Over 1.5 xp made -200 Caesars 88.9% (8/9) 100% –
Aaron Jones Sr. MIN Over 7.5 rushing attempts -116 prophetexchange 80% (8/10) 60% 100% (3)
Will Reichard MIN Over 6.5 kicking points -122 BetRivers 80% (8/10) 60% 66.7% (3)

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 1:31 PM ET.

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Kirk CousinsOver 1.5 passing tds7/10
Evan WilliamsOver 4.5 solo tackles7/10
Andrew Van GinkelOver 0.5 sacks7/10

Key matchups

Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.

Aaron Jones Sr. vs Packers

Aaron Jones Sr.RB, MIN
VS
PackersDefense vs running backs
Even matchupPackers allow 93.2 rushing yards a game to running backs, 16th most in the league. Sr. averages 61.2 against a line of 27.5.
Toughest17th of 32, rushing yardsSoftest
Rushing yards over 27.57/10avg 61.2 · 17th of 32 vs RB · -108DraftKings
Receptions over 1.56/10avg 2.1 · 17th of 32 vs RB · -150Kalshi
Receiving yards over 10.53/10avg 11.3 · 20th of 32 vs RB · -108DraftKings

Jordan Mason vs Packers

Jordan MasonRB, MIN
VS
PackersDefense vs running backs
Even matchupPackers allow 93.2 rushing yards a game to running backs, 16th most in the league. Mason averages 45.1 against a line of 47.5.
Toughest17th of 32, rushing yardsSoftest
Rushing yards over 47.54/10avg 45.1 · 17th of 32 vs RB · -109DraftKings
Receptions over 0.53/10avg 0.4 · 17th of 32 vs RB · -194Kalshi
Receiving yards over 5.52/10avg 1.4 · 20th of 32 vs RB · -109DraftKings

Kirk Cousins vs Packers

Kirk CousinsQB, MIN
VS
PackersDefense vs quarterbacks
Even matchupPackers allow 231.9 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, 13th fewest in the league. Cousins averages 252 against a line of 233.5.
Toughest13th of 32, passing yardsSoftest
Passing yards over 233.57/10avg 252 · 13th of 32 vs QB · -110ESPN BET
Passing tds over 1.57/10avg 2.1 · 13th of 32 vs QB · +145BetRivers
Rushing yards over 0.54/10avg 0.7 · 10th of 32 vs QB · +105Circa

Christian Watson vs Vikings

Christian WatsonWR, GB
VS
VikingsDefense vs wide receivers
Tough matchup for Christian WatsonVikings allow 10 receptions a game to wide receivers, 8th fewest in the league. Watson averages 5.2 against a line of 4.5.
Toughest8th of 32, receptionsSoftest
Receptions over 4.56/10avg 5.2 · 8th of 32 vs WR · -132prophetexchange
Receiving tds over 0.56/10avg 0.8 · 3rd of 32 vs WR · +145Cloudbet
Receiving yards over 75.55/10avg 91.5 · 4th of 32 vs WR · -110prophetexchange

Matthew Golden vs Vikings

Matthew GoldenWR, GB
VS
VikingsDefense vs wide receivers
Tough matchup for Matthew GoldenVikings allow 119.9 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, 4th fewest in the league. Golden averages 86.7 against a line of 69.5.
Toughest4th of 32, receiving yardsSoftest
Receiving yards over 69.57/10avg 86.7 · 4th of 32 vs WR · -104Kalshi
Receptions over 5.56/10avg 5.7 · 8th of 32 vs WR · +113Kalshi
Receiving tds over 0.56/10avg 0.6 · 3rd of 32 vs WR · +140Cloudbet

Jordan Love vs Vikings

Jordan LoveQB, GB
VS
VikingsDefense vs quarterbacks
Tough matchup for Jordan LoveVikings allow 0.6 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks, the fewest in the league. Love averages 2.3 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest1st of 32, passing touchdownsSoftest
Passing tds over 1.59/10avg 2.3 · 1st of 32 vs QB · -111BetRivers
Passing yards over 251.58/10avg 294.1 · 2nd of 32 vs QB · -110Circa
Rushing yards over 4.54/10avg 3.4 · 8th of 32 vs QB · +104Kalshi

Betting trends

  • Vikings have failed to cover in 3 straight games.
  • The under has hit in 7 straight Vikings games.
  • The over is 1-9 in Vikings’ last 10 games.
  • Packers have covered the spread in 6 straight games.
  • Packers are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10.
  • The over is 3-7 in Packers’ last 10 games.
  • Vikings are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings with the Packers.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Vikings vs Packers defense vs position

What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 32 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.

