Cavaliers vs Heat Prediction, Starting Lineups & Player Props (Nov 13, 2026)

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NBA prop picks: today's featured picks
Cleveland Cavaliers logo

Cavaliers6-6 · 4-8 ATS6th in the East
8:00 PM ETFri, Nov 13Win % 55–45
Miami Heat logo

Heat5-6 · 2-9 ATS7th in the East

NBA · Friday, November 13, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · Kaseya Center

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Cleveland Cavaliers +122 +2.5 -105 O 235.5 -105
Miami Heat -142 -2.5 -108 U 235.5 -115

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 7:51 PM ET.

Cavaliers vs Heat preview

The market lists Miami as a -142 moneyline favorite laying 2.5 points, with the total at 235.5 after opening at Miami -1.5 and 237.5.

Cleveland won the last meeting 149-128 at home on March 27, 2026. Cleveland is 6-6 and 4-8 ATS this season, with a 5-5 last-10 mark and 4-6 ATS; its most recent game was a 115-107 win at New York on November 11. Miami is 5-6 and 2-9 ATS, 5-5 in its last 10 and 2-8 ATS, coming off a 115-109 win at Utah on November 10.

The defensive ranks show Miami allows 16.1 threes per game (rank 30) and 29.7 assists (rank 29), while Cleveland allows 14.2 threes (rank 21) and 26.8 assists (rank 18). Miami also plays at the third-fastest pace (104.4), and Evan Mobley is out for Cleveland. On the prop side, StatsBench projects Davion Mitchell at 18.7 points against a 14.5 line, and Bam Adebayo has cleared 0.5 steals in 10 of his last 10 with a 2.2 projection.

StatsBench picks for this game

  • Bam Adebayo OVER 1.5 STL (-105): pending
  • Davion Mitchell OVER 11.5 FGA (-110): pending

The poster on X · Every posted pick, graded

Top Cavaliers vs Heat player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5 Projection
Bam Adebayo MIA Over 0.5 steals -285 Kalshi 100% (10/10) 100% 2.2
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA Over 0.5 double-double -354 Kalshi 90% (9/10) 100% –
Meleek Thomas CLE Over 0.5 steals -136 BetParx 88.9% (8/9) 80% 1.4
Davion Mitchell MIA Over 14.5 points -104 Kalshi 80% (8/10) 80% 18.7
Peyton Watson CLE Over 6.5 rebounds + assists -133 BetMGM 80% (8/10) 80% 7.3

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 7:51 PM ET.

The rest of the Cavaliers vs Heat propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Jarrett AllenOver 0.5 blocks8/10
Donovan MitchellOver 0.5 steals8/10
Bobby PortisOver 0.5 assists8/10

Key matchups

Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.

Bam Adebayo vs Cavaliers

Bam AdebayoC, MIA
VS
CavaliersDefense vs centers
Good matchup for Bam AdebayoCavaliers allow 1.8 steals a game to centers, 2nd most in the league. Adebayo averages 2.1 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest29th of 30, stealsSoftest
Steals over 0.510/10avg 2.1 · 29th of 30 vs C · -285Kalshi
Assists over 3.55/10avg 3.2 · 27th of 30 vs C · +100FanDuel
Points + rebounds over 27.55/10avg 26.6 · 30th of 30 vs C · -104FanDuel

Davion Mitchell vs Cavaliers

Davion MitchellPG, MIA
VS
CavaliersDefense vs point guards
Even matchupCavaliers allow 32.7 points a game to point guards, 11th most in the league. Mitchell averages 17 against a line of 14.5.
Toughest20th of 30, pointsSoftest
Points over 14.58/10avg 17 · 20th of 30 vs PG · -104Kalshi
Threes made over 1.58/10avg 2.4 · 17th of 30 vs PG · -170Kalshi
Steals over 0.57/10avg 1.4 · 4th of 30 vs PG · -223Kalshi

Meleek Thomas vs Heat

Meleek ThomasPG, CLE
VS
HeatDefense vs point guards
Even matchupHeat allow 2.1 steals a game to point guards, 15th most in the league. Thomas averages 1.2 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest16th of 30, stealsSoftest
Steals over 0.58/9avg 1.2 · 16th of 30 vs PG · -136BetParx
Threes made over 1.58/9avg 2.7 · 26th of 30 vs PG · -163Kalshi
Points + assists over 13.56/9avg 14.3 · 21st of 30 vs PG · +107prophetexchange

