Final
Tampa Bay Lightning 3Colorado Avalanche 6
Top performers
- COL: Toews D. 1 G, Necas M. 1 G, MacKinnon N. 1 G
- TBL: Guentzel J. 2 G, D’Astous C. 1 G
Highlights
- Devon Toews scores goal vs. Lightning (ESPN)
- Nazem Kadri tallies goal for Colorado Avalanche on the power play (ESPN)
- Fedor Svechkov scores goal vs. Lightning (ESPN)
- Jake Guentzel nets power-play goal (ESPN)
Full box score and play-by-play on ESPN
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
Pre-game preview
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning |
– | +2.5 +1000 | O 8.5 -400  |
| Colorado Avalanche |
– | -2.5 -143 |
U 8.5 +265 |
Best available prices across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges before kickoff.
Lightning vs Avalanche preview
Friday’s Oct. 23 NHL matchup sends Tampa Bay to Colorado at 9:00 PM ET. The market lists Colorado as a slight moneyline favorite at -113, with the spread at COL -1.5 and the total at 6.5.
The last meeting was Jan. 6, 2026, a 4-2 Tampa Bay home win. Tampa Bay is 7-2 this season and 5-4 ATS, and its last 10 is 7-3 with a 5-5 ATS mark, including a 6-2 win at Vegas on Oct. 20. Colorado is 5-5 and 6-4 ATS, and its last 10 is 5-5 with a 6-4 ATS mark after a 3-4 loss at New Jersey on Oct. 20. In the last six head-to-head meetings, Tampa Bay is 4-2 and 2-1 ATS.
The defensive ranks lean Tampa Bay: it allows 2.44 goals per game (rank 5) and 24.11 shots on goal (rank 4), while Colorado allows 3 goals (rank 11) and 27.3 shots (rank 17). Brandon Hagel’s over 2.5 shots on goal at -179 cleared in 9 of the last 10, a notable prop angle from the numbers.
Top Lightning vs Avalanche player props
| Player | Prop | Best price | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Hagel TBL | Over 2.5 shots on goal | -179  Caesars |
90% (9/10) | 80% |
| Brett Kulak COL | Over 0.5 blocks | -278  BetMGM |
90% (9/10) | 80% |
| Josh Manson COL | Over 0.5 blocks | -250 BetMGM |
80% (8/10) | 80% |
| Artturi Lehkonen COL | Over 0.5 points | +100  DraftKings |
70% (7/10) | 100% |
| T.J. Hughes COL | Over 1.5 shots on goal | -125 DraftKings |
70% (7/10) | 60% |
Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 12:05 AM ET. See every prop for this game on StatsBench.
PolymarketAffiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.
Lightning vs Avalanche odds by sportsbook
| Book | TB spread | COL spread | TB ML | COL ML | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cloudbet |
+2.5 +105 | -2.5 -143 | – | – | O 8.5 -400 | U 8.5 +265 |
| BetMGM |
– | – | – | – | O 9.5 +1150 | U 9.5 -10000 |
Highlighted: the best price in each column before tip-off. Prices move; check the book before you bet.
Records
| Team | Record | ATS | O/U | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lightning |
7-2 | 5-4 | 4-5 | 5-0 | 2-2 |
| Avalanche |
5-5 | 6-4 | 6-4 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.
Lightning vs Avalanche head-to-head
Lightning are 4-2, 2-1 ATS, O/U 1-2 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Lightning won 4-2 on January 6, 2026.
| Date | Venue | Lightning result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 26 | Lightning home | W 4-2 | W +1.5 | U 6.5 |
| Nov 4, 25 | Avalanche home | L 2-3 | – | – |
| Nov 25, 24 | Lightning home | W 8-2 | – | – |
| Oct 30, 24 | Avalanche home | W 5-2 | – | – |
| Feb 15, 24 | Lightning home | W 6-3 | W -1.5 | O 5.5 |
| Nov 27, 23 | Avalanche home | L 1-4 | L +1.5 | U 5.5 |
Recent form
Tampa Bay Lightning: last 10 (7-3, 5-5 ATS, O/U 4-6)
| Date | Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 26 | @ VGK | W 6-2 | W +1.5 | O 6.5 |
| Oct 17, 26 | vs VAN | W 4-2 | W -1.5 | U 6.5 |
| Oct 15, 26 | vs SEA | W 4-3 | L -1.5 | O 6.5 |
| Oct 13, 26 | @ NYR | L 1-4 | L -1.5 | U 5.5 |
| Oct 10, 26 | @ NYI | W 5-3 | W -1.5 | O 5.5 |
| Oct 8, 26 | vs MIN | W 3-2 | L -1.5 | U 6.5 |
| Oct 5, 26 | vs PHI | W 4-1 | W -1.5 | U 5.5 |
| Oct 3, 26 | vs WSH | W 3-1 | W -1.5 | U 6.5 |
| Oct 1, 26 | @ NYR | L 1-5 | L -1.5 | O 5.5 |
| Apr 15, 26 | vs NYR | L 2-4 | L -1.5 | U 6.5 |
Colorado Avalanche: last 10 (5-5, 6-4 ATS, O/U 6-4)
| Date | Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 26 | @ NJ | L 3-4 | W +1.5 | O 6.5 |
| Oct 19, 26 | @ PHI | L 2-3 | L -1.5 | U 6.5 |
| Oct 16, 26 | vs PIT | W 5-2 | W -1.5 | O 6.5 |
| Oct 14, 26 | vs DAL | L 2-3 | L -1.5 | U 5.5 |
| Oct 13, 26 | @ DAL | W 3-2 | W +1.5 | U 5.5 |
| Oct 10, 26 | vs TOR | L 3-6 | L -1.5 | O 6.5 |
| Oct 8, 26 | @ CGY | W 7-3 | W -1.5 | O 6.5 |
| Oct 7, 26 | @ WPG | L 2-3 | L -1.5 | U 6.5 |
| Oct 3, 26 | vs STL | W 6-1 | W -1.5 | O 6.5 |
| Sep 30, 26 | vs LA | W 8-4 | W -1.5 | O 6.5 |
Injury report
No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 12:05 AM ET.
Matchup ranks
What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.
| Lightning defense | Avalanche defense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals allowed per game | 2.44 (5th of 32) | 3 (11th of 32) |
| Shots on goal allowed per game | 24.11 (4th of 32) | 27.3 (17th of 32) |
| Points allowed per game | 6.56 (6th of 32) | 7.8 (11th of 32) |
| Power-play points allowed per game | 1.67 (13th of 32) | 1.2 (5th of 32) |
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