Dolphins vs Colts Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 15, 2026)

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NFL prop picks: today's featured picks
Miami Dolphins logo

Dolphins1-7 · 4-4 ATS14th in the AFC
1:00 PM ETSun, Nov 15Win % 18–82
Indianapolis Colts logo

Colts2-7 · 5-4 ATS13th in the AFC

NFL · Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Lucas Oil Stadium

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Miami Dolphins +180 +3.5 -105 O 37.5 -110
Indianapolis Colts -205 -3.5 -115 U 37.5 -106

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 1:16 PM ET.

Dolphins vs Colts preview

The market lists Indianapolis as a 3.5-point favorite at -205 with a 38.5 total; DraftKings opened the Colts at -6.5 with a 47.5 total. Miami lost the last meeting 8-33 on the road on September 7, 2025, and is 0-2 in the last two head-to-head meetings.

Miami is 1-7 straight up and 4-4 against the spread this season, and 2-8 straight up and 5-5 against the spread over its last 10 after a 9-19 loss to Detroit. Indianapolis is 2-7 straight up and 5-4 against the spread, and 2-8 straight up and 6-4 against the spread over its last 10 after a 23-27 loss to Dallas.

The defensive ranks are the clearest angle: Indianapolis allows 137 rushing yards per game (rank 30) and 27.7 points per game (rank 30), while Miami allows 224.6 passing yards per game (rank 10). Indianapolis also lists Cam Taylor-Britt on IR with a groin injury and Akeem Davis-Gaither out. Daniel Jones over 0.5 interceptions at -113 has cleared in 9 of his last 10, per the listed prop.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Dolphins vs Colts player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Daniel Jones IND Over 0.5 interceptions -113 Kalshi 90% (9/10) 80%
Caleb Douglas MIA Over 42.5 receiving yards -108 prophetexchange 80% (4/5) 80%
Ashton Dulin IND Over 11.5 longest reception -110 BetMGM 75% (6/8) 80%
Justin Walley IND Over 2.5 solo tackles +130 Fanatics 71.4% (5/7) 60%
Zane Gonzalez MIA Over 1.5 field goals made +107 Caesars 70% (7/10) 80%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 1:16 PM ET.

The rest of the Dolphins vs Colts propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Josh UcheOver 3.5 tackles7/10
Spencer ShraderOver 1.5 field goals made7/10
Michael TaaffeOver 5.5 tackles5/8

Key matchups

Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.

Daniel Jones vs Dolphins

Daniel JonesQB, IND
VS
DolphinsDefense vs quarterbacks
Good matchup for Daniel JonesDolphins allow 2.0 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks, 4th most in the league. Jones averages 0.6 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest29th of 32, passing touchdownsSoftest
Passing tds over 0.56/10avg 0.6 · 29th of 32 vs QB · -278BetRivers
Rushing yards over 7.54/10avg 9 · 4th of 32 vs QB · -110BetRivers
Passing yards over 183.54/10avg 178.2 · 10th of 32 vs QB · -110Circa

Seth McGowan vs Dolphins

Seth McGowanRB, IND
VS
DolphinsDefense vs running backs
Good matchup for Seth McGowanDolphins allow 103.6 rushing yards a game to running backs, 11th most in the league. McGowan averages 23.1 against a line of 24.5.
Toughest22nd of 32, rushing yardsSoftest
Rushing yards over 24.55/9avg 23.1 · 22nd of 32 vs RB · +108Kalshi
Rushing tds over 0.51/9avg 0.1 · 8th of 32 vs RB · +319Heritage
Receiving yards over 19.50/9avg 1 · 23rd of 32 vs RB · +550bet365

Jonathan Taylor vs Dolphins

Jonathan TaylorRB, IND
VS
DolphinsDefense vs running backs
Good matchup for Jonathan TaylorDolphins allow 103.6 rushing yards a game to running backs, 11th most in the league. Taylor averages 68.2 against a line of 70.5.
Toughest22nd of 32, rushing yardsSoftest
Rushing yards over 70.55/10avg 68.2 · 22nd of 32 vs RB · -110Fanatics
Receiving yards over 21.55/10avg 23.3 · 23rd of 32 vs RB · -111BetMGM
Rushing tds over 0.55/10avg 0.8 · 8th of 32 vs RB · +120Heritage

