Grizzlies vs Warriors Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 23, 2026)

Grizzlies1-0 · 1-0 ATS

10:00 PM ETFri, Oct 23

Warriors0-1 · 0-1 ATS

NBA · Friday, October 23, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET

Team	Moneyline	Spread	Total
Memphis Grizzlies	+150	+4.5 -108	O 236.5 -103
Golden State Warriors	-150	-4.5 +104	U 236.5 -101

Best available prices across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges, updated 10:05 PM ET.

Table of Contents

Grizzlies vs Warriors preview

The Friday night matchup has Golden State favored at -158 on the moneyline and -4.5 on the spread, with a 237.5 total. The last meeting went badly for Memphis, a 112-133 home loss on February 25, 2026, and the recent form is similarly lopsided: Memphis is 1-0 straight up and ATS this season but 2-8 straight up and 4-6 ATS over its last 10; Golden State is 0-1 straight up and ATS this season and 2-8 straight up, 3-7 ATS over its last 10.

The most useful angle may be Golden State’s injury list: Porzingis, Butler, Moody and Bassey are out, while Podziemski is probable. That context matters against a Memphis defense ranked 26th in points allowed (120.7) and 28th in rebounds allowed (46.3), with both teams playing at slower paces (Memphis 98.6, Golden State 98.9).

StatsBench projections also stand out for Podziemski over 13.5 points at -108, cleared in 9 of last 10, with a 21.9-point projection, and Brandon Williams over 12.5 points plus assists at -108, also 9 of last 10, projecting 23.

Top Grizzlies vs Warriors player props

Player	Prop	Best price	Last 10	Last 5	Projection
Draymond Green GSW	Over 0.5 steals	-189 BetRivers	100% (10/10)	100%	1.5
De’Anthony Melton GSW	Over 1.5 assists	-265 FanDuel	100% (10/10)	100%	3.3
Brandon Williams GSW	Over 12.5 points + assists	-108 prophetexchange	90% (9/10)	100%	23
Brandin Podziemski GSW	Over 13.5 points	-110 ESPN BET	90% (9/10)	80%	21.9
GG Jackson MEM	Over 14.5 points + rebounds	-165 Fanatics	90% (9/10)	100%	21

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 10:05 PM ET. See every prop for this game on StatsBench.

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Grizzlies vs Warriors odds by sportsbook

Book	MEM spread	GS spread	MEM ML	GS ML	Over	Under
bet365	+3.5 -115	-3.5 -115	+150	-190	O 236.5 -115	U 236.5 -115
BetRivers	+4.5 -111	-4.5 -109	+135	-189	O 237.5 -109	U 237.5 -112
Caesars	+4 -105	-4 -115	+143	-170	O 236.5 -110	U 236.5 -110
Circa	+4.5 -110	-4.5 -110	+145	-165	O 237 -110	U 237 -110
Cloudbet	+4 -106	-4 -110	+140	-167	O 236.5 -114	U 236.5 -110
DraftKings	+4.5 -115	-4.5 -105	+136	-162	O 236.5 -112	U 236.5 -108
ESPN BET	+4.5 -110	-4.5 -110	+140	-165	O 236.5 -115	U 236.5 -105
Fanatics	+4 -110	-4 -110	+140	-170	O 236.5 -110	U 236.5 -110
FanDuel	+4.5 -114	-4.5 -106	+134	-158	O 236.5 -108	U 236.5 -112
Fliff	+4.5 -115	-4.5 -105	+140	-175	O 236.5 -115	U 236.5 -110
Kalshi	+4.5 -108	-4.5 +104	+150	-156	O 237.5 +104	U 237.5 -108
ProphetX	+4 -104	-4 -102	+150	-152	O 236.5 -103	U 236.5 -101
sportsbet	+4.5 -112	-4.5 -104	+134	-159	O 236.5 -108	U 236.5 -109
Stake	+4.5 -118	-4.5 -111	+135	-167	O 236.5 -111	U 236.5 -111
William Hill	+4.5 -125	-4.5 -110	+138	-175	O 236.5 -118	U 236.5 -118

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 10:05 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this game (Fri 6:50 PM ET): total 237.5 → 236.5, Warriors moneyline -158 → -150.

