Lightning vs Jets Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 8, 2026)

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NHL prop picks: today's featured picks
Tampa Bay Lightning logo

Lightning11-5 · 9-7 ATS5th in the East
FINAL3 – 4
Winnipeg Jets logo

Jets6-11 · 9-8 ATS11th in the West

NHL · Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 6:00 PM ET · Canada Life Centre

Final score by period

Team 1 2 3 T
Lightning 0 0 3 3
Jets 0 2 2 4

How the bets settled

MoneylineJets wonClosed at +136
SpreadJets coveredJets +1.5, by 2.5
TotalOver 6.57 scored, 0.5 over

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Winnipeg Jets beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4-3, with the game swinging in the second period when Winnipeg scored twice after a scoreless first. The third period produced five goals, but the Jets’ early cushion held.

Cole Perfetti scored for Winnipeg, Viggo Bjorck added two assists and Mark Scheifele finished with two points. Tampa Bay got two goals and two points from Pontus Holmberg plus two assists from Erik Cernak. The team stats explain the result: Winnipeg went 3 for 5 on the power play at 60.0 percent while Tampa Bay went 0 for 4, and the Jets blocked 17 shots and won 52.8 percent of faceoffs.

For bettors, the Jets covered the 1.5 spread by 2.5, and the game went over the 6.5 total by 0.5. That is how it settled.

How the props finished

6 of 12 cleared

Player Line Price Result
Neal Pionk Over 1.5 shots on goal -140 ESPN BET 1 Missed
Brayden Point Over 0.5 points -170 Hard Rock 0 Missed
Cole Koepke Over 1.5 hits -184 Stake 2 Cleared
Ilya Mikheyev Over 0.5 shots on goal -340 Fanatics 0 Missed
Morgan Barron Over 1.5 hits -135 Stake 2 Cleared
Gabriel Vilardi Over 1.5 shots on goal -140 DraftKings 3 Cleared
Jake Guentzel Over 0.5 points -192 prophetexchange 0 Missed
Brayden Yager Over 0.5 shots on goal -330 Fanatics 1 Cleared
Charle-Edouard D’Astous Over 0.5 assists +150 Hard Rock 0 Missed
Cole Perfetti Over 2.5 shots on goal +123 Caesars 6 Cleared
Brandon Hagel Over 2.5 shots on goal +103 prophetexchange 3 Cleared
Nikita Kucherov Over 2.5 shots on goal -130 ESPN BET 1 Missed

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

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Against the spread, start to finish

JetsLightning
The score margin against the closing spread (Jets +1.5). Blue: Jets covering. Orange: Lightning covering.
+0Largest TB cover
0%TB covering
+4.5Largest WPG cover
100%WPG covering

Top performers

Lightning

Jets

Team stats

LightningJets
21Shots25
47.2%Faceoffs won52.8%
0Power play goals3
18Hits17
3Blocked shots17
3Takeaways4
20Giveaways20
10Penalty minutes8

Box score

Tampa Bay LightningWinnipeg Jets

Tampa Bay Lightning

Forwards

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Anthony Cirelli C 0 1 0 1 1 16:48 25 1 0 1 1 0 0.0
Conor Geekie C 0 0 0 0 -1 13:24 17 2 0 1 2 0 50.0
Zemgus Girgensons C 0 1 0 1 2 14:57 23 3 0 0 0 0 53.3
Yanni Gourde C 0 0 0 1 -1 15:41 25 3 0 0 0 2 52.9
Jake Guentzel C 0 0 0 1 1 20:47 23 1 0 0 1 0 30.0
Brandon Hagel LW 1 0 0 3 1 19:20 26 1 0 0 0 0 0.0
Pontus Holmberg RW 2 0 0 4 1 13:23 21 0 0 0 0 4 0.0
Nikita Kucherov RW 0 0 0 1 0 21:36 21 0 0 0 2 0 0.0
Ilya Mikheyev RW 0 1 0 0 2 14:46 21 0 0 0 1 0 0.0
Brayden Point C 0 0 0 2 0 5:35 6 0 0 0 0 0 66.7
Jeffrey Viel LW 0 0 0 0 0 11:54 16 2 0 0 1 0 0.0

