

How the bets settled
Match report
Fenerbahce beat Liverpool 3-2 after a five-goal match that swung late. T. Nyoni put Liverpool ahead in the 25th minute, M. Greenwood levelled four minutes later, and A. Isak restored Liverpool’s lead in the 69th with a C. Gakpo assist. A. Brown made it 2-2 in the 73rd and then set up V. Muriqi for the 79th-minute winner.
The stats show a close contest despite Liverpool’s 68% possession. Fenerbahce had 1.70 expected goals to Liverpool’s 1.57, with shots 17-22, shots on target 6-6 and big chances 4-4. Liverpool had 12 corners to Fenerbahce’s 4.
Liverpool came in with WWW form and 100% both-teams-to-score and over 2.5 rates, while Fenerbahce had DLD form and 67% in both. The result followed those scoring patterns, with Brown’s late goal and assist decisive, while Isak scored and Gakpo assisted for Liverpool.
How the props finished
3 of 10 cleared
| Player | Line | Price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 shots on target | -175 | 0 Missed | |
| Kerem Aktürkoğlu | Over 1.5 shots | -162 | 1 Missed |
| Over 1.5 tackles | -160 | 2 Cleared | |
| Florian Wirtz | Over 1.5 tackles | +100 | 0 Missed |
| Over 3.5 shots | +140 | 4 Cleared | |
| Milos Kerkez | Over 1.5 tackles | -155 | 0 Missed |
| Mert Müldür | Over 2.5 tackles | -110 | 0 Missed |
| Over 2.5 tackles | -175 | 5 Cleared | |
| Over 0.5 score or assist | +100 | 0 Missed | |
| Alexander Isak | Over 0.5 tackles | -162 | 0 Missed |
Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the match, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.
Goals
- 25′ T. Nyoni Liverpool
- 29′ M. Greenwood Fenerbahce
- 69′ A. Isak, assist C. Gakpo Liverpool
- 73′ A. Brown Fenerbahce
- 79′ V. Muriqi, assist A. Brown Fenerbahce
| Match stats | Fenerbahce | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | 1.70 | 1.57 |
| Ball possession | 32% | 68% |
| Total shots | 17 | 22 |
| Shots on target | 6 | 6 |
| Big chances | 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks | 4 | 12 |
| Passes | 72% (186/260) | 90% (475/529) |
| Yellow cards | 1 | 1 |
How the key matchups went
- Greenwood: 4 shots, 2 shots on target, 2 fouls won. Tsimikas: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
- Kahveci: 1 shot, 0 shots on target, 1 foul won. Gomez: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
- Lukaku: 1 shot, 1 shot on target, 0 fouls won. Jacquet: 2 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards. van Dijk: 2 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
- Munoz: 3 shots, 0 shots on target, 1 foul won. Brown: 1 foul committed, 3 tackles, 1 yellow card.
- Ngumoha: 2 shots, 0 shots on target, 4 fouls won. Semedo: 3 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
- Barcola: 3 shots, 1 shot on target, 0 fouls won. Skriniar: 0 fouls committed, 2 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Peprah: 0 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
Box score
Fenerbahce
| Player | MIN | G | A | SH | SOT | xG | KP | PAS | TKL | FC | FS | YC | SV | RAT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 0 | 20/28 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 27/34 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.08 | 1 | 22/28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 | |
| 89 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0.13 | 2 | 17/23 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 | |
| 63 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 7/9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 | |
| 75 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0 | 12/13 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.5 | |
| 75 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.68 | 3 | 11/16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 | |
| 90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0.40 | 3 | 10/21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9.0 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 | 25/30 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 16/28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6.6 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 7/9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 | |
| Aydin O. | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| Muldur M. | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 3/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Akturkoglu K. | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 1/2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| Muriqi V. | 27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | 0 | 7/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
Liverpool
| Player | MIN | G | A | SH | SOT | xG | KP | PAS | TKL | FC | FS | YC | SV | RAT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.30 | 1 | 50/57 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.05 | 1 | 47/51 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 | |
| 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 2 | 40/40 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 | |
| 66 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.07 | 0 | 18/19 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 | |
| 85 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0 | 89/96 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.5 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.06 | 2 | 42/45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 | |
| 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 26/28 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.23 | 1 | 17/18 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.0 | |
| 66 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.20 | 2 | 11/15 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.0 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 21/27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6.3 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 72/82 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 | |
| Koumas L. | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | – |
| Isak A. | 24 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.42 | 1 | 1/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Gakpo C. | 24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 1 | 5/8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Kerkez M. | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 12/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Wirtz F. | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 16/17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
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Fenerbahce vs Liverpool pre-game preview
Fenerbahce host Liverpool on Wednesday in the Champions League. Liverpool are the favorite at -180 on the three-way moneyline, with Fenerbahce +460 and the draw +410, and the total is 3.5.