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Grizzlies	1-0	1-0	0-1	1-0	0-0
Warriors	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0-1

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Grizzlies vs Warriors head-to-head

Grizzlies are 2-8, 1-1 ATS, O/U 2-0 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Grizzlies lost 112-133 on February 25, 2026.

Date	Venue	Grizzlies result	ATS	O/U
Feb 25, 26	Grizzlies home	L 112-133	L +3.5	O 227.5
Feb 9, 26	Warriors home	L 113-114	W +9.5	O 218.5
Oct 27, 25	Warriors home	L 118-131	–	–
Apr 1, 25	Grizzlies home	L 125-134	–	–
Jan 4, 25	Warriors home	L 113-121	–	–
Dec 19, 24	Grizzlies home	W 144-93	–	–
Nov 15, 24	Warriors home	L 118-123	–	–
Mar 20, 24	Warriors home	L 116-137	–	–
Feb 2, 24	Grizzlies home	L 101-121	–	–
Jan 15, 24	Grizzlies home	W 116-107	–	–

Recent form

Memphis Grizzlies: last 10 (2-8, 4-6 ATS, O/U 8-2)

Date	Opponent	Result	ATS	O/U
Oct 21, 26	vs UTAH	W 123-103	W -1.5	U 240.5
Apr 12, 26	@ HOU	L 101-132	L +14.5	O 230.5
Apr 10, 26	@ UTAH	L 101-147	L +4.5	O 247.5
Apr 8, 26	@ DEN	L 119-136	W +23.5	O 247.5
Apr 6, 26	vs CLE	L 126-142	L +13.5	O 231.5
Apr 5, 26	@ MIL	L 115-131	L +7.5	O 230.5
Apr 3, 26	vs TOR	L 96-128	L +14.5	U 233.5
Apr 1, 26	vs NY	L 119-130	W +13.5	O 224.5
Mar 30, 26	vs PHX	L 105-131	L +12.5	O 228.5
Mar 28, 26	vs CHI	W 125-124	W +5.5	O 247.5

Golden State Warriors: last 10 (2-8, 3-7 ATS, O/U 4-6)

Date	Opponent	Result	ATS	O/U
Oct 21, 26	@ LAL	L 105-127	L +6.5	U 233.5
Apr 12, 26	@ LAC	L 110-115	L +3.5	U 229.5
Apr 10, 26	@ SAC	L 118-124	L -10.5	O 228.5
Apr 9, 26	vs LAL	L 103-119	L -1.5	U 222.5
Apr 7, 26	vs SAC	W 110-105	L -14.5	U 233.5
Apr 5, 26	vs HOU	L 116-117	W +3.5	O 227.5
Apr 2, 26	vs CLE	L 111-118	W +10.5	U 230.5
Apr 1, 26	vs SA	L 113-127	W +14.5	O 228.5
Mar 29, 26	@ DEN	L 93-116	L +11.5	U 238.5
Mar 27, 26	vs WSH	W 131-126	L -12.5	O 230.5

Injury report

Memphis Grizzlies

Isaiah Stewart (C): Questionable, Left Ankle Sprain
Cedric Coward (SF): Doubtful, Left Wrist Sprain

Golden State Warriors

Kristaps Porzingis (C): Out, Not With Team
Jimmy Butler (G-F): Out, Right ACL Repair / Surgery
Moses Moody (SG): Out, Left Patellar Tendon Repair / Surgery
Charles Bassey (C): Out, Right Patellar Tendinopathy
Brandin Podziemski (SG): Probable, Bilateral Low Back Soreness

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

	Grizzlies defense	Warriors defense
Points allowed per game	120.7 (26th of 30)	115.2 (15th of 30)
Rebounds allowed per game	46.3 (28th of 30)	43.6 (18th of 30)
Assists allowed per game	27.7 (25th of 30)	26.7 (18th of 30)
Threes allowed per game	13.8 (25th of 30)	12.8 (15th of 30)
Pace (possessions)	98.6 (22nd)	98.9 (20th)