Spirit vs G2 Prediction: BLAST Rivals Fall 2026 Odds & Stats (Nov 12, 2026)

by
Spirit logo

Spirit5-5 last 10World #3
4:30 AM ETThu, Nov 12Win % 71–29
G2 logo

G22-8 last 10World #12

CS2 · BLAST Rivals Fall 2026 · S-tier · Bo3 · Thu, Nov 12, 9:30 AM UK / 4:30 AM ET

Team Match Map 1
Spirit 1.30 1.50
G2 3.20 2.40

Decimal prices. They move, so check your book before you bet.

Spirit vs G2 prediction

The market makes Spirit the favourite at 71% once the bookmaker’s margin is taken out. Spirit won 5 of its last 10 series and G2 2 of its last 10.

Spirit: 1d restSpirit: 1 series in 14dG2: 1d restG2: 3 series in 14d

Top Spirit vs G2 player props

Player Prop Price Hit rate
Nertz Over 15.5 maps 1-2 headshots Pick’em 9/10
HeavyGod Over 16.5 maps 1-2 headshots Pick’em 7/10
HeavyGod Over 28.5 maps 1-2 kills Pick’em 7/10
Nertz Over 14.5 map 1 kills 1.85 7/10
Nertz Over 7.5 map 1 headshots 1.72 7/10
MATYS Over 16.5 maps 1-2 headshots Pick’em 7/10

Storylines

Spirit

Best map: Ancient, 80% across 20 maps.

G2

Folds when behind: won 8 of 63 maps after trailing by 4 or more rounds.

Best map: Overpass, 73% across 11 maps.

Worst map: Cache, 20% across 5 maps.

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Recent form

Spirit

Won 2-1 FUT BLAST Rivals Fall 2026
Lost 1-2 NAVI PGL Masters Bucharest 2026
Lost 1-2 MOUZ PGL Masters Bucharest 2026
Won 2-1 FURIA PGL Masters Bucharest 2026
Won 2-0 TYLOO PGL Masters Bucharest 2026

G2

Won 2-1 MOUZ BLAST Rivals Fall 2026
Lost 1-2 AUR Intel Extreme Masters Beijing 2026
Lost 1-2 PRV Intel Extreme Masters Beijing 2026
Lost 1-2 DENDELE PGL Masters Bucharest 2026
Lost 0-2 AUR PGL Masters Bucharest 2026

Team comparison

SpiritG2
69%Map win rate53%

n=147 / 143 maps

60%CT round win55%

n=1489 / 1475 rounds

52%T round win49%

n=1511 / 1525 rounds

49%Pistol win53%

n=288 / 280 pistols

13%Clutch conversion12%

n=1341 / 1484 attempts · all teams 12%

54%Trade kill after first death50%

n=1348 / 1501 rounds · all teams 52%

11%Overtime rate13%

n=145 / 143 maps

Comebacks and pistols

SpiritG2
40%Won map after trailing by 3+23%

n=70 / 83 maps trailed

15%Won map after trailing by 5+8%

n=41 / 51 maps trailed

59%Won map after losing a pistol41%

n=76 / 68 pistols lost · all teams 42%

78%Won map after winning a pistol64%

n=69 / 75 pistols won · all teams 58%

47%Won series after losing map 131%

n=17 / 32 series

Economy

Round win rate by team equipment value, pistol rounds left out.

SpiritG2
14%Eco (under $5k)7%

n=148 / 130 rounds

21%Semi buy ($5-10k)21%

n=127 / 156 rounds

48%Force buy ($10-20k)46%

n=347 / 369 rounds

63%Full buy ($20k+)58%

n=2090 / 2063 rounds

How their rounds end

Share of the rounds each team won.

SpiritG2
66%Elimination61%

n=1679 / 1554 rounds won · all teams 66%

16%Bomb exploded22%

n=1679 / 1554 rounds won · all teams 17%

12%Defuse12%

n=1679 / 1554 rounds won · all teams 13%

6%Time ran out5%

n=1679 / 1554 rounds won · all teams 4%

What each team gives up

Last 60 days Spirit G2
Kills allowed per map 67.8 #35 of 239 78.1 #195 of 239
Headshots allowed per map 34.5 #30 of 239 38.1 #137 of 239
Enemy ADR 71.9 #67 of 239 74.0 #138 of 239

Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a higher number is a softer matchup for player overs.

Head to head

Spirit 6-0 G2 in the meetings we track.