Liverpool sit fourth in the Champions League table with 9 points from three matches (W3 D0 L0, form WWW), scoring 4.00 and conceding 2.33 per match. Fenerbahce are 31st with 2 points from three (W0 D2 L1, form DLD), scoring 1.00 and conceding 3.00, with a 0-2-0 home record.
The defensive gap is the clearest angle: Fenerbahce have conceded nine goals in three Champions League matches while Liverpool have scored 12, and both teams have scored in 100% of Liverpool’s matches and 67% of Fenerbahce’s. Injuries remove Hugo Ekitike, Giovanni Leoni and Jeremie Frimpong from Liverpool’s squad and Marco Asensio and Nathan Ake from Fenerbahce’s. Among props, Mason Greenwood has cleared 0.5 shots on target in 9 of his last 10 at -189, and Dominik Szoboszlai has cleared the same line in 8 of his last 10 at -167.
Confirmed lineups
The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.
31 Ederson
27 Semedo
37 Skriniar (C)
21 Peprah
3 Brown
6 Guendouzi
5 Yuksek
91 Kante
11 Greenwood
9 Lukaku
17 Kahveci
1 Alisson
2 Gomez
5 Jacquet
4 van Dijk (C)
21 Tsimikas
42 Nyoni
10 Mac Allister
23 Munoz
8 Szoboszlai
73 Ngumoha
29 BarcolaFenerbahce missing: N. Ake (muscle), M. Asensio (knee), A. Diouf (off the roster), A. Fall (off the roster), J. Oosterwolde (achilles tendon), M. Yandas (off the roster)
Liverpool missing: C. Bradley (knee), F. Chiesa (off the roster), H. Ekitike (achilles tendon), W. Endo (off the roster), J. Frimpong (muscle), R. Gravenberch (heel), G. Leoni (knee), A. Nallo (leg)
Form and head to head
Fenerbahce31st in the tableDLD0W 2D 1L · 0.67 points a match
Liverpool4th in the tableWWW3W 0D 0L · 3.00 points a matchClean sheets and goal trends
Fenerbahce
Liverpool
Attack and defense
Attacking
- 1.0Scored per match4.0
- 13.7Shots per match19.3
- 4.3Shots on target per match7.0
- 1.7Big chances per match4.0
Defensive
- 3.0Conceded per match2.3
- 14.0Shots against per match11.3
- 17.7Tackles per match14.0
- 10.0Fouls per match9.0
Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.
Recent results
| Fenerbahçe | DLD | D 2-2 vs SLA · L 0-6 at AVL · D 1-1 vs AS Roma |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | WWW | W 4-3 vs VIL · W 6-3 at Lask Linz · W 2-1 vs ATM |
Last five Champions League results, most recent first.
Season numbers
| Fenerbahçe | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Table | 31 (2 pts) | 4 (9 pts) |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-2-1 | 3-0-0 |
| Home / away record | 0-2-0 (3-3) home | 1-0-0 (6-3) away |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| Shots / on target per match | 13.67 / 4.33 | 19.33 / 7.00 |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals | 100% / 67% / 67% | 100% / 100% / 67% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 33% | 0% |
| Yellow cards per match | 3.00 | 0.33 |
| Corners per match | 3.73 | 7.11 |
This season, 3 and 3 matches.
Referee
Clement Turpin averages 3.5 yellow cards and 18.8 fouls per match over 4 matches this season (league average 3.4 and 22.0).
Injury report
Fenerbahce
- Marco Asensio (M): Out, Knee Injury
- Nathan Aké (D): Out, Hamstring Injury
- Kojo Peprah Oppong (D): Out, Muscle Injury
Liverpool
- Hugo Ekitike (F): Out, Achilles Tendon Injury
- Giovanni Leoni (D): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
- Jeremie Frimpong (D): Out, Hamstring Injury
- Conor Bradley (D): Out, Knee Injury
- Amara Nallo (D): Out, Leg Injury
- Ryan Gravenberch (M): Out, Heel Injury
Line movement chart
More on these teams: All Champions League prop picks
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