Vikings defense facing the Packers

Pos Pass yds Rush yds Rec yds Catches TDs
QB 186.92nd 11.88th – – 0.61st
RB – 103.923rd 20.64th 3.01st 0.613th
WR – – 119.94th 10.08th 0.53rd
TE – – 46.47th 3.91st 0.16th

Softest spot: 103.9 rushing yards a game to running backs, 10th most in the league.

Toughest spot: 0.6 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks, the fewest in the league.

Packers defense facing the Vikings

Pos Pass yds Rush yds Rec yds Catches TDs
QB 231.913th 12.010th – – 1.413th
RB – 93.217th 35.020th 4.617th 1.230th
WR – – 155.921st 13.830th 1.022nd
TE – – 41.02nd 4.24th 0.27th

Softest spot: 1.2 rushing touchdowns a game to running backs, 3rd most in the league.

Toughest spot: 41.0 receiving yards a game to tight ends, 2nd fewest in the league.

The props these matchups touchEvery NFL line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Minnesota Vikings

Kirk Cousins QB233.1 pass yds · 1.9 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
11/8 @ SF 22/32 216 1 3 0
11/1 @ NYJ 19/26 247 3 0 3
10/25 vs LAR 26/44 295 2 0 6
10/18 vs BUF 23/41 313 2 1 0
10/11 @ NE 19/28 243 1 0 0
Splits Season Road 2025 vs GB
Pass yds 260.0 (9) 241.4 (5) 172.1 (10) –
Pass TD 2.2 (9) 2.2 (5) 1.0 (10) –

Aaron Jones Sr. RB57.0 rush yds · 2.2 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
11/10 vs BUF 5 16 0 1 5
11/1 @ DET 5 22 0 2 18
10/25 vs IND 8 26 0 1 0
10/11 @ NO 25 113 1 3 4
10/4 vs MIA 20 94 0 4 34
Splits Season Road 2025 vs GB
Rush yds 59.3 (8) 74.5 (4) 45.7 (12) 40.5 (2)
40 · 41
Rec 2.0 (8) 2.5 (4) 2.3 (12) 1.5 (2)
0 · 3

Justin Jefferson WR4.4 rec · 50.4 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
11/10 vs BUF 11 3 58 0
11/1 @ DET 9 5 33 1
10/25 vs IND 7 4 44 0
10/11 @ NO 7 6 79 1
9/27 @ TB 2 2 32 0
Splits Season Road 2025 vs GB
Rec 4.4 (7) 4.0 (4) 4.9 (17) 6.7 (3)
8 · 8 · 4
Rec yds 56.1 (7) 49.8 (4) 61.6 (17) 80.3 (3)
92 · 101 · 48

T.J. Hockenson TE3.7 rec · 34.8 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
11/10 vs BUF 7 4 33 0
11/1 @ DET 5 4 58 1
10/25 vs IND 5 4 35 1
10/11 @ NO 1 1 7 0
10/4 vs MIA 13 13 119 0
Splits Season Road 2025 vs GB
Rec 4.4 (8) 2.5 (4) 3.4 (15) 4.0 (2)
4 · 4
Rec yds 41.0 (8) 26.3 (4) 29.2 (15) 27.5 (2)
36 · 19

Green Bay Packers

Jordan Love QB257.6 pass yds · 2.0 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
11/8 @ NE 23/29 372 3 0 13
10/30 vs CAR 30/41 288 3 1 0
10/25 @ DET 27/45 274 2 1 0
10/19 vs DAL 23/41 276 1 1 12
10/11 vs CHI 25/31 367 2 0 6
Splits Season Home 2025 vs MIN
Pass yds 290.9 (9) 310.8 (4) 231.5 (16) 263.0 (2)
387 · 139
Pass TD 2.1 (9) 2.0 (4) 1.7 (16) 1.0 (2)
2 · 0

