Bills vs Jets Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 15, 2026)

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NFL prop picks: today's featured picks
Buffalo Bills logo

Bills7-1 · 6-2 ATS1st in the AFC
1:00 PM ETSun, Nov 15Win % 83–17
New York Jets logo

Jets2-7 · 4-4-1 ATS12th in the AFC

NFL · Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · MetLife Stadium

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Buffalo Bills -420 -7.5 -110 O 50.5 -110
New York Jets +360 +7.5 -108 U 50.5 -105

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 1:16 PM ET.

Bills vs Jets preview

Buffalo visits the Jets on Sunday with Buffalo at -420 on the moneyline, New York at +350, NYJ +7.5 on the spread, and the total at 50.5. The last meeting was January 4, 2026, when Buffalo won 35-8 at home. Buffalo is 7-1 straight up and 6-2 against the spread this season, 8-2 and 7-3 in its last 10, and most recently won 23-6 at Minnesota. New York is 2-7 straight up and 4-4-1 against the spread, 2-8 and 4-5-1 in its last 10, and most recently lost 12-35 at Kansas City. In the last six head-to-head meetings, Buffalo is 5-1 straight up and 1-1 against the spread.

The useful matchup angle is the defense-rank split: New York ranks fifth against the pass at 212.1 yards allowed but 26th against the run at 128, while Buffalo ranks seventh against the run at 91.6 and 26th against the pass at 252.8. Among props, Josh Allen over 28.5 passing attempts at -103 has cleared in 8 of his last 10, and Breece Hall over 13.5 rushing attempts at +106 has cleared in 8 of his last 10.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Bills vs Jets player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5 vs this opponent
Ty Johnson BUF Over 1.5 receptions -134 prophetexchange 90% (9/10) 100% 33.3% (3)
Breece Hall NYJ Over 13.5 rushing attempts +105 prophetexchange 80% (8/10) 80% –
Josh Allen BUF Over 28.5 passing attempts -103 bet105 80% (8/10) 80% –
Amani Hooker BUF Over 3.5 tackles -130 Fanatics 80% (8/10) 100% –
Mason Taylor NYJ Over 1.5 receptions -204 betus 80% (8/10) 80% –

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 1:16 PM ET.

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Tyler BassOver 1.5 field goals made6/8
James Cook IIIOver 19.5 rushing attempts7/10
Adonai MitchellOver 19.5 longest reception7/10

Key matchups

Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.

Braelon Allen vs Bills

Braelon AllenRB, NYJ
VS
BillsDefense vs running backs
Good matchup for Braelon AllenBills allow 5.8 receptions a game to running backs, 3rd most in the league. Allen averages 1.9 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest30th of 32, receptionsSoftest
Receptions over 1.56/10avg 1.9 · 30th of 32 vs RB · +123DraftKings
Rushing yards over 33.56/10avg 62.4 · 10th of 32 vs RB · -103prophetexchange
Receiving yards over 6.55/10avg 10.2 · 26th of 32 vs RB · -112prophetexchange

Mason Taylor vs Bills

Mason TaylorTE, NYJ
VS
BillsDefense vs tight ends
Even matchupBills allow 5.9 receptions a game to tight ends, 12th most in the league. Taylor averages 2.8 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest21st of 32, receptionsSoftest
Receptions over 1.58/10avg 2.8 · 21st of 32 vs TE · -204betus
Receiving yards over 15.57/10avg 24 · 28th of 32 vs TE · -111prophetexchange
Receiving tds over 0.51/10avg 0.2 · 2nd of 32 vs TE · +555Cloudbet

James Cook III vs Jets

James Cook IIIRB, BUF
VS
JetsDefense vs running backs
Even matchupJets allow 0.8 rushing touchdowns a game to running backs, 13th most in the league. III averages 0.8 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest20th of 32, rushing touchdownsSoftest
Rushing tds over 0.57/10avg 0.8 · 20th of 32 vs RB · -128Heritage
Rushing yards over 91.56/10avg 97.7 · 26th of 32 vs RB · -108prophetexchange
Receptions over 1.56/10avg 1.6 · 7th of 32 vs RB · +122Kalshi

