Mavericks vs Cavaliers Prediction, Starting Lineups & Player Props (Nov 14, 2026)

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Dallas Mavericks logo

Mavericks7-5 · 7-5 ATS10th in the West
7:30 PM ETSat, Nov 14Win % 34–66
Cleveland Cavaliers logo

Cavaliers6-7 · 4-9 ATS7th in the East

NBA · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · Rocket Arena

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Dallas Mavericks +100 -1.5 -102 O 231.5 -110
Cleveland Cavaliers +102 +1.5 -110 U 231.5 -106

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 10:45 AM ET.

Mavericks vs Cavaliers preview

Cleveland enters as a -2.5 spread favorite with a -126 moneyline and a 231.5 total. Dallas won the last meeting 130-120 on the road on March 15, 2026; over the last six head-to-head meetings Dallas is 1-5 straight up, 1-1 ATS, with a 2-0 over/under. Dallas is 6-4 straight up and 6-4 ATS over its last 10 and most recently lost 94-133 at Minnesota. Cleveland is 4-6 straight up and 4-6 ATS over its last 10 and most recently lost 121-133 at Miami.

The defensive ranks lean toward Dallas: it allows 112.2 points (12th) and 11.9 threes (4th), while Cleveland allows 115.8 points (20th) and 14 threes (18th). Cleveland is without Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, and Nae’Qwan Tomlin, while Dallas is without Dereck Lively II, Tarik Biberovic, and Sergio De Larrea; Max Christie is questionable. The StatsBench model projects Peyton Watson at 7.4 rebounds plus assists against a 6.5 line at -152; he cleared it in 8 of his last 10. Cooper Flagg’s 5.5 assist line at -160 has also been cleared in 8 of 10, with a 6.3 projection.

StatsBench picks for this game

  • Daniel Gafford OVER 1.5 STL+BLK (+100): pending
  • Meleek Thomas OVER 14.5 PTS+REB+AST (-125): pending

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Top Mavericks vs Cavaliers player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5 Projection
Naji Marshall DAL Over 0.5 steals + blocks -270 bet365 100% (10/10) 100% –
Daniel Gafford DAL Over 1.5 steals + blocks +105 bet365 90% (9/10) 80% –
Zaccharie Risacher DAL Over 0.5 assists -140 Fanatics 90% (9/10) 80% 1.4
Meleek Thomas CLE Over 1.5 threes made -144 Kalshi 90% (9/10) 100% –
Peyton Watson CLE Over 6.5 rebounds + assists -120 Fanatics 80% (8/10) 60% 7.4

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 10:45 AM ET.

The rest of the Mavericks vs Cavaliers propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Jarrett AllenOver 0.5 blocks8/10
Cooper FlaggOver 1.5 steals7/10
Tyrese ProctorOver 2.5 rebounds7/10

Key matchups

Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.

Jarrett Allen vs Mavericks

Jarrett AllenC, CLE
VS
MavericksDefense vs centers
Good matchup for Jarrett AllenMavericks allow 2.3 blocks a game to centers, 6th most in the league. Allen averages 1.3 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest25th of 30, blocksSoftest
Blocks over 0.58/10avg 1.3 · 25th of 30 vs C · -250Fanatics
Steals over 0.57/10avg 0.7 · 13th of 30 vs C · -175Fanatics
Turnovers over 0.55/10avg 0.8 · 23rd of 30 vs C · -190Heritage

Zaccharie Risacher vs Cavaliers

Zaccharie RisacherSF, DAL
VS
CavaliersDefense vs small forwards
Even matchupCavaliers allow 5.8 assists a game to small forwards, 11th most in the league. Risacher averages 1.5 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest20th of 30, assistsSoftest
Assists over 0.59/10avg 1.5 · 20th of 30 vs SF · -140Fanatics
Rebounds + assists over 3.58/10avg 6.3 · 17th of 30 vs SF · -125Fanatics
Rebounds over 2.58/10avg 4.8 · 18th of 30 vs SF · -150Fanatics

Meleek Thomas vs Mavericks

Meleek ThomasPG, CLE
VS
MavericksDefense vs point guards
Even matchupMavericks allow 4.3 threes a game to point guards, 12th most in the league. Thomas averages 2.6 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest19th of 30, threesSoftest
Threes made over 1.59/10avg 2.6 · 19th of 30 vs PG · -144Kalshi
Steals over 0.59/10avg 1.2 · 26th of 30 vs PG · -175bet365
Points + rebounds + assists over 14.58/10avg 16.9 · 26th of 30 vs PG · -120bet365