Josh Jacobs RB51.9 rush yds · 2.8 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
11/8 @ NE 4 5 0 0 0
10/30 vs CAR 21 39 1 6 13
10/25 @ DET 11 36 0 5 55
Splits Season Home 2025 vs MIN
Rush yds 26.7 (3) 39.0 (1) 61.5 (16) –
Rec 3.7 (3) 6.0 (1) 2.3 (16) –

Christian Watson WR4.8 rec · 82.2 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
11/8 @ NE 8 7 171 1
10/30 vs CAR 10 8 113 0
10/25 @ DET 8 5 57 0
10/19 vs DAL 8 3 64 0
10/11 vs CHI 8 6 143 2
Splits Season Home 2025 vs MIN
Rec 5.4 (9) 6.0 (4) 3.5 (11) 5.5 (2)
6 · 5
Rec yds 97.7 (9) 104.0 (4) 58.8 (11) 98.0 (2)
147 · 49

Matthew Golden WR4.2 rec · 62.8 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
11/8 @ NE 10 10 164 1
10/30 vs CAR 13 7 79 1
10/25 @ DET 12 6 39 0
10/19 vs DAL 13 6 104 1
10/11 vs CHI 7 6 123 0
Splits Season Home 2025 vs MIN
Rec 5.9 (9) 6.0 (4) 2.2 (15) 3.5 (2)
6 · 1
Rec yds 87.0 (9) 101.5 (4) 29.7 (15) 51.5 (2)
95 · 8

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Vikings 6-2 4-4 1-7 3-1 3-1
Packers 6-3 6-3 3-6 3-1 3-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Vikings vs Packers head-to-head

Vikings are 5-2, 1-1 ATS, O/U 1-1 in the last 7 meetings. Last time: Vikings won 39-22 on September 13, 2026.

Date Venue Vikings result ATS O/U
Sep 13, 26 Vikings home W 39-22 W -2.5 O 46.5
Jan 4, 26 Vikings home W 16-3 L -13.5 U 37.5
Nov 23, 25 Packers home L 6-23 – –
Dec 29, 24 Vikings home W 27-25 – –
Sep 29, 24 Packers home W 31-29 – –
Dec 31, 23 Vikings home L 10-33 – –
Oct 29, 23 Packers home W 24-10 – –

Recent form

Minnesota Vikings: last 10 (8-2, 5-5 ATS, O/U 1-9)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 9, 26 vs BUF L 6-23 L +3.5 U 46.5
Nov 1, 26 @ DET L 15-19 L +3.5 U 45.5
Oct 25, 26 vs IND W 16-10 L -6.5 U 41.5
Oct 11, 26 @ NO W 23-13 W -2.5 U 41.5
Oct 4, 26 vs MIA W 15-10 L -10 U 38.5
Sep 27, 26 @ TB W 23-16 W +1.5 U 42.5
Sep 20, 26 @ CHI W 9-3 W +4.5 U 46.5
Sep 13, 26 vs GB W 39-22 W -2.5 O 46.5
Jan 4, 26 vs GB W 16-3 L -13.5 U 37.5
Dec 25, 25 vs DET W 23-10 W +7.5 U 45.5

Green Bay Packers: last 10 (6-4, 7-3 ATS, O/U 3-7)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 8, 26 @ NE W 45-27 W +3.5 O 44.5
Oct 29, 26 vs CAR W 27-19 W -3.5 U 47.5
Oct 25, 26 @ DET L 17-20 W +3.5 U 55.5
Oct 18, 26 vs DAL W 23-13 W +1.5 U 54.5
Oct 11, 26 vs CHI W 31-7 W +1.5 U 46.5
Oct 4, 26 @ TB W 17-14 W -2.5 U 38.5
Sep 24, 26 vs ATL L 14-35 L -4.5 O 43.5
Sep 20, 26 @ NYJ W 20-17 L -3.5 U 44.5
Sep 13, 26 @ MIN L 22-39 L +2.5 O 46.5
Jan 4, 26 @ MIN L 3-16 W +13.5 U 37.5

