STATE vs BBL Prediction: PGL Cluj-Napoca 2027: Open Qualifier 2 Odds & Stats (Nov 13, 2026)

by
STATE logo

STATE8-2 last 10World #94
10:00 AM ETFri, Nov 13Win % 26–74
BBL logo

BBL7-3 last 10World #38

CS2 · PGL Cluj-Napoca 2027: Open Qualifier 2 · B-tier · Bo3 · Fri, Nov 13, 3:00 PM UK / 10:00 AM ET

Team Match Map 1
STATE 3.50 2.50
BBL 1.25 1.48

Decimal prices. They move, so check your book before you bet.

STATE vs BBL prediction

The market makes BBL the favourite at 74% once the bookmaker’s margin is taken out. STATE won 8 of its last 10 series and BBL 7 of its last 10.

STATE: 0d restSTATE: 8 series in 14dBBL: 0d restBBL: 4 series in 14d

Top STATE vs BBL player props

The prop board for this match isn’t posted yet. It fills in as books open their lines.

Storylines

STATE

Best map: Overpass, 70% across 10 maps.

BBL

Folds when behind: won 4 of 32 maps after trailing by 4 or more rounds.

Best map: Ancient, 63% across 8 maps.

Worst map: Cache, 20% across 10 maps.

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Recent form

STATE

Won 2-0 SAW PGL Cluj-Napoca 2027: Open Qualifier 2
Lost 0-1 XI Dust2.dk Ligaen Season 33: Regular Season
Won 1-0 MASQ Dust2.dk Ligaen Season 33: Regular Season
Won 2-0 103424 United21 Season 58
Won 2-0 NAVI Junior United21 Season 58

BBL

Won 2-0 PRIV PGL Cluj-Napoca 2027: Open Qualifier 2
Lost 0-2 MGC PGL Cluj-Napoca 2027: Open Qualifier 1
Won 2-0 33 PGL Cluj-Napoca 2027: Open Qualifier 1
Won 2-1 WW PGL Cluj-Napoca 2027: Open Qualifier 1
Lost 0-2 HERO DraculaN Season 7

Team comparison

STATEBBL
52%Map win rate45%

n=144 / 58 maps

54%CT round win50%

n=1515 / 606 rounds

49%T round win50%

n=1485 / 620 rounds

48%Pistol win49%

n=285 / 115 pistols

14%Clutch conversion11%

n=1513 / 636 attempts · all teams 12%

53%Trade kill after first death53%

n=1423 / 615 rounds · all teams 52%

8%Overtime rate14%

n=142 / 58 maps

Comebacks and pistols

STATEBBL
24%Won map after trailing by 3+17%

n=86 / 36 maps trailed

12%Won map after trailing by 5+5%

n=49 / 22 maps trailed

41%Won map after losing a pistol38%

n=74 / 29 pistols lost · all teams 42%

63%Won map after winning a pistol52%

n=68 / 29 pistols won · all teams 58%

35%Won series after losing map 19%

n=17 / 11 series

Economy

Round win rate by team equipment value, pistol rounds left out.

STATEBBL
12%Eco (under $5k)4%

n=170 / 83 rounds

16%Semi buy ($5-10k)19%

n=135 / 43 rounds

39%Force buy ($10-20k)41%

n=379 / 133 rounds

60%Full buy ($20k+)58%

n=2031 / 852 rounds

How their rounds end

Share of the rounds each team won.

STATEBBL
61%Elimination60%

n=1555 / 615 rounds won · all teams 66%

22%Bomb exploded25%

n=1555 / 615 rounds won · all teams 17%

13%Defuse12%

n=1555 / 615 rounds won · all teams 13%

4%Time ran out4%

n=1555 / 615 rounds won · all teams 4%

What each team gives up

Last 60 days STATE BBL
Kills allowed per map 70.2 #67 of 238 70.2 #66 of 238
Headshots allowed per map 36.0 #65 of 238 37.0 #101 of 238
Enemy ADR 70.5 #36 of 238 72.6 #90 of 238

Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a higher number is a softer matchup for player overs.

Head to head

No recent meetings in our data.

Map pool

STATE BBL
Map Win CT T Pistol Rounds Win CT T Pistol Rounds
Nuke 62% 29 58% 51% 53% 21.5 53% 17 50% 51% 53% 19.4
Inferno 44% 27 56% 48% 45% 20.3 55% 11 50% 50% 41% 23.4
Ancient 41% 29 48% 46% 48% 19.1 63% 8 59% 59% 73% 20.0
Mirage 43% 23 52% 45% 50% 20.0 36% 11 53% 39% 27% 20.0
Anubis 62% 13 50% 59% 46% 21.8 0% 1 33% 57% 50% 29.0
Cache 67% 3 68% 50% 50% 22.0 20% 10 41% 51% 55% 23.0
Overpass 70% 10 65% 50% 55% 21.4 – – – – –

Win rate with maps played beside it, round win by side, pistol win and average rounds. Maps either team played at least 3 times.

