ex-RUSTEC vs Nexus Prediction: CCT Europe 2026 Series 14 Odds & Stats (Nov 13, 2026)

by

ex-RUSTEC4-6 last 10World #83
1:00 PM ETFri, Nov 13Win % 42–58
Nexus logo

Nexus5-5 last 10World #78

CS2 · CCT Europe 2026 Series 14 · B-tier · Bo3 · Fri, Nov 13, 6:00 PM UK / 1:00 PM ET

Team Match Map 1
ex-RUSTEC 2.20 2.10
Nexus 1.58 1.65

Decimal prices. They move, so check your book before you bet.

ex-RUSTEC vs Nexus prediction

The market makes Nexus the favourite at 58% once the bookmaker’s margin is taken out. ex-RUSTEC won 4 of its last 10 series and Nexus 5 of its last 10. Check the roster first: ex-RUSTEC may be using stand-ins (youka, yiksrezo, bl1x1).

ex-RUSTEC: youka looks like a stand-inex-RUSTEC: yiksrezo looks like a stand-inex-RUSTEC: bl1x1 looks like a stand-inex-RUSTEC: 1d restex-RUSTEC: 2 series in 14dNexus: 0d restNexus: 7 series in 14d

Top ex-RUSTEC vs Nexus player props

Player Prop Price Hit rate
s0und Over 19.5 maps 1-2 headshots Pick’em 7/10
s0und Over 31.5 maps 1-2 kills Pick’em 6/10
Mokuj1n Over 15.5 maps 1-2 headshots Pick’em 6/10
fNk Over 13.5 maps 1-2 headshots Pick’em 6/10
yiksrezo Over 21.5 maps 1-2 headshots Pick’em 6/10
Nexius Over 16.5 maps 1-2 headshots Pick’em 6/10

Storylines

ex-RUSTEC

Best map: Nuke, 70% across 27 maps.

Worst map: Mirage, 27% across 15 maps.

Nexus

Best map: Mirage, 61% across 18 maps.

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Recent form

ex-RUSTEC

Won 2-1 TS.A NODWIN Clutch Series 14
Lost 0-2 FORZE.R NODWIN Clutch Series 14
Lost 1-2 Illyrians CCT Europe 2026 Series 12
Lost 0-2 TS.A CCT Europe 2026 Series 12
Lost 1-2 FORZE.R CCT Europe 2026 Series 12

Nexus

Lost 1-2 MZP CCT Europe 2026 Series 13
Won 2-1 BAKS CCT Europe 2026 Series 13
Won 2-0 MOUZ.N CCT Europe 2026 Series 14
Lost 1-2 BTF CCT Europe 2026 Series 13
Won 2-0 FORZE.R CCT Europe 2026 Series 13

Team comparison

ex-RUSTECNexus
54%Map win rate48%

n=140 / 144 maps

54%CT round win53%

n=1495 / 1529 rounds

49%T round win47%

n=1505 / 1471 rounds

47%Pistol win54%

n=274 / 284 pistols

14%Clutch conversion12%

n=1540 / 1589 attempts · all teams 12%

53%Trade kill after first death52%

n=1462 / 1517 rounds · all teams 52%

14%Overtime rate11%

n=137 / 143 maps

Comebacks and pistols

ex-RUSTECNexus
27%Won map after trailing by 3+20%

n=83 / 86 maps trailed

18%Won map after trailing by 5+8%

n=56 / 59 maps trailed

46%Won map after losing a pistol43%

n=74 / 63 pistols lost · all teams 42%

63%Won map after winning a pistol53%

n=63 / 80 pistols won · all teams 58%

39%Won series after losing map 131%

n=28 / 16 series

Economy

Round win rate by team equipment value, pistol rounds left out.

ex-RUSTECNexus
5%Eco (under $5k)6%

n=171 / 172 rounds

26%Semi buy ($5-10k)18%

n=136 / 158 rounds

46%Force buy ($10-20k)42%

n=387 / 363 rounds

58%Full buy ($20k+)57%

n=2032 / 2023 rounds

How their rounds end

Share of the rounds each team won.

ex-RUSTECNexus
65%Elimination67%

n=1540 / 1499 rounds won · all teams 66%

18%Bomb exploded18%

n=1540 / 1499 rounds won · all teams 17%

13%Defuse11%

n=1540 / 1499 rounds won · all teams 13%

4%Time ran out4%

n=1540 / 1499 rounds won · all teams 4%

What each team gives up

Last 60 days ex-RUSTEC Nexus
Kills allowed per map 75.4 #155 of 238 70.6 #76 of 238
Headshots allowed per map 39.3 #165 of 238 36.5 #82 of 238
Enemy ADR 73.0 #108 of 238 71.7 #61 of 238

Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a higher number is a softer matchup for player overs.

Head to head

ex-RUSTEC 1-1 Nexus in the meetings we track.

