Golden Knights vs Sabres Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 8, 2026)

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NHL prop picks: today's featured picks
Vegas Golden Knights logo

Golden Knights11-7 · 7-11 ATS3rd in the West
FINAL4 – 1
Buffalo Sabres logo

Sabres8-8 · 8-8 ATS9th in the East

NHL · Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 3:30 PM ET · KeyBank Center

Final score by period

Team 1 2 3 T
Golden Knights 0 2 2 4
Sabres 0 0 1 1

How the bets settled

MoneylineGolden Knights wonClosed at -122
SpreadGolden Knights coveredGolden Knights -1.5, by 1.5
TotalUnder 6.55 scored, 1.5 under

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Buffalo Sabres 4-1 on November 8, taking control after a scoreless first period with two goals in the second and two more in the third before Buffalo got one back. Tomas Hertl led Vegas with two goals and two points, while Ivan Barbashev added two assists. Beck Malenstyn scored Buffalo’s goal and Mattias Samuelsson had the assist.

Vegas won the details that shaped the game: it blocked 23 shots to Buffalo’s 10, won 55.8 percent of faceoffs, and finished with edges in hits and takeaways. Buffalo had more shots and matched Vegas on power-play chances, but neither side scored with the man advantage, and Vegas added a short-handed goal.

For bettors, the Golden Knights covered the closing Sabres 1.5 spread by 1.5, winning by three. The closing total of 6.5 settled under by 1.5 with five goals in the game.

How the props finished

2 of 12 cleared

Player Line Price Result
Marc Gatcomb Over 2.5 hits -174 Stake 1 Missed
Mitch Marner Over 0.5 assists +100 Hard Rock 1 Cleared
Zach Benson Over 0.5 points -133 Kalshi 0 Missed
Tomas Hertl Over 1.5 shots on goal -160 prophetexchange 4 Cleared
Rasmus Andersson Over 1.5 shots on goal -102 BetRivers 0 Missed
Jack Quinn Over 2.5 shots on goal -104 Caesars 2 Missed
Mark Stone Over 0.5 points -145 ESPN BET 0 Missed
Tage Thompson Over 0.5 points -178 Kalshi 0 Missed
Victor Olofsson Over 0.5 points +145 BetMGM 0 Missed
Owen Power Over 1.5 shots on goal +135 ESPN BET 1 Missed
Trevor Connelly Over 0.5 points +135 ESPN BET 0 Missed
Rasmus Dahlin Over 2.5 shots on goal +109 prophetexchange 2 Missed

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

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Against the spread, start to finish

SabresGolden Knights
The score margin against the closing spread (Sabres +1.5). Blue: Sabres covering. Orange: Golden Knights covering.
+1.5Largest VGK cover
42%VGK covering
+1.5Largest BUF cover
58%BUF covering

Top performers

Golden Knights

Sabres

Team stats

Golden KnightsSabres
26Shots29
55.8%Faceoffs won44.2%
0Power play goals0
20Hits10
23Blocked shots10
5Takeaways2
16Giveaways10
6Penalty minutes6

Box score

Vegas Golden KnightsBuffalo Sabres

Vegas Golden Knights

Forwards

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Ivan Barbashev LW 0 2 0 0 3 14:45 17 2 1 0 0 2 0.0
Braeden Bowman RW 0 0 0 0 0 13:32 16 1 0 0 1 0 0.0
Trevor Connelly LW 0 0 0 1 -1 15:15 17 0 2 0 1 0 0.0
Nic Dowd C 0 0 0 0 0 14:10 19 2 1 0 2 0 57.1
Jack Eichel C 1 0 0 5 0 17:52 19 0 0 0 1 0 36.8
Marc Gatcomb C 0 0 0 0 0 9:51 13 1 0 0 0 0 100.0
Tomas Hertl C 2 0 0 4 2 14:18 17 4 0 0 1 0 83.3
Brett Howden C 0 0 0 1 0 13:45 17 2 1 1 0 2 0.0
William Karlsson C 0 0 0 5 1 16:27 19 0 2 0 0 0 75.0
Mitch Marner RW 1 1 0 3 2 18:35 19 0 0 2 2 0 0.0
Victor Olofsson LW 0 0 0 2 1 12:54 16 0 0 0 1 0 0.0
Mark Stone RW 0 0 0 2 0 17:20 19 0 2 1 3 0 50.0