Caleb Douglas vs Colts

Caleb DouglasWR, MIA
VS
ColtsDefense vs wide receivers
Even matchupColts allow 146 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, 15th fewest in the league. Douglas averages 59.2 against a line of 42.5.
Toughest15th of 32, receiving yardsSoftest
Receiving yards over 42.54/5avg 59.2 · 15th of 32 vs WR · -108prophetexchange
Receptions over 3.53/5avg 3.8 · 5th of 32 vs WR · +106prophetexchange
Receiving tds over 0.51/5avg 0.4 · 13th of 32 vs WR · +285Cloudbet

Malik Washington vs Colts

Malik WashingtonWR, MIA
VS
ColtsDefense vs wide receivers
Even matchupColts allow 146 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, 15th fewest in the league. Washington averages 36 against a line of 35.5.
Toughest15th of 32, receiving yardsSoftest
Receiving yards over 35.56/10avg 36 · 15th of 32 vs WR · -109prophetexchange
Receptions over 3.55/10avg 3.7 · 5th of 32 vs WR · -104Kalshi
Receiving tds over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · 13th of 32 vs WR · +445Cloudbet

Chris Bell vs Colts

Chris BellWR, MIA
VS
ColtsDefense vs wide receivers
Even matchupColts allow 146 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, 15th fewest in the league. Bell averages 18.5 against a line of 13.5.
Toughest15th of 32, receiving yardsSoftest
Receiving yards over 13.54/8avg 18.5 · 15th of 32 vs WR · -122BetRivers
Receptions over 2.53/8avg 1.5 · 5th of 32 vs WR · +255BetRivers
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Dolphins vs Colts defense vs position

What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 32 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.

Dolphins defense facing the Colts

Pos Pass yds Rush yds Rec yds Catches TDs
QB 223.310th 7.44th – – 2.029th
RB – 103.622nd 36.423rd 4.925th 0.58th
WR – – 123.97th 9.64th 0.67th
TE – – 64.425th 6.525th 0.827th

Softest spot: 2.0 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks, 4th most in the league.

Toughest spot: 7.4 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks, 4th fewest in the league.

Colts defense facing the Dolphins

Pos Pass yds Rush yds Rec yds Catches TDs
QB 238.317th 19.927th – – 1.824th
RB – 111.728th 40.727th 3.46th 0.924th
WR – – 146.015th 9.85th 0.813th
TE – – 50.214th 4.79th 0.829th

Softest spot: 0.8 receiving touchdowns a game to tight ends, 4th most in the league.

Toughest spot: 9.8 receptions a game to wide receivers, 5th fewest in the league.

The props these matchups touchEvery NFL line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Miami Dolphins

Malik Willis QB156.6 pass yds · 0.8 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
11/8 vs DET 13/25 128 0 1 7
11/1 vs NE 21/32 211 2 1 2
10/25 @ NYJ 14/21 208 2 0 37
10/11 vs CIN 15/27 137 1 2 74
10/4 @ MIN 9/17 85 0 0 11
Splits Season Road 2025 vs IND
Pass yds 174.5 (8) 177.5 (4) 105.5 (4) –
Pass TD 0.8 (8) 0.8 (4) 0.8 (4) –

De’Von Achane RB79.1 rush yds · 3.6 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
9/27 vs KC 3 17 0 0 0
9/20 @ SF 20 74 0 3 19
9/13 @ LV 11 36 0 4 30
Splits Season Road 2025 vs IND
Rush yds 42.3 (3) 55.0 (2) 84.4 (16) 55.0 (1)
55
Rec 2.3 (3) 3.5 (2) 4.2 (16) 3.0 (1)
3

Caleb Douglas WR3.8 rec · 59.2 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
11/8 vs DET 8 6 70 0
11/1 vs NE 6 4 43 0
10/25 @ NYJ 3 2 70 2
9/20 @ SF 3 2 19 0
9/13 @ LV 7 5 94 0
Splits Season Road 2025 vs IND
Rec 3.8 (5) 3.0 (3) – –
Rec yds 59.2 (5) 61.0 (3) – –