Jarrett Allen vs Heat

Jarrett AllenC, CLE
VS
HeatDefense vs centers
Even matchupHeat allow 1.7 blocks a game to centers, 15th fewest in the league. Allen averages 1.4 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest15th of 30, blocksSoftest
Blocks over 0.58/10avg 1.4 · 15th of 30 vs C · -163Kalshi
Steals over 0.56/10avg 0.6 · 2nd of 30 vs C · -138Kalshi
Turnovers over 0.55/10avg 0.8 · 2nd of 30 vs C · -278Stake

Donovan Mitchell vs Heat

Donovan MitchellSG, CLE
VS
HeatDefense vs shooting guards
Tough matchup for Donovan MitchellHeat allow 1.3 steals a game to shooting guards, 3rd fewest in the league. Mitchell averages 1.3 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest3rd of 30, stealsSoftest
Steals over 0.58/10avg 1.3 · 3rd of 30 vs SG · -245Kalshi
Assists over 5.56/10avg 5.9 · 25th of 30 vs SG · +100Kalshi
Turnovers over 2.56/10avg 2.8 · 26th of 30 vs SG · -118Cloudbet

Bobby Portis vs Cavaliers

Bobby PortisPF, MIA
VS
CavaliersDefense vs power forwards
Tough matchup for Bobby PortisCavaliers allow 2.4 assists a game to power forwards, 3rd fewest in the league. Portis averages 1.8 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest3rd of 30, assistsSoftest
Assists over 0.58/10avg 1.8 · 3rd of 30 vs PF · -275Hard Rock
Threes made over 0.57/10avg 1.3 · 4th of 30 vs PF · -212Kalshi
Rebounds over 4.56/10avg 6 · 1st of 30 vs PF · -143betus

Betting trends

  • Heat have failed to cover in 5 straight games.
  • The under has hit in 4 straight Heat games.
  • Heat are 2-8 against the spread in their last 10.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Confirmed starting lineups

Both teams have confirmed their starting fives. Updated 7:51 PM ET. The badge next to each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent games; green at 70% or better.

Cleveland CavaliersConfirmed
  1. PGDonovan MitchellOver 5.5 assists6/10
  2. SGJames HardenOver 2.5 threes made7/10
  3. SFJaylon TysonOver 1.5 assists5/10
  4. PFPeyton WatsonOver 1.5 assists8/10
  5. CJarrett Allen

Not in the lineup or in doubt: Sam Merrill (out), Khalifa Diop (out), Evan Mobley (out), Nae’Qwan Tomlin (out), Ernest Udeh, Jr. (out)

Miami HeatConfirmed
  1. PGDavion MitchellOver 14.5 points8/10
  2. SGTim Hardaway Jr.
  3. SFMyron Gardner
  4. PFGiannis AntetokounmpoOver 12.5 rebounds6/10
  5. CBam AdebayoOver 3.5 assists5/10

Not in the lineup or in doubt: Pelle Larsson (out), Klay Thompson (out), Vladislav Goldin (out)

Every NBA starting lineup today

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for NBA players. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Cavaliers vs Heat defense vs position

What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 30 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.

Cavaliers defense facing the Heat

Pos Pts Reb Ast 3PM PRA
PGDavion Mitchell 32.720th 5.812th 8.914th 3.917th 47.415th
SGTim Hardaway Jr. 24.817th 7.420th 6.723rd 3.915th 38.818th
SFMyron Gardner 27.218th 11.322nd 5.520th 3.521st 44.018th
PFGiannis Antetokounmpo 11.01st 5.41st 2.43rd 1.24th 18.91st
CBam Adebayo 23.829th 17.930th 4.327th 2.230th 46.030th

Softest spot: 17.9 rebounds a game to centers, the most in the league. Bam Adebayo starts there.

Toughest spot: 11.0 points a game to power forwards, the fewest in the league. Giannis Antetokounmpo starts there.

Heat defense facing the Cavaliers

Pos Pts Reb Ast 3PM PRA
PGDonovan Mitchell 34.322nd 6.615th 8.913th 5.126th 49.821st
SGJames Harden 33.630th 9.125th 7.325th 5.030th 50.029th
SFJaylon Tyson 22.95th 10.313th 6.422nd 3.113th 39.611th
PFPeyton Watson 18.817th 9.622nd 6.129th 2.323rd 34.521st
CJarrett Allen 15.513th 11.913th 2.33rd 1.428th 29.710th

Softest spot: 33.6 points a game to shooting guards, the most in the league. James Harden starts there.

Toughest spot: 2.3 assists a game to centers, 3rd fewest in the league. Jarrett Allen starts there.

