Buccaneers vs Bears Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 8, 2026)

Final score by quarter

Team	1	2	3	4	T
Buccaneers	0	6	7	11	24
Bears	14	3	7	3	27

How the bets settled

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Chicago beat Tampa Bay 27-24, with the game decided by a 14-0 first quarter for the Bears and a late Tampa Bay push that came up short. Caleb Williams threw for 279 yards and two touchdowns with four interceptions, Luther Burden III had 97 receiving yards and a score, and Devin Bush made nine tackles for Chicago. Baker Mayfield passed for 243 yards with two picks, Bucky Irving ran for 97 yards and two touchdowns, and Josiah Trotter had eight tackles for Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers outrushed Chicago 126-72 and totaled 352 yards to Chicago’s 349, but Chicago’s 7-of-13 third-down rate against Tampa Bay’s 2-of-12, plus a defensive/special teams touchdown, helped offset five Bears turnovers. For bettors, Chicago won but Tampa Bay covered the 6.5-point closing spread by 3.5, and the 47.5 closing total went over by 3.5.

How the props finished

9 of 11 cleared

Player	Line	Price	Result
Caleb Williams	Over 245.5 passing yards	-110 Fanatics	279 Cleared
Cam Lewis	Over 2.5 solo tackles	-140 ESPN BET	3 Cleared
Kalif Raymond	Over 1.5 receptions	-170 Kalshi	4 Cleared
Ted Hurst III	Over 17.5 longest reception	-108 Caesars	0 Missed
Keionte Scott	Over 3.5 tackles	-105 ESPN BET	4 Cleared
Dillon Thieneman	Over 5.5 tackles	-128 BetRivers	5 Missed
Baker Mayfield	Over 0.5 interceptions	+104 Kalshi	2 Cleared
Kenny Gainwell	Over 7.5 longest reception	+104 Kalshi	44 Cleared
Bucky Irving	Over 15.5 rushing attempts	-103 prophetexchange	20 Cleared
Austin Booker	Over 2.5 tackles	-155 Hard Rock	4 Cleared
Cade Otton	Over 2.5 receptions	-156 Kalshi	4 Cleared

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

Against the spread, start to finish

Win probability

Top performers

Team stats

BuccaneersBears

352Total yards349

226Passing yards277

126Rushing yards72

5.5Yards per play5.8

18First downs15

2-12Third downs7-13

2-5Red zone1-4

2Turnovers5

8-45Penalties9-74

32:52Possession27:08

Box score

Tampa Bay BuccaneersChicago Bears

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Passing

Player	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Baker Mayfield	18/32	243	7.6	0	2	4-17	24.9	54.6
Total	18/32	226	7.6	0	2	4-17	—	54.6

Rushing

Player	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Bucky Irving	20	97	4.9	2	25
Kenny Gainwell	5	16	3.2	0	8
Chris Godwin Jr.	1	12	12.0	0	12
Emeka Egbuka	1	1	1.0	0	1
Baker Mayfield	1	0	0.0	0	0
Total	28	126	4.5	2	25

Receiving

Player	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG	TGTS
Tez Johnson	2	76	38.0	0	58	5
Kenny Gainwell	3	60	20.0	0	44	3
Emeka Egbuka	3	38	12.7	0	21	5
Bucky Irving	4	28	7.0	0	10	5
Cade Otton	4	25	6.3	0	9	8
Chris Godwin Jr.	2	16	8.0	0	9	3
Ted Hurst III	0	0	0.0	0	0	1
Total	18	243	13.5	0	58	30

Defense

Player	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS	TD
Josiah Trotter	8	5	0	0	0	0	0
Tykee Smith	7	4	0	1	1	0	0
Zyon McCollum	5	4	0	1	2	0	0
Ifeatu Melifonwu	4	4	0	0	1	0	0
Antoine Winfield Jr.	4	2	0	0	1	0	0
Keionte Scott	4	2	0	0	0	1	0
Kevin Knowles	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
Jacob Parrish	3	3	0	1	1	0	0
Anthony Nelson	3	1	0.5	0	0	1	0
Calijah Kancey	3	1	0.5	0	0	1	0
Alex Anzalone	2	2	0	0	1	0	0
Vita Vea	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
Kameron Johnson	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
A’Shawn Robinson	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Rueben Bain Jr.	2	0	0	0	0	2	0
David Walker	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Miles Killebrew	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
Al-Quadin Muhammad	1	1	0	1	0	0	0
Payne Durham	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
Tez Johnson	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
David Sills V	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Ko Kieft	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
SirVocea Dennis	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Elijah Simmons	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Total	65	35	1	4	7	5	0