Greg Dulcich TE3.0 rec · 35.3 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
11/8 vs DET 4 2 14 0
11/1 vs NE 6 4 43 0
10/25 @ NYJ 5 5 86 0
10/11 vs CIN 5 4 37 0
10/4 @ MIN 0 0 0 0
Splits Season Road 2025 vs IND
Rec 3.0 (8) 2.3 (4) 2.6 (10) –
Rec yds 33.8 (8) 30.3 (4) 33.5 (10) –

Indianapolis Colts

Daniel Jones QB204.8 pass yds · 1.0 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
11/8 vs DAL 20/34 180 1 1 11
11/1 @ JAX 19/28 144 1 2 7
10/25 @ MIN 13/22 108 0 1 13
10/18 vs TEN 22/42 269 1 2 30
10/11 @ PIT 24/44 267 0 0 4
Splits Season Home 2025 vs MIA
Pass yds 191.3 (9) 212.5 (4) 238.5 (13) 272.0 (1)
272
Pass TD 0.7 (9) 1.0 (4) 1.5 (13) 1.0 (1)
1

Jonathan Taylor RB78.0 rush yds · 2.7 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
11/8 vs DAL 13 46 0 5 18
11/1 @ JAX 8 23 0 4 24
10/25 @ MIN 18 95 1 2 15
10/18 vs TEN 21 94 1 2 57
10/11 @ PIT 15 45 0 3 37
Splits Season Home 2025 vs MIA
Rush yds 72.9 (9) 76.5 (4) 93.2 (17) 71.0 (1)
71
Rec 2.9 (9) 3.0 (4) 2.7 (17) 3.0 (1)
3

Alec Pierce WR3.0 rec · 61.9 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
9/21 @ KC 1 1 11 0
9/13 vs BAL 6 4 61 0
Splits Season Home 2025 vs MIA
Rec 2.5 (2) 4.0 (1) 3.1 (15) 1.0 (1)
1
Rec yds 36.0 (2) 61.0 (1) 66.9 (15) 36.0 (1)
36

Tyler Warren TE4.9 rec · 38.5 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
11/8 vs DAL 7 4 44 0
11/1 @ JAX 10 4 18 0
10/11 @ PIT 9 7 83 0
10/4 @ WSH 5 5 41 0
9/27 vs HOU 10 9 55 0
Splits Season Home 2025 vs MIA
Rec 5.4 (7) 5.3 (3) 4.5 (17) 7.0 (1)
7
Rec yds 39.3 (7) 37.3 (3) 48.1 (17) 76.0 (1)
76

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Dolphins 1-7 4-4 4-4 0-4 1-3
Colts 2-7 5-4 5-4 1-3 1-4

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Dolphins vs Colts head-to-head

Dolphins are 0-2 in the last 2 meetings. Last time: Dolphins lost 8-33 on September 7, 2025.

Date Venue Dolphins result ATS O/U
Sep 7, 25 Colts home L 8-33 – –
Oct 20, 24 Colts home L 10-16 – –

Recent form

Miami Dolphins: last 10 (2-8, 5-5 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 8, 26 vs DET L 9-19 L +6.5 U 50.5
Nov 1, 26 vs NE L 19-24 W +7 O 41.5
Oct 25, 26 @ NYJ W 28-25 W +3.5 O 39.5
Oct 11, 26 vs CIN L 24-31 W +7.5 O 45.5
Oct 4, 26 @ MIN L 10-15 W +10 U 38.5
Sep 27, 26 vs KC L 10-24 L +10 U 45.5
Sep 20, 26 @ SF L 13-35 L +12.5 O 44.5
Sep 13, 26 @ LV L 13-27 L +3 U 40.5
Jan 4, 26 @ NE L 10-38 L +14.5 O 43.5
Dec 28, 25 vs TB W 20-17 W +5.5 U 44.5