Rounds per map, last 10

WonLost

STATE

28Cac
16Anu
15Inf
14Nuk
23Anu
30Nuk
15Anc
30Anu
23Inf
30Cac

Average 22.4 rounds a map, margin +4.2 (last 10).

BBL

20Mir
22Nuk
24Cac
21Mir
19Nuk
16Mir
16Nuk
21Mir
22Nuk
28Inf

Average 20.9 rounds a map, margin -1.5 (last 10).

Player form

Averages per map over each player’s last 10 maps with the team.

STATE

Player Maps Kills Deaths ADR KAST HS% First kills
kwezz 10 16.6 12.0 92.4 89 53 3.5
Altekz 10 15.8 11.9 81.3 87 49 2.4
sL1m3 10 15.2 11.1 73.5 80 34 1.9
Zanto 10 15.1 11.6 80.6 81 57 1.8
Queenix 10 14.0 11.9 75.4 81 52 1.1

Not seen in the last 5 series: Damkilde.

BBL

Player Maps Kills Deaths ADR KAST HS% First kills
NickyB 10 18.2 14.8 90.5 50 45 0.1
Leakz 10 17.3 15.0 77.4 77 48 0.2
salazar 10 15.3 13.4 68.5 77 36 0.0
MistR 10 12.7 14.9 63.1 73 55 0.3
IceBerg 10 12.7 18.7 62.7 45 51 0.2

Stats vs markets

How each team’s recent results grade the posted prices. The bar is the team’s rate, the tick is the market’s chance with the margin taken out. Small samples swing a lot.

Series winnerthunderpick
STATE3.50BBL1.25
STATE+54 vs market80%

8-2 last 10market 26%

BBL-4 vs market70%

7-3 last 10market 74%

Total maps 2.5thunderpick
Over 2.52.10Under 2.51.65
STATE+13 vs market57%

12/21 Bo3s went 3market 44%

BBL-9 vs market35%

7/20 Bo3s went 3market 44%

Map 1 winnerthunderpick
STATE2.50BBL1.48
STATE+10 vs market47%

28/59 map 1s wonmarket 37%

BBL-13 vs market50%

15/30 map 1s wonmarket 63%

Map 2 winnerthunderpick
STATE2.80BBL1.38
STATE+22 vs market55%

31/56 map 2s wonmarket 33%

BBL-32 vs market35%

7/20 map 2s wonmarket 67%

Map 3 winnerthunderpick
STATE2.70BBL1.40
STATE+18 vs market52%

14/27 map 3+s wonmarket 34%

BBL-16 vs market50%

4/8 map 3+s wonmarket 66%

Odds board

Match lines

Series winner STATE 3.50 BBL 1.25
Total maps 2.5 Over 2.10 Under 1.65

Map 1

Winner STATE 2.50 BBL 1.48
Pistol round1 winner STATE 2.00 BBL 1.72
Pistol round2 winner STATE 2.00 BBL 1.72
Round handicap STATE 1.72 BBL 2.00
Round totals 21.5 Over 1.95 Under 1.75
Map 2 5 markets
Winner STATE 2.80 BBL 1.38
Pistol round1 winner STATE 2.00 BBL 1.72
Pistol round2 winner STATE 2.00 BBL 1.72
Round handicap STATE 1.85 BBL 1.85
Round totals 21.5 Over 2.00 Under 1.72
Map 3 5 markets
Winner STATE 2.70 BBL 1.40
Pistol round1 winner STATE 2.00 BBL 1.72
Pistol round2 winner STATE 2.00 BBL 1.72
Round handicap STATE 1.85 BBL 1.85
Round totals 21.5 Over 2.00 Under 1.72

Decimal prices from thunderpick, stake. They move, so check your book before you bet.

More: All CS2 predictions · Esports · CS2 scores · CS2 prop picks · Pistol round lab

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favoured in STATE vs BBL?

The market has BBL at 74% once the bookmaker’s margin is removed. That is the price, not a guarantee.

When is STATE vs BBL?

Fri, Nov 13 at 3:00 PM UK, 10:00 AM ET, in PGL Cluj-Napoca 2027: Open Qualifier 2, best of 3.

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