Daniel Gafford vs Cavaliers

Daniel GaffordC, DAL
VS
CavaliersDefense vs centers
Even matchupCavaliers allow 2.2 turnovers a game to centers, 11th fewest in the league. Gafford averages 1.5 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest11th of 30, turnoversSoftest
Turnovers over 0.59/10avg 1.5 · 11th of 30 vs C · -150Heritage
Blocks over 0.59/10avg 1.8 · 18th of 30 vs C · -180bet365
Points over 7.56/10avg 10.3 · 30th of 30 vs C · -110ESPN BET

Naji Marshall vs Cavaliers

Naji MarshallSF, DAL
VS
CavaliersDefense vs small forwards
Tough matchup for Naji MarshallCavaliers allow 1.8 steals a game to small forwards, 9th fewest in the league. Marshall averages 1.5 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest9th of 30, stealsSoftest
Steals over 0.59/10avg 1.5 · 9th of 30 vs SF · -210bet365
Assists over 2.57/10avg 4 · 20th of 30 vs SF · -115bet365
Turnovers over 1.57/10avg 1.8 · 15th of 30 vs SF · +122Heritage

Peyton Watson vs Mavericks

Peyton WatsonSF, CLE
VS
MavericksDefense vs small forwards
Tough matchup for Peyton WatsonMavericks allow 3.6 assists a game to small forwards, 2nd fewest in the league. Watson averages 2.8 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest2nd of 30, assistsSoftest
Assists over 1.58/10avg 2.8 · 2nd of 30 vs SF · -186Kalshi
Rebounds + assists over 6.58/10avg 7.7 · 2nd of 30 vs SF · -120Fanatics
Blocks over 0.57/10avg 1.6 · 5th of 30 vs SF · -230DraftKings

Betting trends

  • The over is 3-7 in Mavericks’ last 10 games.
  • The over has hit in 3 straight Cavaliers games.
  • Mavericks are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings with the Cavaliers.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Projected starting lineups

Projected starting fives. Teams confirm their starters about 30 minutes before tip and this page updates then. Updated 10:45 AM ET. The badge next to each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent games; green at 70% or better.

Dallas MavericksProjected
  1. PGKyrie IrvingOver 3.5 assists7/10
  2. SGCaleb MartinOver 4.5 points5/10
  3. SFCooper FlaggOver 1.5 steals7/10
  4. PFP.J. WashingtonOver 1.5 threes made7/10
  5. CDaniel GaffordOver 7.5 points6/10

Not in the lineup or in doubt: Dereck Lively II (out), Tarik Biberovic (out), Sergio De Larrea (out), Max Christie (questionable)

Cleveland CavaliersProjected
  1. PGJames HardenOver 2.5 threes made6/10
  2. SGDonovan MitchellOver 5.5 assists6/10
  3. SFPeyton WatsonOver 1.5 assists8/10
  4. PFEvan Mobley
  5. CJarrett Allen

Not in the lineup or in doubt: Sam Merrill (out), Evan Mobley (out), Nae’Qwan Tomlin (out)

Every NBA starting lineup today

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Mavericks vs Cavaliers defense vs position

What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 30 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.

Mavericks defense facing the Cavaliers

Pos Pts Reb Ast 3PM PRA
PGJames Harden 34.923rd 7.823rd 10.926th 4.319th 53.626th
SGDonovan Mitchell 17.91st 5.95th 5.514th 2.42nd 29.32nd
SFPeyton Watson 18.61st 9.03rd 3.62nd 2.11st 31.21st
PFEvan Mobley 28.429th 9.218th 4.726th 3.330th 42.328th
CJarrett Allen 17.817th 12.417th 3.517th 0.51st 33.717th

Softest spot: 3.3 threes a game to power forwards, the most in the league. Evan Mobley is projected to start there.

Toughest spot: 17.9 points a game to shooting guards, the fewest in the league. Donovan Mitchell is projected to start there.

Cavaliers defense facing the Mavericks

Pos Pts Reb Ast 3PM PRA
PGKyrie Irving 33.419th 6.211th 9.822nd 4.215th 49.317th
SGCaleb Martin 23.215th 7.118th 6.321st 3.613th 36.517th
SFCooper Flagg 25.615th 10.918th 5.820th 3.319th 42.317th
PFP.J. Washington 14.14th 6.11st 2.64th 1.36th 22.81st
CDaniel Gafford 24.830th 17.630th 4.226th 2.230th 46.630th

Softest spot: 24.8 points a game to centers, the most in the league. Daniel Gafford is projected to start there.