The props these matchups touchEvery NBA line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Donovan Mitchell SG22.8 PTS · 5.0 REB · 5.5 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/11 @ NYK 35 23 7 6 2
11/9 @ CHA 22 11 2 4 1
11/7 vs NYK 37 37 4 4 5
11/6 vs PHI 33 23 7 8 1
11/4 @ OKC 33 27 3 6 5
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs MIA
PTS 22.8 (12) 21.7 (6) 27.5 (88) 20.7 (3)
6 · 28 · 28
REB 5.0 (12) 4.8 (6) 4.6 (88) 8.3 (3)
4 · 6 · 15
AST 5.5 (12) 4.2 (6) 5.1 (88) 6.0 (3)
6 · 4 · 8

Evan Mobley PF16.9 PTS · 7.3 REB · 3.6 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/11 @ NYK 32 10 5 3 0
11/9 @ CHA 24 9 2 3 2
11/7 vs NYK 32 12 9 5 1
11/6 vs PHI 32 22 6 4 3
11/4 @ OKC 32 16 10 3 1
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs MIA
PTS 16.9 (12) 15.2 (6) 17.9 (83) 17.3 (3)
23 · 8 · 21
REB 7.3 (12) 5.7 (6) 8.8 (83) 8.3 (3)
10 · 5 · 10
AST 3.6 (12) 3.5 (6) 3.7 (83) 4.0 (3)
3 · 4 · 5

James Harden PG16.7 PTS · 4.6 REB · 5.6 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/11 @ NYK 33 32 2 4 5
11/9 @ CHA 24 11 3 5 2
11/7 vs NYK 34 7 2 5 1
11/6 vs PHI 29 17 6 3 3
11/4 @ OKC 35 19 9 6 3
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs MIA
PTS 16.7 (12) 19.2 (6) 22.7 (88) 15.3 (3)
17 · 18 · 11
REB 4.6 (12) 4.7 (6) 4.9 (88) 5.3 (3)
5 · 9 · 2
AST 5.6 (12) 5.2 (6) 7.5 (88) 8.0 (3)
14 · 7 · 3

Miami Heat

Giannis Antetokounmpo PF27.7 PTS · 12.6 REB · 5.2 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/10 @ UTA 30 30 11 4 1
11/8 @ SAC 33 29 14 3 0
11/5 @ GSW 31 20 14 4 1
11/4 @ LAC 40 27 14 6 0
11/2 @ LAL 34 30 12 7 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs CLE
PTS 27.7 (11) 32.8 (4) 27.6 (36) 27.0 (2)
14 · 40
REB 12.6 (11) 12.5 (4) 9.8 (36) 9.5 (2)
5 · 14
AST 5.2 (11) 6.8 (4) 5.4 (36) 6.5 (2)
4 · 9

Bam Adebayo C17.8 PTS · 8.4 REB · 3.3 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/10 @ UTA 37 11 8 4 0
11/8 @ SAC 33 18 8 4 1
11/5 @ GSW 33 18 10 0 0
11/4 @ LAC 40 35 10 4 1
11/2 @ LAL 30 16 9 4 1
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs CLE
PTS 17.8 (11) 13.5 (4) 19.9 (74) 15.5 (2)
14 · 17
REB 8.4 (11) 7.5 (4) 9.9 (74) 13.0 (2)
16 · 10
AST 3.3 (11) 3.3 (4) 3.1 (74) 5.0 (2)
3 · 7

Davion Mitchell PG16.5 PTS · 2.0 REB · 8.5 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/10 @ UTA 37 19 5 8 3
11/8 @ SAC 40 17 3 11 2
11/5 @ GSW 37 22 2 8 4
11/4 @ LAC 43 11 2 10 0
11/2 @ LAL 29 15 0 7 4
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs CLE
PTS 16.5 (11) 16.3 (4) 9.6 (71) 10.0 (4)
2 · 11 · 16 · 11
REB 2.0 (11) 2.0 (4) 2.7 (71) 2.8 (4)
4 · 2 · 3 · 2
AST 8.5 (11) 7.3 (4) 6.5 (71) 4.8 (4)
4 · 3 · 4 · 8

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Cavaliers 6-6 4-8 6-6 4-2 2-4
Heat 5-6 2-9 4-7 1-3 4-3

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Cavaliers vs Heat head-to-head

Cavaliers are 5-5, 1-1 ATS, O/U 1-1 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Cavaliers won 149-128 on March 27, 2026.