2026-08-28 Spirit won 2-0 BLAST Open Fall 2026
2026-06-19 Spirit won 2-1 Intel Extreme Masters Cologne Major 2026
2026-05-15 Spirit won 2-0 PGL Astana 2026
2026-04-15 Spirit won 2-0 Intel Extreme Masters Rio 2026
2026-03-08 Spirit won 2-0 ESL Pro League Season 23 Stage 2

Map pool

Spirit G2
Map Win CT T Pistol Rounds Win CT T Pistol Rounds
Dust2 74% 42 60% 56% 50% 20.6 39% 28 49% 49% 49% 21.0
Mirage 63% 32 61% 49% 52% 20.8 63% 27 56% 53% 54% 21.3
Ancient 80% 20 62% 53% 48% 21.5 65% 31 60% 48% 62% 21.0
Anubis 72% 18 54% 55% 45% 18.1 43% 14 52% 48% 52% 20.2
Inferno – – – – – 57% 23 55% 49% 42% 21.8
Nuke 65% 17 62% 52% 53% 20.2 0% 4 44% 31% 25% 21.0
Overpass 57% 7 60% 48% 43% 21.3 73% 11 70% 47% 59% 19.4
Cache 55% 11 55% 46% 45% 20.2 20% 5 38% 56% 60% 21.0

Win rate with maps played beside it, round win by side, pistol win and average rounds. Maps either team played at least 3 times.

Rounds per map, last 10

WonLost

Spirit

21Anc
21Dus
30Mir
15Nuk
15Cac
23Dus
16Anu
13Nuk
22Cac
18Anc

Average 19.4 rounds a map, margin -2.0 (last 10).

G2

18Inf
20Anu
22Anc
22Dus
22Inf
22Nuk
29Dus
20Inf
30Anc
20Nuk

Average 22.5 rounds a map, margin -1.5 (last 10).

Player form

Averages per map over each player’s last 10 maps with the team.

Spirit

Player Maps Kills Deaths ADR KAST HS% First kills
donk 10 16.7 13.4 90.9 77 61 3.1
sh1ro 10 13.6 11.8 71.4 68 37 1.2
zont1x 10 12.4 13.4 74.1 71 43 1.6
tN1R 10 11.7 13.2 66.6 69 60 1.9
magixx 10 9.1 13.2 56.8 72 60 2.4

Not seen in the last 5 series: hally, Jab Jabich (IEM Cologne 26 spirit coach).

G2

Player Maps Kills Deaths ADR KAST HS% First kills
HeavyGod 10 15.1 15.6 76.6 72 59 1.4
MATYS 10 14.7 14.9 70.6 67 58 2.2
r1nkle 10 13.7 14.5 64.5 70 35 2.4
Nertz 10 13.6 16.8 68.8 67 63 2.8
huNter- 10 12.8 16.1 64.0 68 57 1.7

Not seen in the last 5 series: sAw.

Stats vs markets

How each team’s recent results grade the posted prices. The bar is the team’s rate, the tick is the market’s chance with the margin taken out. Small samples swing a lot.

Series winnerthunderpick
Spirit1.30G23.20
Spirit-21 vs market50%

5-5 last 10market 71%

G2-9 vs market20%

2-8 last 10market 29%

Total maps 2.5thunderpick
Over 2.52.05Under 2.51.68
Spirit+7 vs market52%

15/29 Bo3s went 3market 45%

G2+14 vs market59%

16/27 Bo3s went 3market 45%

Map 1 winnerthunderpick
Spirit1.50G22.40
Spirit+5 vs market67%

41/61 map 1s wonmarket 62%

G2+10 vs market48%

30/63 map 1s wonmarket 38%

Map 2 winnerthunderpick
Spirit1.38G22.80
Spirit+3 vs market70%

39/56 map 2s wonmarket 67%

G2+27 vs market60%

30/50 map 2s wonmarket 33%

Map 3 winnerthunderpick
Spirit1.42G22.70
Spirit+2 vs market68%

19/28 map 3+s wonmarket 66%

G2+19 vs market53%

16/30 map 3+s wonmarket 34%

Odds board

Match lines

Series winner Spirit 1.30 G2 3.20
Total maps 2.5 Over 2.05 Under 1.68

Map 1

Winner Spirit 1.50 G2 2.40
Pistol round1 winner Spirit 1.72 G2 2.00
Pistol round2 winner Spirit 1.78 G2 1.92
Round handicap Spirit 2.00 G2 1.72
Round totals 21.5 Over 1.95 Under 1.75
Map 2 5 markets
Winner Spirit 1.38 G2 2.80
Pistol round1 winner Spirit 1.78 G2 1.92
Pistol round2 winner Spirit 1.72 G2 2.00
Round handicap Spirit 2.00 G2 1.72
Round totals 21.5 Over 1.90 Under 1.80
Map 3 5 markets
Winner Spirit 1.42 G2 2.70
Pistol round1 winner Spirit 1.72 G2 2.00
Pistol round2 winner Spirit 1.72 G2 2.00
Round handicap Spirit 2.00 G2 1.72
Round totals 21.5 Over 1.95 Under 1.75

Decimal prices from thunderpick, stake. They move, so check your book before you bet.

More: All CS2 predictions · Esports · CS2 scores · CS2 prop picks · Pistol round lab

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favoured in Spirit vs G2?

The market has Spirit at 71% once the bookmaker’s margin is removed. That is the price, not a guarantee.

When is Spirit vs G2?

Thu, Nov 12 at 9:30 AM UK, 4:30 AM ET, in BLAST Rivals Fall 2026, best of 3.

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