Toughest spot: 6.1 rebounds a game to power forwards, the fewest in the league. P.J. Washington is projected to start there.

The props these matchups touchEvery NBA line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Dallas Mavericks

Cooper Flagg SF24.6 PTS · 6.9 REB · 6.5 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/12 @ MIN 27 12 7 3 1
11/9 vs IND 38 43 10 6 3
11/8 vs BKN 28 25 5 12 3
11/6 vs UTA 32 21 10 7 1
11/4 @ SAS 40 19 10 5 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs CLE
PTS 24.6 (11) 21.2 (5) 21.0 (70) 26.0 (2)
27 · 25
REB 6.9 (11) 6.6 (5) 6.7 (70) 5.0 (2)
6 · 4
AST 6.5 (11) 5.4 (5) 4.5 (70) 7.5 (2)
10 · 5

Kyrie Irving PG21.6 PTS · 3.2 REB · 4.3 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/12 @ MIN 26 10 3 4 2
11/9 vs IND 38 35 0 4 7
11/8 vs BKN 28 21 3 4 2
11/6 vs UTA 28 14 2 2 0
11/4 @ SAS 35 29 7 5 5
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs CLE
PTS 21.6 (10) 19.2 (5) – –
REB 3.2 (10) 4.2 (5) – –
AST 4.3 (10) 4.0 (5) – –

Sergio De Larrea SF21.0 PTS · 5.0 REB · 4.0 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/26 @ MIA 5 0 1 0 0
10/24 vs SAS 33 21 5 4 3
10/21 @ HOU 6 0 2 1 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs CLE
PTS 7.0 (3) 0.0 (2) – –
REB 2.7 (3) 1.5 (2) – –
AST 1.7 (3) 0.5 (2) – –

Cleveland Cavaliers

Donovan Mitchell SG23.0 PTS · 4.9 REB · 5.6 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/13 @ MIA 32 25 4 7 5
11/11 @ NYK 35 23 7 6 2
11/9 @ CHA 22 11 2 4 1
11/7 vs NYK 37 37 4 4 5
11/6 vs PHI 33 23 7 8 1
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs DAL
PTS 23.0 (13) 24.0 (6) 27.5 (88) 25.0 (2)
26 · 24
REB 4.9 (13) 5.2 (6) 4.6 (88) 1.5 (2)
1 · 2
AST 5.6 (13) 6.8 (6) 5.1 (88) 9.5 (2)
11 · 8

Evan Mobley PF16.9 PTS · 7.3 REB · 3.6 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/11 @ NYK 32 10 5 3 0
11/9 @ CHA 24 9 2 3 2
11/7 vs NYK 32 12 9 5 1
11/6 vs PHI 32 22 6 4 3
11/4 @ OKC 32 16 10 3 1
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs DAL
PTS 16.9 (12) 18.7 (6) 17.9 (83) 23.5 (2)
18 · 29
REB 7.3 (12) 9.0 (6) 8.8 (83) 9.0 (2)
11 · 7
AST 3.6 (12) 3.7 (6) 3.7 (83) 3.0 (2)
4 · 2

James Harden PG16.9 PTS · 4.7 REB · 5.8 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/13 @ MIA 34 20 6 8 2
11/11 @ NYK 33 32 2 4 5
11/9 @ CHA 24 11 3 5 2
11/7 vs NYK 34 7 2 5 1
11/6 vs PHI 29 17 6 3 3
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs DAL
PTS 16.9 (13) 14.2 (6) 22.7 (88) 23.7 (3)
13 · 17 · 41
REB 4.7 (13) 4.5 (6) 4.9 (88) 8.7 (3)
5 · 7 · 14
AST 5.8 (13) 6.0 (6) 7.5 (88) 8.3 (3)
7 · 7 · 11

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Mavericks 7-5 7-5 4-8 5-2 2-3
Cavaliers 6-7 4-9 7-6 4-2 2-5

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Mavericks vs Cavaliers head-to-head

Mavericks are 1-5, 1-1 ATS, O/U 2-0 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Mavericks won 130-120 on March 15, 2026.

Date Venue Mavericks result ATS O/U
Mar 15, 26 Cavaliers home W 130-120 W +14.5 O 233.5
Mar 13, 26 Mavericks home L 105-138 L +13.5 O 236.5
Feb 2, 25 Cavaliers home L 101-144 – –
Jan 3, 25 Mavericks home L 122-134 – –
Feb 27, 24 Cavaliers home L 119-121 – –
Dec 27, 23 Mavericks home L 110-113 – –

Recent form

Dallas Mavericks: last 10 (6-4, 6-4 ATS, O/U 3-7)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 12, 26 @ MIN L 94-133 L +5.5 O 226.5
Nov 9, 26 vs IND W 125-122 L -4.5 O 227.5
Nov 8, 26 vs BKN W 130-93 W -7.5 U 223.5
Nov 6, 26 vs UTAH W 112-100 W -6.5 U 226.5
Nov 4, 26 @ SA L 111-112 W +12.5 U 226.5
Nov 2, 26 vs SAC L 100-115 L -7.5 U 232.5
Oct 30, 26 vs HOU W 116-111 W +5.5 O 223.5
Oct 28, 26 vs OKC W 120-96 W +4.5 U 227.5
Oct 26, 26 @ MIA W 113-109 W +7.5 U 240.5
Oct 24, 26 vs SA L 106-122 L +14.5 U 229.5

Cleveland Cavaliers: last 10 (4-6, 4-6 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 13, 26 @ MIA L 121-133 L +2.5 O 234.5
Nov 11, 26 @ NY W 115-107 W +4.5 O 220.5
Nov 9, 26 @ CHA L 112-124 L -8.5 O 215.5
Nov 7, 26 vs NY L 97-109 L +4.5 U 222.5
Nov 6, 26 vs PHI W 119-95 W +2.5 U 232.5
Nov 4, 26 @ OKC L 116-124 L +3.5 O 226.5
Nov 2, 26 vs OKC L 112-117 L -4.5 U 229.5
Oct 31, 26 @ MIL W 136-111 W -8.5 O 234.5
Oct 29, 26 @ ATL L 111-114 L +1.5 U 237.5
Oct 28, 26 vs WSH W 121-111 W -9.5 U 240.5

Injury report

Dallas Mavericks

  • Dereck Lively II (C): Out, Right Foot Surgery
  • Tarik Biberovic (SF): Out, Right Heel Bursitis
  • Sergio De Larrea (SF): Out, Right Knee Sprain
  • Max Christie (SG): Questionable, Left Ankle Sprain
  • Morez Johnson (PF): Probable, Left Shin / Tibia Contusion

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • Sam Merrill (SG): Out, Merrill
  • Evan Mobley (PF): Out, Mobley
  • Nae’Qwan Tomlin (PF): Out, Tomlin is set to miss several weeks with a lower back stress reaction, Chris Fedor of The Cleveland Plain Dealer reports

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Mavericks defense Cavaliers defense
Points allowed per game 112.2 (12th of 30) 115.8 (20th of 30)
Rebounds allowed per game 42.5 (10th of 30) 45.6 (23rd of 30)
Assists allowed per game 26.9 (18th of 30) 27.6 (23rd of 30)
Threes allowed per game 11.9 (4th of 30) 14 (18th of 30)
Pace (possessions) 101.6 (13th) 101.1 (17th)

Venue and weather

Rocket Arena · Cleveland, OHIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Mavericks vs Cavaliers odds by sportsbook

Book DAL spread CLE spread DAL ML CLE ML Over Under
bet365 +1.5 -109 -1.5 -111 +100 -120 O 231.5 -112 U 231.5 -108
BetRivers -1.5 -103 +1.5 -119 -125 -110 O 231.5 -114 U 231.5 -108
Caesars -1 -115 +1 -105 -120 +100 O 231.5 -110 U 231.5 -110
DraftKings -1.5 -102 +1.5 -118 -113 -105 O 231.5 -110 U 231.5 -110
FanDuel -1.5 -110 +1.5 -110 -120 +102 O 231.5 -114 U 231.5 -106
Fanatics -1.5 -110 +1.5 -110 -120 +100 O 231.5 -110 U 231.5 -110

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 10:45 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line Open Now Move
Cavaliers spread -3.5 +1.5 +5
Total 231.5 231.5 –
Mavericks moneyline +118 -113 +7.2% win chance
Cavaliers moneyline -140 -105 -7.1% win chance

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Cavaliers spread -2.5 → +1.5
Total 231.5 → 231.5
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More on these teams: Dallas Mavericks stats · Cleveland Cavaliers stats · Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Nov 13 · Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Nov 12 · All NBA prop picks

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