Injury report

Minnesota Vikings

  • Jamal Adams (LB): IR, ir
  • Tyler Batty (LB): IR, The Vikings placed Batty
  • Nick Samac (C): IR, The Vikings placed Samac
  • Josh Oliver (TE): IR, The Vikings placed Oliver
  • Donovan Jackson (G): IR, Jackson
  • Kyler Murray (QB): Out, Murray
  • Demond Claiborne (RB): IR, The Vikings placed Claiborne
  • Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins (DE): Out, Ingram-Dawkins
  • Blake Cashman (LB): Out, Cashman
  • T.J. Hockenson (TE): Out, Hockenson
  • Kyle Van Noy (LB): Questionable, Van Noy
  • Jordan Addison (WR): Questionable, Addison is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game in Green Bay due to a thumb injury
  • Joshua Metellus (S): Questionable, Metellus
  • Jauan Jennings (WR): Out, Jennings

Green Bay Packers

  • Luke Musgrave (TE): PUP-R, Packers head coach Matt Lafleur said Thursday it’s "tough to say" whether Musgrave
  • Micah Parsons (DE): PUP-R, Parsons
  • Johnathan Baldwin II (S): IR, ir
  • Collin Oliver (DE): IR-R, Oliver is dealing with Achilles and calf injuries
  • Thomas Yassmin (TE): IR, Green Bay reverted Yassmin
  • Zach Bako-Bewele (OT): IR, The Packers placed Bako-Bewele
  • Edgerrin Cooper (LB): IR, Cooper
  • Chris Brooks (RB): IR-R, Brooks
  • Skyy Moore (WR): IR-R, Moore
  • Zaire Franklin (LB): Doubtful, Franklin
  • Sean Rhyan (G): Out, Rhyan
  • Travis Glover (OT): Questionable, Glover
  • Josh Whyle (TE): Out, Whyle
  • Josh Jacobs (RB): Out, Jacobs underwent surgery on his fractured right ring finger Friday and "should be back in the next few weeks," Tom Pelissero of Netflix reports
  • Kevin Zeitler (G): Questionable, Zeitler
  • Javon Bullard (S): Questionable, Bullard
  • Lukas Van Ness (DE): Questionable, Van Ness
  • Xavier McKinney (S): Questionable, McKinney
  • Warren Brinson (DT): IR, Coach Matt LaFleur said Thursday that he expects Brinson
  • Jayden Reed (WR): IR, The Packers are expected to place Reed
  • Javon Hargrave (DT): IR, The Packers placed Hargrave
  • Jonathan Ford (DT): IR, The Packers placed Ford
  • Jacob Monk (C): IR, The Packers placed Monk

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Vikings defense Packers defense
Points allowed per game 14.5 (1st of 32) 21.2 (10th of 32)
Passing yards allowed per game 186.9 (2nd of 32) 231.9 (13th of 32)
Rushing yards allowed per game 118.9 (18th of 32) 109 (16th of 32)
Receptions allowed per game 16.9 (1st of 32) 22.6 (23rd of 32)

Venue and weather

Lambeau Field · Green Bay, WIOutdoor
37°Fpartly cloudyWind 2 mphRain 0%

Forecast for the start time (Open-Meteo); it can change before the game.

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Vikings vs Packers odds by sportsbook

Book MIN spread GB spread MIN ML GB ML Over Under
bet365 +2.5 +100 -2.5 -120 +129 -154 O 42.5 -105 U 42.5 -115
BetRivers +3 -109 -3 -111 +110 -179 O 42 -110 U 42 -110
Caesars +3 -117 -3 -104 +130 -154 O 42 -110 U 42 -109
DraftKings +2.5 +100 -2.5 -120 +124 -148 O 42.5 -105 U 42.5 -115
FanDuel +3 -110 -3 -110 +130 -154 O 42.5 -105 U 42.5 -115
Fanatics +3 -115 -3 -105 +130 -155 O 42 -110 U 42 -110

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 1:31 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line Open Now Move
Packers spread -4.5 -2.5 +2
Total 45.5 42.5 -3
Vikings moneyline +185 +124 +9.6% win chance
Packers moneyline -225 -148 -9.6% win chance

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Packers spread -3 → -3
Total 42.5 → 42.5
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More on these teams: Minnesota Vikings stats · Green Bay Packers stats · Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings Nov 9 · Green Bay Packers vs New England Patriots Nov 8 · All NFL prop picks

Betting guides: NFL player props predictions · anytime touchdown scorer guide · NFL receiving yards props · how parlays work

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