Defenses

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
John Carlson D 0 0 0 2 0 19:07 21 1 0 0 1 0 0.0
Erik Cernak D 0 2 0 2 1 16:59 24 1 0 1 2 2 0.0
Max Crozier D 0 0 0 1 1 16:25 20 1 0 0 1 2 0.0
Charle-Edouard D’Astous D 0 0 0 0 -1 17:29 19 1 1 0 2 0 0.0
Victor Hedman D 0 0 0 0 0 17:18 24 0 1 0 1 0 0.0
Ryan McDonagh D 0 0 0 1 2 17:26 25 0 1 0 2 0 0.0
JJ Moser D 0 0 0 1 1 19:13 24 1 0 0 2 0 0.0

Goalies

Player GA SA SOS SOSA SV SV% ESSV PPSV SHSV TOI YTDG PIM
Andrei Vasilevskiy G 4 25 0 0 21 .840 12 7 2 60:00 0 0

Winnipeg Jets

Forwards

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Morgan Barron C 1 0 0 3 0 14:28 23 2 1 0 0 0 61.1
Viggo Bjorck C 0 2 0 1 0 13:22 20 0 1 0 0 0 50.0
Kyle Connor LW 0 0 0 4 -1 24:35 25 0 0 0 2 0 0.0
Alex Iafallo LW 0 1 0 0 0 13:46 21 1 0 0 0 0 0.0
Cole Koepke LW 0 0 0 0 -1 7:16 11 2 1 0 1 0 0.0
Adam Lowry C 0 0 0 0 0 13:46 22 2 0 0 0 0 63.6
Dawson Mercer C 0 0 0 1 -1 14:21 19 0 0 0 5 0 0.0
Cole Perfetti C 1 1 0 6 0 15:41 17 0 2 0 1 0 100.0
Isak Rosen RW 0 0 0 1 -1 6:44 11 1 1 0 1 0 0.0
Mark Scheifele C 1 1 0 2 -1 21:54 23 0 1 1 2 0 41.7
Gabriel Vilardi C 0 1 0 3 0 21:33 22 0 0 1 1 0 0.0
Brayden Yager C 1 0 0 1 -1 11:00 15 0 0 0 0 0 50.0

Defenses

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Tyrel Bauer D 0 0 0 0 0 9:20 15 1 1 0 2 0 0.0
Dylan DeMelo D 0 0 0 1 -1 17:28 29 1 2 0 1 4 0.0
Mario Ferraro D 0 0 0 1 -1 19:37 28 3 4 1 0 2 0.0
Haydn Fleury D 0 1 0 0 -1 16:37 28 1 2 1 1 2 0.0
Neal Pionk D 0 1 0 1 0 27:15 31 2 0 0 1 0 0.0
Dylan Samberg D 0 0 0 0 -1 23:25 27 1 1 0 1 0 0.0

Goalies

Player GA SA SOS SOSA SV SV% ESSV PPSV SHSV TOI YTDG PIM
Stuart Skinner G 3 21 0 0 18 .857 16 1 1 59:52 0 0

Attendance 14,307 · Officials: David Brisebois, Kiel Murchison, Garrett Rank, Liam Maaskant

Recap: Scheifele scores on power play with 1.6 seconds left to lift Jets past Lightning, 4-3 (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

  • The over is 7-3 in Lightning’ last 10 games.
  • The over has hit in 5 straight Jets games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Lightning vs Jets pre-game preview

Tampa Bay is a -137 moneyline favorite against Winnipeg, with the Jets at +125 and +1.5 on the spread while the total is 6.5. The last meeting on October 29 went to Tampa Bay 6-4 at home. Tampa Bay is 10-5 this season and 9-6 against the spread, including 6-4 straight up and 6-4 ATS over its last 10 after a 4-1 win over Chicago on November 5. Winnipeg is 6-11 and 9-8 ATS, with a 2-8 straight-up and 6-4 ATS mark over its last 10 after a 6-2 win over Vancouver on November 5.

