William & Mary vs Michigan Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 15, 2026)

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College Basketball prop picks: today's featured picks
William & Mary Tribe logo

William & Mary2-1 · 2-0 ATS
FINAL79 – 123
Michigan Wolverines logo

Michigan2-1 · 1-2 ATSNo. 20 AP

College Basketball · Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 2:00 PM ET · Crisler Center

Final score by half

Team 1H 2H T
William & Mary 43 36 79
Michigan 48 75 123

How the bets settled

MoneylineMichigan wonClosed at -20000
SpreadMichigan coveredMichigan -26.5, by 17.5
TotalOver 169.5202 scored, 32.5 over

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Michigan beat William & Mary 123-79 on November 15, pulling away after halftime. The game was tight early, with Michigan leading by five at the break, then it swung hard after halftime as Michigan outscored William & Mary by 39 in the second half.

Moustapha Thiam led Michigan with 16 points, Elliot Cadeau handed out 11 assists and Roddy Gayle Jr. grabbed eight rebounds. Stas Sivka paced William & Mary with 13 points and six rebounds, while ZZ Clark had four assists. Michigan’s edge showed in shooting, free throws, rebounding and turnovers, turning 24 William & Mary giveaways into 36 points. Michigan also dominated paint points 58-28 and fast-break points 28-2.

For bettors, Michigan covered the 26.5-point closing spread by 17.5, and the game went over the 169.5 total by 32.5.

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Against the spread, start to finish

MichiganWilliam & Mary
The score margin against the closing spread (Michigan -26.5). Blue: Michigan covering. Orange: William & Mary covering.
+27.5Largest W&M cover
82%W&M covering
+17.5Largest MICH cover
18%MICH covering

Win probability

MichiganWilliam & Mary
Blue: Michigan favored. Orange: William & Mary favored. ESPN’s in-game win probability, start to finish.

Top performers

William & Mary

  • PointsStas Sivka13
  • AssistsZZ Clark4
  • ReboundsStas Sivka6

Michigan

Box score

William & Mary TribeMichigan Wolverines

William & Mary Tribe

Player MIN PTS FG 3PT FT REB AST TO STL BLK OREB DREB PF
John Roland Jr. F 13 4 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 5
Jesse McIntosh G 21 4 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 3 3 2 2 1 4 1
Ethan Connery G 19 9 3-5 1-1 2-4 2 3 3 0 0 0 2 3
Tre Blassingame G 18 7 3-3 1-1 0-1 1 1 3 0 1 0 1 2
Josh Baldwin G 9 2 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 3 1 0 0 1 2
Bench
Brian Carter Jr. F 20 10 1-6 0-1 8-10 2 2 3 1 0 0 2 1
Stas Sivka F 23 13 5-10 3-6 0-0 6 2 0 0 3 1 5 1
Chris Richards G 2 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 0 0
Gavin Ward G 18 9 3-7 3-5 0-0 2 0 1 3 0 0 2 1
Will Feagles G 18 8 2-9 2-7 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 0
Nick Byrd G 2 0 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0
ZZ Clark G 22 9 4-10 1-3 0-0 5 4 2 0 0 2 3 2
Nilavan Daniels G 8 4 1-3 1-2 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1
Jayden Forsythe G 6 0 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
Colin Lamine Ndaw Did not play
Total 79 26-67 12-30 15-21 34 19 24 7 6 10 24 19

Team shooting: FG 39% · 3PT 40% · FT 71%

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN PTS FG 3PT FT REB AST TO STL BLK OREB DREB PF
J.P. Estrella F 20 15 5-10 1-3 4-6 7 1 0 1 0 3 4 1
Moustapha Thiam C 24 16 6-11 0-1 4-5 7 3 2 0 4 2 5 0
Roddy Gayle Jr. G 17 13 5-10 2-3 1-1 8 4 2 2 0 4 4 2
Trey McKenney G 25 14 3-9 1-6 7-7 5 5 0 1 0 0 5 2
Elliot Cadeau G 26 11 4-9 2-5 1-1 4 11 3 3 1 0 4 2
Bench
Quinn Costello F 25 16 4-12 4-11 4-4 3 2 1 0 0 0 3 3
Oscar Goodman F 12 11 5-7 1-1 0-0 8 0 1 0 1 5 3 5
Harrison Hochberg F 3 3 1-2 0-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
Jalen Reed F 9 6 3-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 4 2 1
Marcus Moller C 4 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ricky Liburd G 16 5 2-7 0-3 1-2 4 2 1 2 1 1 3 2
Malachi Brown G 4 2 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 1 1
Kenny Noland G 15 11 4-5 3-4 0-0 2 3 2 1 0 2 0 1
Lincoln Cosby Did not play
Howard Eisley Jr. Did not play
Joseph Hartman Did not play
Brandon McCoy Jr. Did not play
Total 123 43-89 14-40 23-27 57 31 12 12 8 22 35 20

Team shooting: FG 48% · 3PT 35% · FT 85%

Attendance 10,838 · Officials: Larry Scirotto, Paul Szelc, Jeffrey Anderson

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top William & Mary vs Michigan player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Elliot Cadeau Michigan Wolverines Over 2.5 defensive rebounds -145 Fliff 60% (6/10) 60%
Trey McKenney Michigan Wolverines Over 2.5 threes made -156 betus 50% (5/10) 80%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 4:17 PM ET.

