Michigan State is listed as a 27.5-point favorite with a 154.5 total, and those numbers have moved from MSU -29.5 and 155.5 at opening.
Recent form favors Michigan State straight up: the Spartans are 3-0 overall and 3-0 ATS this season, 8-2 and 7-3 ATS over their last 10, with a most recent 79-73 win at Duke on Nov. 10. Northern Iowa is 2-1 and 1-1 ATS this season, 7-3 and 4-5 ATS over its last 10, and most recently beat Green Bay 89-76 on Nov. 10. The Panthers are 2-0 on the total this season; MSU is 2-1.
Pace is a modest angle: UNI ranks 179th at 70.9 possessions, MSU 118th at 72.8. On props, Jeremy Fears Jr. over 2.5 turnovers at +102 has cleared in 10 of last 10, while Jordan Scott over 0.5 steals at -195 has cleared 6 of last 10 and StatsBench projects 0.9.
Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 6:20 PM ET.
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Player stats and form
Season averages and each player’s last 3 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.
This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.
Recent form
Northern Iowa Panthers: last 10 (7-3, 4-5 ATS, O/U 5-4)
Date
Opponent
Result
ATS
O/U
Nov 10, 26
vs GB
W 89-76
W -3.5
O 150.5
Nov 7, 26
@ FUR
L 83-98
L +5.5
O 149.5
Nov 3, 26
vs CNIA
W 106-70
–
–
Mar 8, 26
@ UIC
W 84-69
W -2.5
O 125.5
Mar 7, 26
@ BRAD
W 73-69
L -4.5
O 127.5
Mar 6, 26
@ ILST
W 74-52
W -1.5
U 130.5
Mar 5, 26
vs EVAN
W 68-59
L -13.5
U 127.5
Mar 1, 26
@ DRKE
W 75-53
W -4.5
U 137.5
Feb 25, 26
vs ILST
L 69-71
L -4.5
O 132.5
Feb 21, 26
vs SIU
L 57-59
L -6.5
U 134.5
Michigan State Spartans: last 10 (8-2, 7-3 ATS, O/U 7-3)
Date
Opponent
Result
ATS
O/U
Nov 10, 26
@ DUKE
W 79-73
W +7.5
O 147.5
Nov 5, 26
vs TOL
W 91-61
W -25.5
U 155.5
Nov 2, 26
vs QUIN
W 96-59
W -30.5
O 152.5
Mar 13, 26
vs UCLA
L 84-88
L -5.5
O 141.5
Mar 8, 26
@ MICH
L 80-90
W +10.5
O 152.5
Mar 5, 26
vs RUTG
W 91-87
L -20.5
O 141.5
Mar 1, 26
@ IU
W 77-64
W -2.5
U 144.5
Feb 26, 26
@ PUR
W 76-74
W +5.5
O 143.5
Feb 22, 26
vs OSU
W 66-60
L -10.5
U 146.5
Feb 17, 26
vs UCLA
W 82-59
W -8.5
O 139.5
Injury report
Our data has no injury report for college basketball. Check both teams’ availability reports before betting a player prop.
Matchup ranks
What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.
Northern Iowa defense
Michigan State defense
Pace (possessions)
70.9 (179th)
72.8 (118th)
Venue and weather
Breslin Center · East Lansing, MIIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Northern Iowa vs Michigan State odds by sportsbook
Book
UNI spread
MSU spread
UNI ML
MSU ML
Over
Under
bet365
+27.5 -106
-27.5 -114
–
–
O 154.5 -111
U 154.5 -109
BetRivers
+27.5 -109
-27.5 -114
+3500
–
O 154.5 -108
U 154.5 -115
Caesars
+27 -110
-27 -110
–
–
O 155 -110
U 155 -110
DraftKings
+27.5 -110
-27.5 -110
+4000
-50000
O 154.5 -112
U 154.5 -108
FanDuel
+26.5 -102
-26.5 -120
–
–
O 154.5 -110
U 154.5 -110
Fanatics
+27.5 -110
-27.5 -110
+8000
-50000
O 155 -110
U 155 -110
Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 6:20 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.
Line movement from the open
Line
Open
Now
Move
Michigan State spread
-29.5
-27.5
+2
Total
155.5
154.5
-1
Northern Iowa moneyline
+5000
+4000
+0.5% win chance
Michigan State moneyline
-100000
-50000
-0.1% win chance
DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.
Line movement chart
Michigan State spread -27.5 → -27.5Total 154.5 → 154.5
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