Adonai Mitchell vs Bills

Adonai MitchellWR, NYJ
VS
BillsDefense vs wide receivers
Even matchupBills allow 11.3 receptions a game to wide receivers, 16th most in the league. Mitchell averages 2.9 against a line of 2.5.
Toughest17th of 32, receptionsSoftest
Receptions over 2.56/10avg 2.9 · 17th of 32 vs WR · -117Kalshi
Receiving yards over 35.55/10avg 41.2 · 16th of 32 vs WR · -109DraftKings
Receiving tds over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · 31st of 32 vs WR · +295Cloudbet

Ty Johnson vs Jets

Ty JohnsonRB, BUF
VS
JetsDefense vs running backs
Tough matchup for Ty JohnsonJets allow 3.4 receptions a game to running backs, 7th fewest in the league. Johnson averages 2.5 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest7th of 32, receptionsSoftest
Receptions over 1.59/10avg 2.5 · 7th of 32 vs RB · -134prophetexchange
Receiving yards over 15.57/10avg 27.8 · 10th of 32 vs RB · -110Fanatics
Rushing tds over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · 20th of 32 vs RB · +949Stake

Josh Allen vs Jets

Josh AllenQB, BUF
VS
JetsDefense vs quarterbacks
Tough matchup for Josh AllenJets allow 212.1 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, 5th fewest in the league. Allen averages 258.3 against a line of 235.5.
Toughest5th of 32, passing yardsSoftest
Passing yards over 235.57/10avg 258.3 · 5th of 32 vs QB · -110Fanatics
Rushing yards over 28.55/10avg 38.4 · 17th of 32 vs QB · -110ESPN BET
Passing tds over 1.55/10avg 1.6 · 25th of 32 vs QB · -144Kalshi

Betting trends

  • Bills are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10.
  • Jets have failed to cover in 3 straight games.
  • Bills are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings with the Jets.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Bills vs Jets defense vs position

What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 32 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.

Bills defense facing the Jets

Pos Pass yds Rush yds Rec yds Catches TDs
QB 252.826th 12.09th – – 1.926th
RB – 77.610th 40.626th 5.830th 0.923rd
WR – – 146.316th 11.317th 1.431st
TE – – 65.928th 5.921st 0.12nd

Softest spot: 1.4 receiving touchdowns a game to wide receivers, 2nd most in the league.

Toughest spot: 0.1 receiving touchdowns a game to tight ends, 2nd fewest in the league.

Jets defense facing the Bills

Pos Pass yds Rush yds Rec yds Catches TDs
QB 212.15th 15.417th – – 1.825th
RB – 110.326th 28.410th 3.47th 0.820th
WR – – 121.65th 10.311th 1.024th
TE – – 62.123rd 5.618th 0.313th

Softest spot: 110.3 rushing yards a game to running backs, 7th most in the league.

Toughest spot: 212.1 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, 5th fewest in the league.

The props these matchups touchEvery NFL line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen QB228.3 pass yds · 1.4 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
11/10 @ MIN 21/31 234 1 1 15
11/1 vs BAL 21/34 289 2 1 30
10/18 @ LV 23/33 255 2 0 1
10/13 @ LAR 12/19 210 1 1 121
10/4 vs NE 23/33 253 1 1 4
Splits Season Road 2025 vs NYJ
Pass yds 253.4 (8) 258.3 (4) 222.3 (19) 74.0 (2)
0 · 148
Pass TD 1.5 (8) 1.5 (4) 1.5 (19) 0.0 (2)
0 · 0

James Cook III RB96.9 rush yds · 1.6 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
11/10 @ MIN 31 107 1 0 0
11/1 vs BAL 21 80 1 2 21
10/18 @ LV 22 95 1 3 58
10/13 @ LAR 25 111 2 1 7
10/4 vs NE 12 75 1 2 8
Splits Season Road 2025 vs NYJ
Rush yds 101.8 (8) 92.5 (4) 93.9 (19) 73.5 (2)
15 · 132
Rec 1.5 (8) 1.8 (4) 1.9 (19) 0.5 (2)
0 · 1

Khalil Shakir WR4.4 rec · 49.3 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
11/10 @ MIN 4 4 58 0
11/1 vs BAL 6 5 64 0
10/18 @ LV 6 4 34 1
10/13 @ LAR 3 3 80 0
10/4 vs NE 8 7 82 0
Splits Season Road 2025 vs NYJ
Rec 3.9 (8) 3.8 (4) 5.1 (18) 1.0 (1)
1
Rec yds 51.5 (8) 55.5 (4) 48.7 (18) 12.0 (1)
12