2026-09-29 Nexus won 2-0 CCT Europe 2026 Series 10
2026-09-16 ex-RUSTEC won 2-1 CCT Europe 2026 Series 9

Map pool

ex-RUSTEC Nexus
Map Win CT T Pistol Rounds Win CT T Pistol Rounds
Dust2 44% 36 49% 49% 41% 22.3 38% 32 49% 42% 54% 19.8
Anubis 64% 28 53% 57% 61% 20.5 56% 25 48% 54% 39% 21.0
Ancient 58% 12 57% 47% 43% 19.3 46% 26 50% 50% 46% 20.6
Inferno 58% 12 56% 41% 41% 22.2 41% 22 46% 48% 66% 21.8
Mirage 27% 15 49% 45% 33% 22.0 61% 18 67% 44% 69% 21.2
Nuke 70% 27 62% 46% 55% 22.0 0% 1 42% 45% 50% 23.0
Cache 40% 10 52% 51% 45% 20.4 54% 13 58% 50% 65% 21.8
Overpass – – – – – 57% 7 64% 34% 36% 20.0

Win rate with maps played beside it, round win by side, pistol win and average rounds. Maps either team played at least 3 times.

Rounds per map, last 10

WonLost

ex-RUSTEC

19Mir
21Anu
18Anc
18Anu
30Dus
30Anu
18Dus
19Nuk
20Anu
21Mir

Average 21.4 rounds a map, margin -2.8 (last 10).

Nexus

23Anu
24Dus
16Anc
19Dus
21Inf
20Mir
22Anu
23Dus
18Anc
20Cac

Average 20.6 rounds a map, margin +1.8 (last 10).

Player form

Averages per map over each player’s last 10 maps with the team.

ex-RUSTEC

Player Maps Kills Deaths ADR KAST HS% First kills
youka Stand-in 10 15.0 13.8 74.0 69 38 2.7
yiksrezo Stand-in 10 14.6 16.5 74.8 70 70 1.7
Mokuj1n 5 13.2 13.2 69.2 77 58 0.6
rehard 7 12.6 12.0 74.3 78 55 1.0
Brilliance 10 11.9 16.2 67.3 65 46 2.7
jakekeS 10 10.6 14.2 59.4 68 50 1.9

Not seen in the last 5 series: KIRO.

Nexus

Player Maps Kills Deaths ADR KAST HS% First kills
fNk 10 14.5 14.1 78.8 73 49 1.7
s0und 10 14.0 13.8 77.1 71 68 1.1
Nexius 10 14.0 14.4 80.1 74 62 2.0
shield 10 13.6 12.5 63.4 75 30 1.6
HOLY 10 12.6 13.5 69.9 76 49 0.8

Not seen in the last 5 series: drn, H4rder.

Stats vs markets

How each team’s recent results grade the posted prices. The bar is the team’s rate, the tick is the market’s chance with the margin taken out. Small samples swing a lot.

Series winnerthunderpick
ex-RUSTEC2.20Nexus1.58
ex-RUSTEC-2 vs market40%

4-6 last 10market 42%

Nexus-8 vs market50%

5-5 last 10market 58%

Total maps 2.5thunderpick
Over 2.51.85Under 2.51.85
ex-RUSTEC-2 vs market48%

16/33 Bo3s went 3market 50%

Nexus+4 vs market54%

14/26 Bo3s went 3market 50%

Map 1 winnerthunderpick
ex-RUSTEC2.10Nexus1.65
ex-RUSTEC+3 vs market47%

25/53 map 1s wonmarket 44%

Nexus-9 vs market47%

30/64 map 1s wonmarket 56%

Map 2 winnerthunderpick
ex-RUSTEC2.10Nexus1.65
ex-RUSTEC+12 vs market56%

32/57 map 2s wonmarket 44%

Nexus-3 vs market53%

28/53 map 2s wonmarket 56%

Map 3 winnerthunderpick
ex-RUSTEC2.10Nexus1.65
ex-RUSTEC+19 vs market63%

17/27 map 3+s wonmarket 44%

Nexus-14 vs market42%

11/26 map 3+s wonmarket 56%

Odds board

Match lines

Series winner ex-RUSTEC 2.20 Nexus 1.58
Total maps 2.5 Over 1.85 Under 1.85

Map 1

Winner ex-RUSTEC 2.10 Nexus 1.65
Round handicap ex-RUSTEC 1.75 Nexus 1.95
Round totals 21.5 Over 1.85 Under 1.85
Map 2 3 markets
Winner ex-RUSTEC 2.10 Nexus 1.65
Round handicap ex-RUSTEC 1.75 Nexus 1.95
Round totals 21.5 Over 1.85 Under 1.85
Map 3 3 markets
Winner ex-RUSTEC 2.10 Nexus 1.65
Round handicap ex-RUSTEC 1.75 Nexus 1.95
Round totals 21.5 Over 1.85 Under 1.85

Decimal prices from thunderpick. They move, so check your book before you bet.

More: All CS2 predictions · Esports · CS2 scores · CS2 prop picks · Pistol round lab

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favoured in ex-RUSTEC vs Nexus?

The market has Nexus at 58% once the bookmaker’s margin is removed. That is the price, not a guarantee.

When is ex-RUSTEC vs Nexus?

Fri, Nov 13 at 6:00 PM UK, 1:00 PM ET, in CCT Europe 2026 Series 14, best of 3.

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