Date Venue Cavaliers result ATS O/U
Mar 27, 26 Cavaliers home W 149-128 W -5.5 O 240.5
Mar 25, 26 Cavaliers home L 103-120 L -2.5 U 243.5
Nov 12, 25 Heat home W 130-116 – –
Nov 10, 25 Heat home L 138-140 – –
Mar 5, 25 Cavaliers home W 112-107 – –
Jan 29, 25 Heat home W 126-106 – –
Dec 8, 24 Heat home L 113-122 – –
Mar 24, 24 Heat home L 84-121 – –
Mar 20, 24 Cavaliers home L 104-107 – –
Dec 8, 23 Heat home W 111-99 – –

Recent form

Cleveland Cavaliers: last 10 (5-5, 4-6 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 11, 26 @ NY W 115-107 W +4.5 O 220.5
Nov 9, 26 @ CHA L 112-124 L -8.5 O 215.5
Nov 7, 26 vs NY L 97-109 L +4.5 U 222.5
Nov 6, 26 vs PHI W 119-95 W +2.5 U 232.5
Nov 4, 26 @ OKC L 116-124 L +3.5 O 226.5
Nov 2, 26 vs OKC L 112-117 L -4.5 U 229.5
Oct 31, 26 @ MIL W 136-111 W -8.5 O 234.5
Oct 29, 26 @ ATL L 111-114 L +1.5 U 237.5
Oct 28, 26 vs WSH W 121-111 W -9.5 U 240.5
Oct 26, 26 vs MIN W 127-125 L -3.5 O 234.5

Miami Heat: last 10 (5-5, 2-8 ATS, O/U 4-6)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 10, 26 @ UTAH W 115-109 L -8.5 U 227.5
Nov 8, 26 @ SAC W 114-108 L -11.5 U 235.5
Nov 5, 26 @ GS L 100-120 L +3.5 U 236.5
Nov 4, 26 @ LAC W 117-116 L -6.5 U 233.5
Nov 2, 26 @ LAL L 117-138 L +1.5 O 237.5
Oct 30, 26 vs IND W 145-125 W -8.5 O 236.5
Oct 28, 26 @ ATL W 129-117 W +2.5 O 243.5
Oct 26, 26 vs DAL L 109-113 L -7.5 U 240.5
Oct 24, 26 @ CHA L 110-115 L -4.5 U 227.5
Oct 23, 26 vs DET L 111-128 L +2.5 O 235.5

Injury report

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • Sam Merrill (SG): Out, Right Elbow Injury Management
  • Khalifa Diop (C): Out, G League – On Assignment
  • Evan Mobley (PF): Out, Left Great Toe – Sprain
  • Nae’Qwan Tomlin (PF): Out, Low Back Stress Reaction
  • Ernest Udeh, Jr. (C): Out, G League – Two-Way

Miami Heat

  • Pelle Larsson (SG): Out, Illness
  • Klay Thompson (SG): Out, Left Ankle Soreness
  • Vladislav Goldin (C): Out, G League – Two-Way

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Cavaliers defense Heat defense
Points allowed per game 114.3 (19th of 30) 120 (26th of 30)
Rebounds allowed per game 45.6 (22nd of 30) 45.8 (23rd of 30)
Assists allowed per game 26.8 (18th of 30) 29.7 (29th of 30)
Threes allowed per game 14.2 (21st of 30) 16.1 (30th of 30)
Pace (possessions) 101.2 (17th) 104.4 (3rd)

Venue and weather

Kaseya Center · Miami, FLIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Cavaliers vs Heat odds by sportsbook

Book CLE spread MIA spread CLE ML MIA ML Over Under
bet365 +2.5 -115 -2.5 -115 +115 -145 O 11.5 -115 U 11.5 -115
BetRivers +2.5 -108 -2.5 -114 +120 -154 O 235.5 -106 U 235.5 -115
Caesars +2.5 -110 -2.5 -110 +122 -145 O 235 -110 U 235 -110
DraftKings +2.5 -112 -2.5 -108 +120 -142 O 235.5 -105 U 235.5 -115
FanDuel +2.5 -110 -2.5 -110 +120 -142 O 234.5 -116 U 234.5 -106
Fanatics +2.5 -105 -2.5 -115 +120 -145 O 235 -110 U 235 -110

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 7:51 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line Open Now Move
Heat spread -1.5 -2.5 -1
Total 237.5 235.5 -2
Cavaliers moneyline +105 +120 -3.3% win chance
Heat moneyline -125 -142 +3.1% win chance

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Heat spread -2.5 → -2.5
Total 235.5 → 235.5
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More on these teams: Cleveland Cavaliers stats · Miami Heat stats · Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks Nov 11 · Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz Nov 10 · All NBA prop picks

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