Defenses

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Rasmus Andersson D 0 0 0 0 0 20:44 30 0 1 0 0 0 0.0
Dylan Coghlan D 0 0 0 0 -1 11:03 16 1 2 0 1 2 0.0
Noah Hanifin D 0 0 0 0 0 16:41 20 2 2 0 0 0 0.0
Jeremy Lauzon D 0 0 0 1 1 20:22 28 3 2 0 0 0 0.0
Brayden McNabb D 0 0 0 2 3 22:08 29 2 5 1 1 0 0.0
Shea Theodore D 0 1 0 0 3 24:18 29 0 2 0 2 0 0.0

Goalies

Player GA SA SOS SOSA SV SV% ESSV PPSV SHSV TOI YTDG PIM
Adin Hill G 1 29 0 0 28 .966 24 2 2 60:00 0 0

Buffalo Sabres

Forwards

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Zach Benson LW 0 0 0 3 -2 22:12 25 0 1 0 0 0 0.0
Sam Carrick C 0 0 0 0 1 9:23 13 0 0 0 0 0 50.0
Josh Doan RW 0 0 0 2 0 15:52 21 0 0 0 1 0 0.0
Tyson Kozak C 0 1 0 1 1 11:33 18 2 0 1 1 0 55.6
Peyton Krebs C 0 0 0 2 -1 16:50 21 1 1 0 0 0 42.9
Jiri Kulich C 0 0 0 1 -1 10:29 16 2 0 0 0 0 50.0
Beck Malenstyn LW 1 0 0 1 1 13:13 17 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
Josh Norris C 0 0 0 2 -1 12:57 16 2 0 0 0 0 55.6
Noah Ostlund C 0 0 0 3 -2 18:23 21 0 1 0 0 0 33.3
Jack Quinn RW 0 0 0 2 -2 16:43 18 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
Tage Thompson C 0 0 0 2 -2 19:04 22 0 0 1 1 0 36.4
Jason Zucker LW 0 0 0 0 -2 13:52 17 1 0 0 0 0 0.0

Defenses

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Rasmus Dahlin D 0 0 0 2 -3 23:14 25 0 1 0 2 2 0.0
Zach Metsa D 0 0 0 1 0 11:38 12 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
Owen Power D 0 0 0 1 -3 22:04 23 1 1 0 0 0 0.0
Mattias Samuelsson D 0 1 0 4 1 24:05 24 0 3 0 3 0 0.0
Conor Timmins D 0 0 0 0 1 17:46 21 0 2 0 1 2 0.0
Olen Zellweger D 0 0 0 2 -1 15:35 19 1 0 0 1 2 0.0

Goalies

Player GA SA SOS SOSA SV SV% ESSV PPSV SHSV TOI YTDG PIM
Colten Ellis G 4 26 0 0 22 .846 17 3 2 60:00 0 0

Attendance 19,070 · Officials: Justin Kea, Tom Chmielewski, Shandor Alphonso, Travis Toomey

Recap: Tomas Hertl scores twice as Golden Knights beat Sabres 4-1 for third straight win (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

  • The under has hit in 3 straight Golden Knights games.
  • Sabres are 4-0 ATS as underdogs in their last 10 games.
  • Golden Knights are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings with the Sabres.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Golden Knights vs Sabres pre-game preview

The Sunday slate includes Vegas at Buffalo, and the market lists Vegas -110 on the moneyline, Buffalo +1.5 on the spread and a 6.5 total. The opening line had Buffalo -1.5; the spread has since moved to Buffalo +1.5 while the total stayed at 6.5.

