Phantom vs Illyrians Prediction: NODWIN Clutch Series 14 Odds & Stats (Nov 12, 2026)

Phantom logo

Phantom8-2 last 10World #69
4:00 AM ETThu, Nov 12Win % 81–19
Illyrians logo

Illyrians7-3 last 10World #130

CS2 · NODWIN Clutch Series 14 · B-tier · Bo3 · Thu, Nov 12, 9:00 AM UK / 4:00 AM ET

Team Match Map 1
Phantom 1.15 1.32
Illyrians 4.80 3.10

Decimal prices. They move, so check your book before you bet.

Phantom vs Illyrians prediction

The market makes Phantom the favourite at 81% once the bookmaker’s margin is taken out. Phantom won 8 of its last 10 series and Illyrians 7 of its last 10. Check the roster first: Illyrians may be using a stand-in (rosoneriii).

Illyrians: rosoneriii looks like a stand-inPhantom: 0d restPhantom: 4 series in 14dIllyrians: 1d restIllyrians: 14 series in 14d

Top Phantom vs Illyrians player props

The prop board for this match isn’t posted yet. It fills in as books open their lines.

Storylines

Phantom

Best map: Overpass, 80% across 5 maps.

Illyrians

Fights back: won 19 of 63 maps after trailing by 4 or more rounds.

Best map: Cache, 82% across 17 maps.

Every CS2 player lineHit rates and the best price beside each one. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

Recent form

Phantom

Won 2-0 DRAMA NODWIN Clutch Series 14
Lost 1-2 BAE CCT Europe 2026 Series 12
Won 2-0 TS.A CCT Europe 2026 Series 12
Won 2-0 Lavked CCT Europe 2026 Series 12
Lost 1-2 BRUTE Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier

Illyrians

Lost 0-2 ex-Zero Tenacity CCT Europe 2026 Series 14
Won 2-0 BRUTE NODWIN Clutch Series 14
Won 2-1 Phantom Academy CCT Europe 2026 Series 14 Play-In
Won 2-0 ex-ENCE NODWIN Clutch Series 14 Play-In
Won 2-1 BBP CCT Europe 2026 Series 14 Play-In

Team comparison

PhantomIllyrians
55%Map win rate54%

n=139 / 118 maps

54%CT round win53%

n=1506 / 1260 rounds

50%T round win48%

n=1494 / 1266 rounds

51%Pistol win47%

n=275 / 236 pistols

12%Clutch conversion14%

n=1523 / 1388 attempts · all teams 12%

54%Trade kill after first death49%

n=1478 / 1263 rounds · all teams 52%

11%Overtime rate10%

n=138 / 118 maps

Comebacks and pistols

PhantomIllyrians
32%Won map after trailing by 3+34%

n=82 / 71 maps trailed

16%Won map after trailing by 5+20%

n=49 / 51 maps trailed

51%Won map after losing a pistol46%

n=71 / 69 pistols lost · all teams 42%

61%Won map after winning a pistol65%

n=67 / 49 pistols won · all teams 58%

30%Won series after losing map 138%

n=27 / 24 series

Economy

Round win rate by team equipment value, pistol rounds left out.

PhantomIllyrians
9%Eco (under $5k)9%

n=172 / 126 rounds

20%Semi buy ($5-10k)19%

n=146 / 122 rounds

44%Force buy ($10-20k)38%

n=371 / 342 rounds

59%Full buy ($20k+)59%

n=2036 / 1700 rounds

How their rounds end

Share of the rounds each team won.

PhantomIllyrians
69%Elimination72%

n=1551 / 1275 rounds won · all teams 66%

17%Bomb exploded14%

n=1551 / 1275 rounds won · all teams 17%

10%Defuse10%

n=1551 / 1275 rounds won · all teams 13%

3%Time ran out4%

n=1551 / 1275 rounds won · all teams 4%

What each team gives up

Last 60 days Phantom Illyrians
Kills allowed per map 70.9 #83 of 239 76.4 #179 of 239
Headshots allowed per map 37.1 #107 of 239 40.4 #192 of 239
Enemy ADR 74.0 #142 of 239 75.6 #179 of 239

Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a higher number is a softer matchup for player overs.

Head to head

No recent meetings in our data.