The main defensive split is notable: Tampa Bay allows 2.93 goals per game (eighth), 24.73 shots on goal (fourth) and 7.93 points (ninth), while Winnipeg allows 3.53 goals (26th), 29.06 shots (24th) and 9.88 points (29th). Winnipeg lists Salomonsson out, Namestnikov and Morrissey on injured reserve and Fleury day to day; Tampa Bay has Gourde on injured reserve. Among props, Cole Perfetti over 1.5 shots on goal at -220 cleared in 10 of his last 10.

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Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Lightning 11-5 9-7 9-7 8-0 3-5
Jets 6-11 9-8 8-9 3-5 3-6

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Lightning vs Jets head-to-head

Lightning are 3-4, 2-3 ATS, O/U 2-3 in the last 7 meetings. Last time: Lightning won 6-4 on October 29, 2026.

Date Venue Lightning result ATS O/U
Oct 29, 26 Lightning home W 6-4 W -1.5 O 5.5
Mar 5, 26 Jets home L 1-4 L -1.5 U 5.5
Jan 29, 26 Lightning home W 4-1 W -1.5 U 5.5
Nov 14, 24 Lightning home W 4-1 – –
Nov 3, 24 Jets home L 4-7 – –
Jan 2, 24 Jets home L 2-4 L +1.5 O 5.5
Nov 22, 23 Lightning home L 2-3 L -1.5 U 5.5

Recent form

Tampa Bay Lightning: last 10 (7-3, 6-4 ATS, O/U 7-3)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 7, 26 @ MIN W 4-3 L -1.5 O 6.5
Nov 5, 26 vs CHI W 4-1 W -1.5 U 6.5
Nov 3, 26 vs DET W 4-2 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 31, 26 @ NSH L 4-5 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 29, 26 vs WPG W 6-4 W -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 24, 26 @ UTA L 4-5 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 23, 26 @ COL L 3-6 L +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 20, 26 @ VGK W 6-2 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 17, 26 vs VAN W 4-2 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 15, 26 vs SEA W 4-3 L -1.5 O 6.5

Winnipeg Jets: last 10 (2-8, 6-4 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 5, 26 vs VAN W 6-2 W -1.5 O 6.5
Nov 3, 26 @ MTL W 5-4 W +1.5 O 5.5
Nov 1, 26 @ CAR L 0-7 L +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 30, 26 @ FLA L 2-5 L +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 29, 26 @ TB L 4-6 L +1.5 O 5.5
Oct 27, 26 vs FLA L 1-5 L +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 25, 26 vs MTL L 1-2 W +1.5 U 5.5
Oct 22, 26 @ DAL L 2-3 W +1.5 U 5.5
Oct 20, 26 @ STL L 1-2 W +1.5 U 5.5
Oct 17, 26 vs CAR L 2-3 W +1.5 U 6.5

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 11:31 AM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Lightning defense Jets defense
Goals allowed per game 3 (13th of 32) 3.5 (26th of 32)
Shots on goal allowed per game 24.59 (3rd of 32) 28.61 (23rd of 32)
Points allowed per game 8.12 (14th of 32) 9.78 (29th of 32)
Power-play points allowed per game 2.29 (19th of 32) 2.33 (22nd of 32)

Venue and weather

Canada Life Centre · Winnipeg, MBIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Lightning vs Jets odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Jets spread +1.5 +1.5 –
Total 6.5 6.5 –
Lightning moneyline -125 -162 +6.3% win chance
Jets moneyline +105 +136 -6.4% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Jets spread +1.5 → +1.5
Total 6.5 → 6.5
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More on these teams: Tampa Bay Lightning stats · Winnipeg Jets stats · Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild Nov 7 · Vancouver Canucks vs Winnipeg Jets Nov 5 · All NHL prop picks

Betting guides: NHL player props guide · NHL shots on goal strategy · NHL points props guide · how parlays work

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