The last meeting went Buffalo’s way, 2-0 at Vegas on March 17, 2026, and Vegas is 1-5 straight up and 1-3 ATS in the last six head-to-heads. Vegas is 11-7 overall and 7-11 ATS, with a 5-5 last-10 mark and 4-6 ATS, most recently a 2-1 win at Detroit on November 5. Buffalo is 8-8 and 8-8 ATS, 5-5 in its last 10 and 6-4 ATS, coming off a 5-2 win over Columbus on November 6.

The useful angles are defense and projections: Vegas allows 2.72 goals per game (rank 5) and 6.89 points allowed (rank 5), while Buffalo allows 3.25 goals (rank 20) and 3.19 power-play points (rank 30). StatsBench projections put Mitch Marner over 0.5 assists at 0.8 and Zach Benson over 0.5 points at 0.8, with each clearing in 9 of his last 10.

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Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Golden Knights 11-7 7-11 11-7 6-3 5-4
Sabres 8-8 8-8 9-7 4-4 4-4

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Golden Knights vs Sabres head-to-head

Golden Knights are 1-5, 1-3 ATS, O/U 2-2 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Golden Knights lost 0-2 on March 17, 2026.

Date Venue Golden Knights result ATS O/U
Mar 17, 26 Golden Knights home L 0-2 L -1.5 U 6.5
Mar 3, 26 Sabres home L 2-3 W +1.5 U 6.5
Mar 15, 25 Sabres home L 3-4 – –
Jan 4, 25 Golden Knights home W 3-1 – –
Mar 2, 24 Sabres home L 2-7 L -1.5 O 5.5
Dec 15, 23 Golden Knights home L 2-5 L -1.5 O 5.5

Recent form

Vegas Golden Knights: last 10 (5-5, 4-6 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 5, 26 @ DET W 2-1 L -1.5 U 6.5
Nov 3, 26 @ PIT W 3-2 W +1.5 U 6.5
Nov 2, 26 @ BOS L 2-3 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 30, 26 vs NJ L 2-5 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 27, 26 vs OTT W 4-1 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 24, 26 @ CBJ L 1-2 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 22, 26 @ STL L 2-6 L -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 20, 26 vs TB L 2-6 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 17, 26 vs PIT W 6-2 W -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 15, 26 vs CGY W 6-2 W -1.5 O 6.5

Buffalo Sabres: last 10 (5-5, 6-4 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 6, 26 vs CBJ W 5-2 W -1.5 O 6.5
Nov 4, 26 vs OTT L 1-2 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 31, 26 @ LA W 3-2 L -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 29, 26 @ ANA W 7-6 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 27, 26 @ SJ W 2-0 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 24, 26 @ WSH L 3-4 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 21, 26 vs PHI L 1-3 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 17, 26 @ MTL L 3-4 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 15, 26 @ TOR W 5-4 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 13, 26 @ MTL L 3-4 W +1.5 O 6.5

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 11:31 AM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Golden Knights defense Sabres defense
Goals allowed per game 2.63 (5th of 32) 3.29 (19th of 32)
Shots on goal allowed per game 25.84 (9th of 32) 27.12 (13th of 32)
Points allowed per game 6.68 (5th of 32) 9.06 (20th of 32)
Power-play points allowed per game 1.79 (9th of 32) 3 (29th of 32)

Venue and weather

KeyBank Center · Buffalo, NYIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Golden Knights vs Sabres odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Sabres spread -1.5 +1.5 +3
Total 6.5 6.5 –
Golden Knights moneyline -112 -122 +2.1% win chance
Sabres moneyline -108 +102 -2.4% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Sabres spread +1.5 → -1.5
Total 6.5 → 6.5
The next NHL slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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More on these teams: Vegas Golden Knights stats · Buffalo Sabres stats · Columbus Blue Jackets vs Buffalo Sabres Nov 6 · Vegas Golden Knights vs Detroit Red Wings Nov 5 · All NHL prop picks

Betting guides: NHL player props guide · NHL shots on goal strategy · NHL points props guide · how parlays work

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