Cincinnati vs Dayton Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 14, 2026)

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College Basketball prop picks: today's featured picks
Cincinnati Bearcats logo

Cincinnati2-1 · 1-2 ATS
7:30 PM ETSat, Nov 14Win % 75–25
Dayton Flyers logo

Dayton1-2 · 1-2 ATS

College Basketball · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · UD Arena

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Cincinnati Bearcats -250 -6.5 -102 O 147.5 -111
Dayton Flyers +220 +6.5 -114 U 147.5 -109

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 12:46 PM ET.

Cincinnati vs Dayton preview

Saturday’s Cincinnati at Dayton matchup has a stable market: Cincinnati is the -280 moneyline favorite, Dayton is +6.5 on the spread, and the total is 147.5, with DraftKings’ opening line unchanged at Dayton +6.5 and 147.5.

In the last meeting on Nov. 11, 2025, Cincinnati won 74-62 at home and has taken two of the last three in the series. Cincinnati is 2-1 this season and 1-2 against the spread with an 0-3 over/under; its last 10 are 6-4 straight up and 4-6 ATS, most recently a 61-63 loss to Minnesota. Dayton is 1-2 and 1-2 ATS with a 3-0 over/under; its last 10 are 6-4 straight up and 4-6 ATS, most recently an 89-99 loss to Siena.

The pace angle is mild: Dayton sits at 71.8 (rank 142) and Cincinnati at 69.2 (rank 236). For a player prop, Landen Joseph’s over 15.5 points + rebounds + assists is priced at -140; he has cleared it in 8 of last 10, and the StatsBench model projects 16.2.

StatsBench picks for this game

  • Landen Joseph OVER 1.5 3PM (+130): pending

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Top Cincinnati vs Dayton player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5 Projection
Landen Joseph Dayton Flyers Over 15.5 points + rebounds + assists -135 Fliff 80% (8/10) 80% 16.2

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 12:46 PM ET.

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Betting trends

  • The under has hit in 4 straight Cincinnati games.
  • The over has hit in 3 straight Dayton games.
  • The over is 3-7 in Dayton’s last 10 games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Trade Cincinnati vs Dayton on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 3 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Tylen Riley G12.0 PTS · 2.7 REB · 3.7 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/9 vs MINN 32 25 5 3 6
11/5 vs GB 16 2 2 3 0
11/2 vs AMER 23 9 1 5 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs DAY
Rec – – – –
Rec yds – – – –

Myles Colvin G12.0 PTS · 6.0 REB · 0.7 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/9 vs MINN 22 5 5 0 1
11/5 vs GB 34 28 6 1 6
11/2 vs AMER 14 3 7 1 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs DAY
Rec – – – –
Rec yds – – – –

MJ Collins Jr. G11.0 PTS · 2.3 REB · 2.7 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/9 vs MINN 27 6 2 2 0
11/5 vs GB 34 14 3 6 3
11/2 vs AMER 25 13 2 0 1
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs DAY
Rec – – – –
Rec yds – – – –

Dayton Flyers

Aiden Derkack G22.0 PTS · 10.3 REB · 2.7 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/10 vs SIE 34 25 10 4 1
11/7 vs NIU 40 20 10 2 0
11/2 vs NJIT 29 21 11 2 2
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs CIN
Rec – – – –
Rec yds – – – –

Amal L’Etang F15.0 PTS · 7.0 REB · 1.3 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/10 vs SIE 19 9 4 1 1
11/7 vs NIU 27 16 6 2 0
11/2 vs NJIT 27 20 11 1 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs CIN
Rec – – – –
Rec yds – – – –

Tristian Ford G13.0 PTS · 1.0 REB · 3.0 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/10 vs SIE 30 21 1 3 5
11/7 vs NIU 38 5 0 2 0
11/2 vs NJIT 28 13 2 4 3
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs CIN
Rec – – – –
Rec yds – – – –

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Cincinnati 2-1 1-2 0-3 2-1 0-0
Dayton 1-2 1-2 3-0 1-2 0-0

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Cincinnati vs Dayton head-to-head

Cincinnati are 2-1 in the last 3 meetings. Last time: Cincinnati won 74-62 on November 11, 2025.

Date Venue Cincinnati result ATS O/U
Nov 11, 25 Cincinnati home W 74-62 – –
Dec 20, 24 Dayton home W 66-59 – –
Dec 16, 23 Cincinnati home L 68-82 – –

Recent form

Cincinnati Bearcats: last 10 (6-4, 4-6 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 9, 26 vs MINN L 61-63 L -7.5 U 144.5
Nov 5, 26 vs GB W 81-64 L -24.5 U 152.5
Nov 2, 26 vs AMER W 79-53 W -25.5 U 153.5
Mar 11, 26 @ UCF L 65-66 L -3.5 U 149.5
Mar 10, 26 vs UTAH W 73-66 L -12.5 O 138.5
Mar 7, 26 @ TCU L 63-73 L +2.5 U 140.5
Mar 3, 26 vs BYU W 90-68 W -1.5 O 151.5
Feb 28, 26 vs OKST W 91-68 W -9.5 O 151.5
Feb 24, 26 @ TTU L 68-80 L +6.5 O 143.5
Feb 21, 26 @ KU W 84-68 W +8.5 O 139.5

Dayton Flyers: last 10 (6-4, 4-6 ATS, O/U 3-7)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 10, 26 vs SIE L 89-99 L -14.5 O 158.5
Nov 7, 26 vs NIU L 76-81 L -19.5 O 148.5
Nov 2, 26 vs NJIT W 89-58 W -24.5 O 144.5
Mar 15, 26 @ VCU L 62-70 L +3.5 U 139.5
Mar 14, 26 @ SLU W 70-69 W +4.5 U 145.5
Mar 13, 26 vs SBU W 68-63 L -5.5 U 141.5
Mar 6, 26 vs VCU L 62-68 L -1.5 U 146.5
Mar 3, 26 @ RICH W 65-60 L -5.5 U 144.5
Feb 27, 26 @ GW W 68-66 W +2.5 U 152.5
Feb 24, 26 vs SLU W 77-62 W +3.5 U 157.5

Injury report

Our data has no injury report for college basketball. Check both teams’ availability reports before betting a player prop.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Cincinnati defense Dayton defense
Pace (possessions) 69.2 (236th) 71.8 (142nd)

Venue and weather

UD Arena · Dayton, OHIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Cincinnati vs Dayton odds by sportsbook

Book CIN spread DAY spread CIN ML DAY ML Over Under
bet365 -6.5 -106 +6.5 -114 -265 +215 O 147.5 -111 U 147.5 -109
BetRivers -5.5 -112 +5.5 -110 -250 +200 O 147.5 -111 U 147.5 -111
Caesars -6 -110 +6 -110 -267 +215 O 147 -110 U 147 -110
DraftKings -6.5 -102 +6.5 -118 -270 +220 O 146.5 -110 U 146.5 -110
FanDuel -6.5 -105 +6.5 -114 -260 +210 O 146.5 -110 U 146.5 -110
Fanatics -6 -110 +6 -110 -260 +210 O 147 -110 U 147 -110

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 12:46 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line Open Now Move
Dayton spread +6.5 +6.5 –
Total 147.5 146.5 -1
Cincinnati moneyline -298 -270 -1.9% win chance
Dayton moneyline +240 +220 +1.8% win chance

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Dayton spread +6.5 → +6.5
Total 147.5 → 147.5
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More on these teams: Cincinnati basketball stats · Dayton basketball stats · All College Basketball prop picks

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