Dalton Kincaid TE3.5 rec · 49.3 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
11/10 @ MIN 3 3 28 0
11/1 vs BAL 6 4 86 1
10/18 @ LV 8 7 38 0
10/13 @ LAR 2 1 7 0
10/4 vs NE 2 1 7 0
Splits Season Road 2025 vs NYJ
Rec 3.8 (8) 4.0 (4) 3.4 (14) 3.5 (2)
3 · 4
Rec yds 53.6 (8) 50.8 (4) 48.7 (14) 42.5 (2)
48 · 37

New York Jets

Geno Smith QB219.4 pass yds · 1.4 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
11/8 @ KC 18/32 165 0 0 8
11/1 vs LV 20/32 290 2 1 4
10/25 vs MIA 23/30 287 3 1 0
10/18 @ NE 20/30 252 1 1 -1
10/11 vs CLE 17/30 182 1 0 7
Splits Season Home 2025 vs BUF
Pass yds 230.9 (9) 251.5 (4) 201.7 (15) –
Pass TD 1.3 (9) 1.8 (4) 1.3 (15) –

Breece Hall RB65.6 rush yds · 2.5 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
11/8 @ KC 15 61 0 3 26
9/27 @ DET 13 32 0 3 23
9/20 vs GB 16 29 0 5 63
9/13 @ TEN 22 102 1 2 16
Splits Season Home 2025 vs BUF
Rush yds 56.0 (4) 29.0 (1) 66.6 (16) 29.0 (1)
29
Rec 3.3 (4) 5.0 (1) 2.3 (16) 2.0 (1)
2

Garrett Wilson WR5.3 rec · 62.3 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
11/1 vs LV 12 6 83 0
10/25 vs MIA 3 2 26 0
10/18 @ NE 6 4 44 0
10/11 vs CLE 11 7 104 1
10/4 @ CHI 4 3 27 0
Splits Season Home 2025 vs BUF
Rec 5.4 (8) 5.0 (4) 5.1 (7) 4.0 (1)
4
Rec yds 65.9 (8) 67.5 (4) 56.4 (7) 50.0 (1)
50

Omar Cooper Jr. WR4.0 rec · 61.2 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
11/8 @ KC 11 8 58 0
11/1 vs LV 0 0 0 0
10/25 vs MIA 5 5 115 1
10/18 @ NE 7 6 103 1
9/13 @ TEN 1 1 30 0
Splits Season Home 2025 vs BUF
Rec 4.0 (5) 2.5 (2) – –
Rec yds 61.2 (5) 57.5 (2) – –

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Bills 7-1 6-2 5-3 3-1 4-0
Jets 2-7 4-4-1 4-5 1-3 1-4

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Bills vs Jets head-to-head

Bills are 5-1, 1-1 ATS, O/U 1-1 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Bills won 35-8 on January 4, 2026.

Date Venue Bills result ATS O/U
Jan 4, 26 Bills home W 35-8 W -13.5 O 39.5
Sep 14, 25 Jets home W 30-10 – –
Dec 29, 24 Bills home W 40-14 – –
Oct 14, 24 Jets home W 23-20 – –
Nov 19, 23 Bills home W 32-6 – –
Sep 11, 23 Jets home L 16-22 L -2.5 U 44.5

Recent form

Buffalo Bills: last 10 (8-2, 7-3 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 9, 26 @ MIN W 23-6 W -3.5 U 46.5
Nov 1, 26 vs BAL W 36-10 W -3 U 54.5
Oct 18, 26 @ LV W 33-30 L -5.5 O 54.5
Oct 12, 26 @ LAR W 37-34 W +3.5 O 55.5
Oct 4, 26 vs NE L 26-29 L -7 O 49.5
Sep 27, 26 vs LAC W 24-16 W -7 U 50.5
Sep 17, 26 vs DET W 41-31 W -5.5 O 54.5
Sep 13, 26 @ HOU W 36-31 W -1.5 O 44.5
Jan 4, 26 vs NYJ W 35-8 W -13.5 O 39.5
Dec 28, 25 vs PHI L 12-13 L -3.5 U 45.5