Map pool

Phantom Illyrians
Map Win CT T Pistol Rounds Win CT T Pistol Rounds
Ancient 53% 38 50% 54% 57% 21.1 47% 19 51% 46% 47% 19.9
Dust2 60% 25 57% 53% 60% 20.2 47% 32 50% 47% 44% 22.5
Mirage 50% 18 50% 48% 50% 22.1 53% 32 57% 45% 52% 21.3
Nuke 62% 26 62% 46% 41% 22.3 0% 1 33% 17% 50% 18.0
Inferno 54% 13 53% 48% 50% 22.0 38% 8 45% 43% 31% 21.3
Anubis 50% 12 47% 49% 38% 22.5 67% 9 53% 58% 39% 21.6
Cache 0% 2 29% 53% 25% 21.5 82% 17 61% 55% 56% 21.2
Overpass 80% 5 66% 35% 50% 23.2 – – – – –

Win rate with maps played beside it, round win by side, pistol win and average rounds. Maps either team played at least 3 times.

Rounds per map, last 10

WonLost

Phantom

24Dus
19Nuk
21Mir
23Anu
19Anc
23Anc
36Nuk
15Anu
20Nuk
20Mir

Average 22.0 rounds a map, margin +2.0 (last 10).

Illyrians

15Inf
23Dus
17Cac
24Dus
22Mir
23Cac
21Inf
15Inf
24Mir
30Dus

Average 21.4 rounds a map, margin +2.2 (last 10).

Player form

Averages per map over each player’s last 10 maps with the team.

Phantom

Player Maps Kills Deaths ADR KAST HS% First kills
Kunai 10 19.1 14.3 85.1 73 67 2.4
nicoodoz 10 18.7 15.7 79.7 70 55 3.5
Goofy 2 16.5 13.5 86.3 77 40 1.5
Kylar 10 15.3 13.4 69.1 77 62 2.0
KEi 10 15.2 16.0 79.7 78 50 2.6
TMB 10 13.3 15.8 69.7 71 60 2.0

Not seen in the last 5 series: lunAtic, NBK-, bubble.

Illyrians

Player Maps Kills Deaths ADR KAST HS% First kills
cerber 10 16.2 17.2 81.0 66 57 2.9
ammar 10 14.9 13.6 71.1 74 68 1.5
Lewis 10 14.6 12.6 77.5 76 64 2.3
BledarD 10 13.5 13.4 69.6 72 40 2.0
rosoneriii Stand-in 10 12.9 13.8 69.6 75 49 2.2
vAloN 10 11.4 14.1 70.1 69 53 1.5

Not seen in the last 5 series: enko-, Dementor, xonn1k, enk0.

Stats vs markets

How each team’s recent results grade the posted prices. The bar is the team’s rate, the tick is the market’s chance with the margin taken out. Small samples swing a lot.

Series winnerthunderpick
Phantom1.15Illyrians4.80
Phantom-1 vs market80%

8-2 last 10market 81%

Illyrians+51 vs market70%

7-3 last 10market 19%

Map 1 winnerthunderpick
Phantom1.32Illyrians3.10
Phantom-18 vs market52%

30/58 map 1s wonmarket 70%

Illyrians+18 vs market48%

22/46 map 1s wonmarket 30%

Map 2 winnerthunderpick
Phantom1.25Illyrians3.50
Phantom-12 vs market62%

34/55 map 2s wonmarket 74%

Illyrians+28 vs market54%

25/46 map 2s wonmarket 26%

Map 3 winnerthunderpick
Phantom1.28Illyrians3.30
Phantom-20 vs market52%

13/25 map 3+s wonmarket 72%

Illyrians+37 vs market65%

17/26 map 3+s wonmarket 28%

Odds board

Match lines

Series winner Phantom 1.15 Illyrians 4.80

Map 1

Winner Phantom 1.32 Illyrians 3.10
Map 2 1 market
Winner Phantom 1.25 Illyrians 3.50
Map 3 1 market
Winner Phantom 1.28 Illyrians 3.30

Decimal prices from thunderpick. They move, so check your book before you bet.

More: All CS2 predictions · Esports · CS2 scores · CS2 prop picks · Pistol round lab

Betting guides: CS2 map 1 kills props · esports odds guide

18+, or the legal age where you live. Research, not a guarantee: every bet can lose. Bet within your means; if gambling stops being fun, contact a local support service.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favoured in Phantom vs Illyrians?

The market has Phantom at 81% once the bookmaker’s margin is removed. That is the price, not a guarantee.

When is Phantom vs Illyrians?

Thu, Nov 12 at 9:00 AM UK, 4:00 AM ET, in NODWIN Clutch Series 14, best of 3.

Today's NBA picks

Jaden McDanielsOVER 2.5 assists · vs DAL
10/10
Duncan RobinsonOVER 1.5 assists · @ WAS
10/10
Santi AldamaOVER 7.5 points · @ MIN
9/10
All of today's NBA picks →
Today's prop boardHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today's props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

The morning slate, by email

Join the StatsBench DiscordPicks, results and prop talk, live on game daysFollow @stats_bench on XToday's picks, results and line moves as they happen