Indianapolis Colts: last 10 (2-8, 6-4 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 8, 26 vs DAL L 23-27 W +4.5 U 51.5
Nov 1, 26 @ JAX L 7-42 L +10.5 O 45.5
Oct 25, 26 @ MIN L 10-16 W +6.5 U 41.5
Oct 18, 26 vs TEN L 20-26 L -6.5 O 43.5
Oct 11, 26 @ PIT L 22-34 L +3 O 42.5
Oct 4, 26 @ WSH W 30-13 W -4.5 U 46.5
Sep 27, 26 vs HOU W 19-17 W +1.5 U 42.5
Sep 20, 26 @ KC L 30-33 W +6 O 46.5
Sep 13, 26 vs BAL L 23-41 L +3 O 48.5
Jan 4, 26 @ HOU L 30-38 W +9.5 O 37.5

Injury report

Miami Dolphins

  • Darrell Baker Jr. (CB): PUP-R, The Dolphins designated Baker
  • Rene Konga (DT): IR
  • Cole Turner (TE): IR, Turner
  • Ronnie Harrison Jr. (LB): IR, The Dolphins placed Harrison
  • Malik Willis (QB): IR, The Dolphins hope Willis
  • Zach Sieler (DT): IR, The Dolphins placed Sieler
  • Chris Bell (WR): Doubtful, Bell
  • Jared Wayne (WR): Out, Wayne
  • Trey Moore (LB): IR-R, ir
  • De’Von Achane (RB): IR, The Dolphins placed Achane
  • Aaron Brewer (C): Out, Brewer

Indianapolis Colts

  • Cameron Mitchell (CB): IR, ir
  • D.J. Montgomery (WR): IR, Montgomery
  • Carson Towt (TE): IR, ir
  • Alec Pierce (WR): IR, When asked Wednesday whether Pierce
  • Micheal Clemons (DE): IR, Clemons
  • Arden Key (DE): IR-R, The Colts are opening Key’s
  • Cam Taylor-Britt (CB): IR, The Colts placed Taylor-Britt on injured reserve Tuesday due to a groin injury, Nathan Brown of The Indianapolis Star reports
  • Akeem Davis-Gaither (LB): Out, Davis-Gaither
  • Jaylon Carlies (LB): Out, Carlies
  • Jalen Travis (OT): Out, Travis
  • Mo Alie-Cox (TE): Out, Alie-Cox
  • Luke Rhodes (LS): Out, Rhodes
  • Jerry Tillery (DT): Out, Tillery
  • Will Mallory (TE): Questionable, Mallory

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Dolphins defense Colts defense
Points allowed per game 25 (23rd of 32) 27.7 (30th of 32)
Passing yards allowed per game 224.6 (10th of 32) 238.3 (16th of 32)
Rushing yards allowed per game 111.8 (17th of 32) 137 (30th of 32)
Receptions allowed per game 21 (14th of 32) 18 (3rd of 32)

Venue and weather

Lucas Oil Stadium · Indianapolis, INIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Dolphins vs Colts odds by sportsbook

Book MIA spread IND spread MIA ML IND ML Over Under
bet365 +3.5 -105 -3.5 -115 +180 -220 O 38.5 -107 U 38.5 -113
BetRivers +5 -112 -5 -109 +163 -278 O 37.5 -112 U 37.5 -109
Caesars +4.5 -117 -4.5 -104 +169 -205 O 37.5 -114 U 37.5 -106
DraftKings +4.5 -112 -4.5 -108 +180 -218 O 37.5 -110 U 37.5 -110
FanDuel +3.5 -105 -3.5 -115 +176 -210 O 38.5 -105 U 38.5 -115
Fanatics +4 -105 -4 -115 +175 -215 O 37.5 -110 U 37.5 -110

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 1:16 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line Open Now Move
Colts spread -6.5 -4.5 +2
Total 47.5 37.5 -10
Dolphins moneyline +235 +180 +5.9% win chance
Colts moneyline -290 -218 -5.8% win chance

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Colts spread -3.5 → -3.5
Total 38.5 → 37.5
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More on these teams: Miami Dolphins stats · Indianapolis Colts stats · Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts Nov 8 · Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins Nov 8 · All NFL prop picks

Betting guides: NFL player props predictions · anytime touchdown scorer guide · NFL receiving yards props · how parlays work

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