New York Jets: last 10 (2-8, 4-5-1 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 8, 26 @ KC L 12-35 L +8.5 U 47.5
Nov 1, 26 vs LV L 33-38 L -1.5 O 46.5
Oct 25, 26 vs MIA L 25-28 L -3.5 O 39.5
Oct 18, 26 @ NE L 19-26 W +7.5 O 42.5
Oct 11, 26 vs CLE W 17-12 W -2.5 U 38.5
Oct 4, 26 @ CHI L 12-23 L +3.5 U 43.5
Sep 27, 26 @ DET L 24-31 P +7 O 49.5
Sep 20, 26 vs GB L 17-20 W +3.5 U 44.5
Sep 13, 26 @ TEN W 23-10 W +1.5 U 39.5
Jan 4, 26 @ BUF L 8-35 L +13.5 O 39.5

Injury report

Buffalo Bills

  • Tyrell Shavers (WR): PUP-R, Shavers
  • Zane Durant (DT): IR-R, ir
  • Jordan Hancock (CB): IR-R, Hancock
  • Joshua Palmer (WR): IR, Palmer
  • Spencer Brown (OT): Doubtful, Brown
  • Christian Benford (CB): Questionable, Benford
  • Sam Franklin Jr. (S): Questionable, questionable
  • Dorian Strong (CB): NFI-R, nfi-r

New York Jets

  • Tyler Baron (DE): PUP-R, The Jets moved Baron
  • VJ Payne (S): IR
  • Anez Cooper (G): IR-R, The Jets placed Cooper
  • Chip Trayanum (RB): IR, Trayanum
  • Marcelino McCrary-Ball (LB): IR, ir
  • David Onyemata (DT): IR, Onyemata
  • Arian Smith (WR): IR, Smith
  • Joseph Ossai (DE): Questionable, Ossai
  • Kiko Mauigoa (LB): IR, The Jets placed Mauigoa
  • Max Mitchell (OT): IR, The Jets placed Mitchell
  • T’Vondre Sweat (DT): IR, The Jets placed Sweat
  • Garrett Wilson (WR): Questionable, Wilson
  • Trevin Wallace (LB): Out, Wallace
  • Nahshon Wright (CB): Questionable, Wright
  • Harrison Phillips (DT): Questionable, Phillips
  • Omar Cooper Jr. (WR): Questionable, Cooper
  • Adonai Mitchell (WR): Questionable, Mitchell
  • Jarvis Brownlee Jr. (CB): Questionable, Brownlee
  • Kingsley Jonathan (DE): IR, ir
  • Braiden McGregor (DE): IR, McGregor

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Bills defense Jets defense
Points allowed per game 23.4 (16th of 32) 24.8 (20th of 32)
Passing yards allowed per game 252.8 (26th of 32) 212.1 (5th of 32)
Rushing yards allowed per game 91.6 (7th of 32) 128 (26th of 32)
Receptions allowed per game 22.9 (25th of 32) 19.3 (6th of 32)

Venue and weather

MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJOutdoor
45°FclearWind 9 mphRain 1%

Forecast for the start time (Open-Meteo); it can change before the game.

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Bills vs Jets odds by sportsbook

Book BUF spread NYJ spread BUF ML NYJ ML Over Under
bet365 -7.5 -110 +7.5 -110 -440 +340 O 50.5 -115 U 50.5 -105
BetRivers -8 -109 +8 -112 -588 +280 O 50.5 -110 U 50.5 -110
Caesars -7.5 -112 +7.5 -108 -420 +330 O 51 -106 U 51 -114
DraftKings -8.5 -105 +8.5 -115 -425 +330 O 50.5 -115 U 50.5 -105
FanDuel -7.5 -110 +7.5 -110 -460 +360 O 50.5 -115 U 50.5 -105
Fanatics -7.5 -110 +7.5 -110 -450 +340 O 51 -110 U 51 -110

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 1:16 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line Open Now Move
Jets spread +7 +8.5 +1.5
Total 46.5 50.5 +4
Bills moneyline -340 -425 +3.7% win chance
Jets moneyline +270 +330 -3.8% win chance

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Jets spread +7.5 → +7.5
Total 50.5 → 50.5
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More on these teams: Buffalo Bills stats · New York Jets stats · Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings Nov 9 · New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs Nov 8 · All NFL prop picks

Betting guides: NFL player props predictions · anytime touchdown scorer guide · NFL receiving yards props · how parlays work

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