Chicago Bears

Passing

Player	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Caleb Williams	22/37	279	7.5	2	4	1-2	52.0	61.5
Total	22/37	277	7.5	2	4	1-2	—	61.5

Rushing

Player	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
D’Andre Swift	12	31	2.6	0	6
Salvon Ahmed	5	25	5.0	0	8
Caleb Williams	5	16	3.2	0	9
Total	22	72	3.3	0	9

Receiving

Player	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG	TGTS
Luther Burden III	7	97	13.9	1	56	9
Rome Odunze	4	60	15.0	1	23	7
Colston Loveland	4	54	13.5	0	38	6
Kalif Raymond	4	32	8.0	0	13	7
Sam Roush	2	23	11.5	0	18	2
Zavion Thomas	1	13	13.0	0	13	2
D’Andre Swift	0	0	0.0	0	0	1
Total	22	279	12.7	2	56	34

Defense

Player	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS	TD
Devin Bush	9	3	0	1	2	0	0
Montez Sweat	6	4	0	0	0	1	0
Cam Lewis	6	3	0	0	1	0	0
Tyrique Stevenson Sr.	5	3	0	0	0	0	0
Dillon Thieneman	5	3	0	0	0	0	0
Jeffery Simmons	4	3	1	1	1	1	0
Austin Booker	4	3	1	1	0	2	0
T.J. Edwards	3	3	0	0	0	0	0
Kyler Gordon	3	3	0	0	0	0	0
Neville Gallimore	3	2	0	0	0	0	0
Jaylon Johnson	3	1	0	0	1	0	1
Grady Jarrett	3	0	0.5	0	0	1	0
Shemar Turner	2	2	1	1	0	1	0
Daniel Hardy	2	1	0.5	0	0	1	0
Roschon Johnson	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Noah Sewell	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Joe Thuney	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
Garrett Bradbury	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
D’Marco Jackson	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
Clark Phillips III	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
Luther Burden III	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
Jahdae Walker	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
Josh Blackwell	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
James Lynch	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Total	70	40	4	4	5	7	1

Attendance 60,470 · Officials: Barry Anderson, Ronald Torbert, Keith Washington, Ryan Dickson, Tripp Sutter, Jay Bilbo, Courtney Brown

Recap: Williams connects with Loveland to set up Santos’ winning field goal as Bears edge Buccaneers 27-24 (ESPN)

Highlights

• Luther Burden III outruns defense for 56-yard Bears TD (ESPN)
• Caleb Williams throws third INT before halftime (ESPN)
• Baker Mayfield’s 58-yard dime sets up Bucky Irving’s TD for Bucs (ESPN)
• Pick-six! Baker Mayfield intercepted by Jaylon Johnson for a Bears TD (ESPN)

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

• Buccaneers are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10.
• Bears have covered the spread in 3 straight games.
• The over has hit in 3 straight Bears games.
• Bears are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10.
• Bears are 3-0 ATS as underdogs in their last 10 games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Buccaneers vs Bears pre-game preview

Sunday night’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears matchup has Chicago as a 6-point favorite with a 47.5 total, and the market has moved from the opening CHI -3.5 and 48.5; the moneyline is TB +230 and CHI -270. The last meeting was September 17, 2023, a 27-17 Buccaneers home win. Tampa Bay is 3-5 straight up and ATS this season, 4-6 and 3-7 ATS over its last 10, and most recently won 16-0 against Atlanta. Chicago is 6-2 straight up and ATS, 6-4 and 7-3 ATS over its last 10, and most recently won 34-17 at Seattle.

The run-defense ranks are the clearest statistical angle: Tampa Bay allows 77.3 rushing yards per game (rank 1) and Chicago allows 86.8 (rank 3). Chicago also allows 17.9 receptions per game (rank 3) versus Tampa Bay’s 22.9 (rank 24). On the prop front, Caleb Williams over 31.5 passing attempts at -105 has cleared in 8 of his last 10.

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Buccaneers	3-5	3-5	4-4	1-4	2-1
Bears	6-2	6-2	4-4	3-1	3-1

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Buccaneers vs Bears head-to-head

Buccaneers are 1-0 in the last 1 meeting. Last time: Buccaneers won 27-17 on September 17, 2023.

Recent form

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: last 10 (4-6, 3-7 ATS, O/U 4-6)

Chicago Bears: last 10 (6-4, 7-3 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 11:31 AM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Venue and weather

Buccaneers vs Bears odds

Line movement from the open

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart