Pistons vs Heat Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 23, 2026)

Pistons1-0 · 1-0 ATS

8:00 PM ETFri, Oct 23

Heat0-1 · 0-1 ATS

NBA · Friday, October 23, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET

Team	Moneyline	Spread	Total
Detroit Pistons	-114	-1.5 -108	O 235.5 -104
Miami Heat	+113	+1.5 +104	U 235.5 +100

Best available prices across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges, updated 6:21 PM ET.

Table of Contents

Pistons vs Heat preview

Friday’s Detroit at Miami matchup has Detroit -114 on the moneyline and Miami +113, with Miami +1.5 and a 235.5 total. The last meeting went against Detroit: Miami won 121-110 on March 8, 2026. Detroit is 1-0 straight up and ATS this season and 8-2/7-3 over its last 10, most recently beating Boston 121-113 on October 20. Miami is 0-1 straight up and ATS and 4-6/3-7 over its last 10, after a 106-131 loss to Minnesota on October 21. In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Detroit is 4-6 straight up and 1-2 ATS.

The matchup angle is defense and pace. Detroit allows 108.7 points (rank 4/30) and 22.8 assists (rank 1/30), while Miami allows 118.6 points (rank 22/30), 46 rebounds (rank 26/30) and 14 threes (rank 27/30). Miami plays at the fastest pace in the league (104.6, rank 1), compared with Detroit at 99.9 (rank 13).

StatsBench prop angles include Daniss Jenkins over 2.5 assists at -140, cleared in 10 of 10 with a 4.5 projection, and Duncan Robinson over 12.5 points plus assists at -110, cleared in 9 of 10 with a 16.3 projection.

Top Pistons vs Heat player props

Player	Prop	Best price	Last 10	Last 5	Projection
Daniss Jenkins DET	Over 2.5 assists	-140 bet365	100% (10/10)	100%	4.5
Duncan Robinson DET	Over 12.5 points + assists	-110 DraftKings	90% (9/10)	80%	16.3
Bobby Portis MIA	Over 10.5 points	-110 ESPN BET	90% (9/10)	80%	15
Pelle Larsson MIA	Over 2.5 rebounds	-125 Fanatics	90% (9/10)	80%	3.4
John Collins DET	Over 17.5 points + rebounds	-106 FanDuel	80% (8/10)	60%	16.7

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 6:21 PM ET. See every prop for this game on StatsBench.

Trade Pistons vs Heat on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

Polymarket

Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.

Pistons vs Heat odds by sportsbook

Book	DET spread	MIA spread	DET ML	MIA ML	Over	Under
888sport	-1.5 -118	+1.5 -118	-125	+100	O 235.5 -118	U 235.5 -118
bet105	-2 -102	+2 -110	-120	+111	O 235 -108	U 235 -104
bet365	-1.5 -113	+1.5 -107	-123	+103	O 235.5 -109	U 235.5 -111
BetRivers	-1.5 -112	+1.5 -108	-133	-102	O 235.5 -105	U 235.5 -115
Caesars	-1.5 -115	+1.5 -105	-125	+105	O 235 -110	U 235 -110
Circa	-1.5 -110	+1.5 -110	-125	+105	O 235.5 -110	U 235.5 -110
Cloudbet	-2 -105	+2 -114	-123	+108	O 235 -110	U 235 -109
DraftKings	-1.5 -115	+1.5 -105	-125	+105	O 234.5 -112	U 234.5 -108
ESPN BET	-1.5 -115	+1.5 -105	-125	+105	O 234.5 -115	U 234.5 -105
Fanatics	-2 -110	+2 -110	-125	+105	O 235 -110	U 235 -110
FanDuel	-1.5 -108	+1.5 -112	-118	-102	O 236.5 -108	U 236.5 -114
Fliff	-1.5 -115	+1.5 -110	-120	-105	O 235.5 -110	U 235.5 -110
Kalshi	-1.5 -108	+1.5 +104	-117	+113	O 235.5 -104	U 235.5 +100
ProphetX	-2 -102	+2 -106	-114	+113	O 235 -101	U 235 -102
sportsbet	-1.5 -110	+1.5 -108	-125	+106	O 235.5 -108	U 235.5 -110
Stake	-1.5 -111	+1.5 -110	-122	+104	O 235.5 -111	U 235.5 -111

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 6:21 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this game (Fri 6:21 PM ET): no change in the main lines yet.

