Grizzlies vs Warriors Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 23, 2026)

Memphis Grizzlies logo

Grizzlies1-0 · 1-0 ATS
FINAL111 – 108
Golden State Warriors logo

Warriors0-1 · 0-1 ATS

Final

Memphis Grizzlies 111Golden State Warriors 108

Top performers

  • GSW: Curry S. 24 PTS, Lendeborg Y. 18 PTS, Podziemski B. 18 PTS
  • MEM: Jerome T. 28 PTS, Boozer C. 25 PTS, Wells J. 17 PTS

Recap: Cameron Boozer hits go-ahead jumper with 20 seconds left, Grizzlies rally to beat Warriors 111-108 (ESPN)

Highlights

Full box score and play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Pre-game preview

NBA · Friday, October 23, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Memphis Grizzlies – – –
Golden State Warriors – – –

Best available prices across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges before kickoff.

Grizzlies vs Warriors preview

The Friday night matchup has Golden State favored at -158 on the moneyline and -4.5 on the spread, with a 237.5 total. The last meeting went badly for Memphis, a 112-133 home loss on February 25, 2026, and the recent form is similarly lopsided: Memphis is 1-0 straight up and ATS this season but 2-8 straight up and 4-6 ATS over its last 10; Golden State is 0-1 straight up and ATS this season and 2-8 straight up, 3-7 ATS over its last 10.

The most useful angle may be Golden State’s injury list: Porzingis, Butler, Moody and Bassey are out, while Podziemski is probable. That context matters against a Memphis defense ranked 26th in points allowed (120.7) and 28th in rebounds allowed (46.3), with both teams playing at slower paces (Memphis 98.6, Golden State 98.9).

StatsBench projections also stand out for Podziemski over 13.5 points at -108, cleared in 9 of last 10, with a 21.9-point projection, and Brandon Williams over 12.5 points plus assists at -108, also 9 of last 10, projecting 23.

Top Grizzlies vs Warriors player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5 Projection
Draymond Green GSW Over 0.5 steals -189 BetRivers 100% (10/10) 100% 1.5
De’Anthony Melton GSW Over 1.5 assists -265 FanDuel 100% (10/10) 100% 3.3
Brandon Williams GSW Over 12.5 points + assists -108 prophetexchange 90% (9/10) 100% 23
Brandin Podziemski GSW Over 13.5 points -110 ESPN BET 90% (9/10) 80% 21.9
GG Jackson MEM Over 14.5 points + rebounds -165 Fanatics 90% (9/10) 100% 22.1

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 1:06 AM ET. See every prop for this game on StatsBench.

Trade Grizzlies vs Warriors on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

Polymarket

Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Grizzlies 1-0 1-0 0-1 1-0 0-0
Warriors 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-1

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Grizzlies vs Warriors head-to-head

Grizzlies are 2-8, 1-1 ATS, O/U 2-0 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Grizzlies lost 112-133 on February 25, 2026.

Date Venue Grizzlies result ATS O/U
Feb 25, 26 Grizzlies home L 112-133 L +3.5 O 227.5
Feb 9, 26 Warriors home L 113-114 W +9.5 O 218.5
Oct 27, 25 Warriors home L 118-131 – –
Apr 1, 25 Grizzlies home L 125-134 – –
Jan 4, 25 Warriors home L 113-121 – –
Dec 19, 24 Grizzlies home W 144-93 – –
Nov 15, 24 Warriors home L 118-123 – –
Mar 20, 24 Warriors home L 116-137 – –
Feb 2, 24 Grizzlies home L 101-121 – –
Jan 15, 24 Grizzlies home W 116-107 – –

Recent form

Memphis Grizzlies: last 10 (2-8, 4-6 ATS, O/U 8-2)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 21, 26 vs UTAH W 123-103 W -1.5 U 240.5
Apr 12, 26 @ HOU L 101-132 L +14.5 O 230.5
Apr 10, 26 @ UTAH L 101-147 L +4.5 O 247.5
Apr 8, 26 @ DEN L 119-136 W +23.5 O 247.5
Apr 6, 26 vs CLE L 126-142 L +13.5 O 231.5
Apr 5, 26 @ MIL L 115-131 L +7.5 O 230.5
Apr 3, 26 vs TOR L 96-128 L +14.5 U 233.5
Apr 1, 26 vs NY L 119-130 W +13.5 O 224.5
Mar 30, 26 vs PHX L 105-131 L +12.5 O 228.5
Mar 28, 26 vs CHI W 125-124 W +5.5 O 247.5

Golden State Warriors: last 10 (2-8, 3-7 ATS, O/U 4-6)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 21, 26 @ LAL L 105-127 L +6.5 U 233.5
Apr 12, 26 @ LAC L 110-115 L +3.5 U 229.5
Apr 10, 26 @ SAC L 118-124 L -10.5 O 228.5
Apr 9, 26 vs LAL L 103-119 L -1.5 U 222.5
Apr 7, 26 vs SAC W 110-105 L -14.5 U 233.5
Apr 5, 26 vs HOU L 116-117 W +3.5 O 227.5
Apr 2, 26 vs CLE L 111-118 W +10.5 U 230.5
Apr 1, 26 vs SA L 113-127 W +14.5 O 228.5
Mar 29, 26 @ DEN L 93-116 L +11.5 U 238.5
Mar 27, 26 vs WSH W 131-126 L -12.5 O 230.5

Injury report

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Cedric Coward (SF): Out, Left Wrist Sprain
  • Carson Cooper (C): Out, G League – Two-Way
  • Javon Small (PG): Out, G League – Two-Way

Golden State Warriors

  • Kristaps Porzingis (C): Out, Not With Team
  • Jimmy Butler (G-F): Out, Right ACL Repair / Surgery
  • Moses Moody (SG): Out, Left Patellar Tendon Repair / Surgery
  • Charles Bassey (C): Out, Right Patellar Tendinopathy

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Grizzlies defense Warriors defense
Points allowed per game 120.7 (26th of 30) 115.2 (15th of 30)
Rebounds allowed per game 46.3 (28th of 30) 43.6 (18th of 30)
Assists allowed per game 27.7 (25th of 30) 26.7 (18th of 30)
Threes allowed per game 13.8 (25th of 30) 12.8 (15th of 30)
Pace (possessions) 98.6 (22nd) 98.9 (20th)

21+. Research, not a guarantee: every bet can lose. Bet within your means; if gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Today's NBA picks

NBA
Jabari Smith Jr.pts rebs asts OVER 22.5 · @ SAS
100% L10
Collin Sextonpoints OVER 9.5 · vs LAC
100% L10
Saddiq Beypoints OVER 11.5 · @ UTA
100% L10
All of today's NBA picks →

The morning slate, by email

Join the StatsBench DiscordPicks, results and prop talk, live on game days