Betting trends

  • The over has hit in 3 straight William & Mary games.
  • Michigan are 2-8 against the spread in their last 10.
  • The over is 3-7 in Michigan’s last 10 games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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William & Mary vs Michigan pre-game preview

Michigan is the market favorite, listed at -20000 on the moneyline with a -28.5 spread and a 166.5 total. DraftKings opened Michigan -29.5 with the same total, and the spread has since moved to -28.5.

William & Mary is 2-1 straight up, 2-0 against the spread and 2-0 on the over/under this season. Its last 10 are 6-4 straight up, 3-6 ATS and 5-4 O/U, with a most recent 90-95 loss at Florida Atlantic on November 11. Michigan is 2-1 straight up, 1-2 ATS and 1-2 O/U; its last 10 are 8-2 straight up, 2-8 ATS and 3-7 O/U, after an 84-70 win vs Marquette on November 11.

The pace angle is useful: William & Mary plays at 74.1 possessions per game (rank 71), and Michigan is at 75.1 (rank 58), with the total holding at 166.5 from open to current. Michigan’s 2-8 ATS last-10 mark contrasts with its 8-2 straight-up record, while William & Mary has started 2-0 ATS.

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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 3 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

William & Mary Tribe

Brian Carter Jr. F15.0 PTS · 4.5 REB · 7.0 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/11 @ FAU 25 21 5 6 0
11/8 vs NORF 22 9 4 8 1
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs MICH
Rec – – – –
Rec yds – – – –

Gavin Ward G11.5 PTS · 2.5 REB · 2.0 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/11 @ FAU 20 11 1 2 1
11/8 vs NORF 21 12 4 2 2
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs MICH
Rec – – – –
Rec yds – – – –

Josh Baldwin G11.0 PTS · 2.0 REB · 2.0 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/11 @ FAU 30 15 3 4 0
11/8 vs NORF 6 7 1 0 1
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs MICH
Rec – – – –
Rec yds – – – –

Michigan Wolverines

Trey McKenney G18.0 PTS · 4.0 REB · 2.3 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/11 vs MARQ 36 15 5 4 3
11/6 vs CONN 36 22 3 1 4
11/2 vs OAK 35 17 4 2 3
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs W&M
Rec – – – –
Rec yds – – – –

J.P. Estrella F17.3 PTS · 9.7 REB · 2.0 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/11 vs MARQ 31 18 8 2 1
11/6 vs CONN 33 19 9 3 0
11/2 vs OAK 21 15 12 1 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs W&M
Rec – – – –
Rec yds – – – –

Roddy Gayle Jr. G14.0 PTS · 2.7 REB · 1.7 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/11 vs MARQ 25 7 4 2 0
11/6 vs CONN 31 18 1 1 0
11/2 vs OAK 25 17 3 2 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs W&M
Rec – – – –
Rec yds – – – –

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
William & Mary 2-1 2-0 2-0 2-0 0-1
Michigan 2-1 1-2 1-2 2-1 0-0

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Recent form

William & Mary Tribe: last 10 (6-4, 3-6 ATS, O/U 5-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 11, 26 @ FAU L 90-95 W +5.5 O 165.5
Nov 8, 26 vs NORF W 104-73 W -10.5 O 158.5
Nov 2, 26 vs BRI W 80-66 – –
Mar 8, 26 @ HOF L 61-92 L +2.5 O 152.5
Mar 7, 26 vs ELON W 72-62 W -5.5 U 163.5
Mar 3, 26 vs HAMP W 94-85 L -11.5 O 163.5
Feb 28, 26 @ NCAT W 91-88 L -8.5 O 163.5
Feb 26, 26 vs NE W 84-77 L -11.5 U 164.5
Feb 19, 26 @ CAM L 83-84 L -1.5 U 167.5
Feb 14, 26 vs ELON L 78-81 L -8.5 U 165.5

Michigan Wolverines: last 10 (8-2, 2-8 ATS, O/U 3-7)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 11, 26 vs MARQ W 84-70 W -2.5 U 157.5
Nov 6, 26 vs CONN L 77-85 L +7.5 O 142.5
Nov 2, 26 vs OAK W 84-68 L -26.5 U 157.5
Mar 15, 26 vs PUR L 72-80 L -4.5 O 149.5
Mar 14, 26 vs WIS W 68-65 L -12.5 U 161.5
Mar 13, 26 vs OSU W 71-67 L -12.5 U 155.5
Mar 8, 26 vs MSU W 90-80 L -10.5 O 152.5
Mar 5, 26 @ IOWA W 71-68 L -9.5 U 146.5
Feb 27, 26 @ ILL W 84-70 W -1.5 U 159.5
Feb 24, 26 vs MINN W 77-67 L -22.5 U 145.5

Injury report

Our data has no injury report for college basketball. Check both teams’ availability reports before betting a player prop.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

William & Mary defense Michigan defense
Pace (possessions) 74.1 (71st) 75.1 (58th)

Venue and weather

Crisler Center · Ann Arbor, MIIndoor, weather won’t matter
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William & Mary vs Michigan odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Michigan spread -29.5 -26.5 +3
Total 166.5 169.5 +3
William & Mary moneyline +4000 +3500 +0.3% win chance
Michigan moneyline -50000 -20000 -0.3% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Michigan spread -28.5 → -26.5
Total 166.5 → 168.5
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More on these teams: William & Mary basketball stats · Michigan basketball stats · All College Basketball prop picks

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