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Pistons	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	0-0
Heat	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-0

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Pistons vs Heat head-to-head

Pistons are 4-6, 1-2 ATS, O/U 2-1 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Pistons lost 110-121 on March 8, 2026.

Date	Venue	Pistons result	ATS	O/U
Mar 8, 26	Heat home	L 110-121	L -1.5	O 230.5
Jan 1, 26	Pistons home	L 112-118	L -4.5	U 235.5
Nov 29, 25	Heat home	W 138-135	W +3.5	O 239.5
Mar 19, 25	Heat home	W 116-113	–	–
Dec 16, 24	Pistons home	W 125-124	–	–
Nov 12, 24	Pistons home	W 123-121	–	–
Oct 28, 24	Heat home	L 98-106	–	–
Mar 17, 24	Pistons home	L 101-104	–	–
Mar 15, 24	Pistons home	L 95-108	–	–
Mar 5, 24	Heat home	L 110-118	–	–

Recent form

Detroit Pistons: last 10 (8-2, 7-3 ATS, O/U 7-3)

Date	Opponent	Result	ATS	O/U
Oct 20, 26	vs BOS	W 121-113	W +1.5	O 220.5
Apr 12, 26	@ IND	W 133-121	L -16.5	O 232.5
Apr 10, 26	@ CHA	W 118-100	W +6.5	U 225.5
Apr 8, 26	vs MIL	W 137-111	W -22.5	O 222.5
Apr 6, 26	@ ORL	L 107-123	L -1.5	O 222.5
Apr 4, 26	@ PHI	W 116-93	W -3.5	U 225.5
Apr 2, 26	vs MIN	W 113-108	L -5.5	O 220.5
Mar 31, 26	vs TOR	W 127-116	W -3.5	O 219.5
Mar 30, 26	@ OKC	L 110-114	W +11.5	O 217.5
Mar 28, 26	@ MIN	W 109-87	W -2.5	U 221.5

Miami Heat: last 10 (4-6, 3-7 ATS, O/U 7-3)

Date	Opponent	Result	ATS	O/U
Oct 21, 26	vs MIN	L 106-131	L -1.5	U 240.5
Apr 12, 26	vs ATL	W 143-117	W -10.5	O 239.5
Apr 10, 26	@ WSH	W 140-117	W -15.5	O 243.5
Apr 9, 26	@ TOR	L 114-128	L +4.5	O 236.5
Apr 7, 26	@ TOR	L 95-121	L +2.5	U 240.5
Apr 4, 26	vs WSH	W 152-136	L -18.5	O 245.5
Apr 1, 26	vs BOS	L 129-147	L +4.5	O 229.5
Mar 30, 26	vs PHI	W 119-109	W +2.5	U 242.5
Mar 29, 26	@ IND	L 118-135	L -8.5	O 245.5
Mar 27, 26	@ CLE	L 128-149	L +5.5	O 240.5

Injury report

Detroit Pistons

Elijah Harkless (SG): Out, G League – Two-Way
Isaac Jones (PF): Out, G League – Two-Way
Ugonna Onyenso (C): Out, G League – Two-Way

Miami Heat: none listed.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

	Pistons defense	Heat defense
Points allowed per game	108.7 (4th of 30)	118.6 (22nd of 30)
Rebounds allowed per game	40.1 (4th of 30)	46 (26th of 30)
Assists allowed per game	22.8 (1st of 30)	27.2 (22nd of 30)
Threes allowed per game	12.4 (8th of 30)	14 (27th of 30)
Pace (possessions)	99.9 (13th)	104.6 (1st)