Virginia vs Maryland Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 13, 2026)

Virginia Cavaliers logo

Virginia4-0 · 1-3 ATSNo. 6 AP
8:00 PM ETFri, Nov 13Win % 60–41
Maryland Terrapins logo

Maryland1-1 · 0-2 ATS

College Basketball · Friday, November 13, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · XFINITY Center

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Virginia Cavaliers -250 -6 -110 O 153.5 -110
Maryland Terrapins +210 +6 -110 U 153.5 -108

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 5:49 PM ET.

Virginia vs Maryland preview

Friday’s college basketball matchup sends Virginia to Maryland at 8:00 PM ET. The market lists Virginia as the -245 moneyline favorite, with Maryland getting 5.5 points and the total at 152.5 after opening at 6.5 and 154.5.

The last meeting was Dec. 20, 2025, when Virginia won 80-72 at home; in the last one head-to-head, Virginia is 1-0 straight up and 0-1 against the spread, with the under 0-1. Virginia is 4-0 straight up and 1-3 ATS this season, and 8-2 straight up and 4-6 ATS over its last 10, most recently a 95-61 win over Bucknell on Nov. 10. Maryland is 1-1 straight up and 0-2 ATS this season, and 3-7 straight up and 6-4 ATS over its last 10, most recently a 74-86 loss at Georgetown on Nov. 7.

Pace is modest: Virginia ranks 125th at 72.5 possessions, Maryland 215th at 70.1. A StatsBench projection angle is Tomislav Buljan over 6.5 rebounds at -139; he cleared it in 10 of last 10 and the model projects 9.2. Andre Mills over 13.5 points plus assists at -135 cleared in 8 of last 10, with a 16.8 projection.

StatsBench picks for this game

  • Andre Mills OVER 19.5 PTS+REB+AST (+157): pending
  • Mike McNair Jr. OVER 1.5 STL+BLK (+140): pending
  • Tomislav Buljan OVER 7.5 PTS (-105): pending

The poster on X · Every posted pick, graded

Top Virginia vs Maryland player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5 Projection
Tomislav Buljan Maryland Terrapins Over 6.5 rebounds -139 BetMGM 100% (10/10) 100% 9.2
Mike McNair Jr. Maryland Terrapins Over 1.5 threes made +105 Hard Rock 80% (8/10) 60% –
Andre Mills Maryland Terrapins Over 1.5 offensive rebounds +150 Fliff 70% (7/10) 60% –
DJ Wagner Maryland Terrapins Over 2.5 assists +100 BetMGM 70% (7/10) 80% 2.3
Pharrel Payne Maryland Terrapins Over 2.5 turnovers -102 Heritage 70% (7/10) 60% –

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 5:49 PM ET.

The rest of the Virginia vs Maryland propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Chance MalloryOver 1.5 steals + blocks7/10
Thijs De RidderOver 1.5 turnovers6/10
Sam LewisOver 15.5 points5/10

Betting trends

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Trade Virginia vs Maryland on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 4 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Virginia Cavaliers

Thijs De Ridder F17.8 PTS · 8.3 REB · 2.8 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/10 vs BUCK 21 15 8 4 3
11/8 vs ARK 24 16 10 2 2
11/6 vs NE 25 16 6 4 1
11/3 vs DREX 27 24 9 1 2
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs MD
Rec – – – –
Rec yds – – – –

Sam Lewis G15.0 PTS · 3.8 REB · 2.3 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/10 vs BUCK 19 4 4 0 0
11/8 vs ARK 34 16 5 2 3
11/6 vs NE 30 20 2 4 2
11/3 vs DREX 27 20 4 3 4
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs MD
Rec – – – –
Rec yds – – – –

Chance Mallory G14.8 PTS · 2.5 REB · 5.0 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/10 vs BUCK 21 16 2 6 3
11/8 vs ARK 32 15 3 6 3
11/6 vs NE 27 20 2 5 3
11/3 vs DREX 22 8 3 3 1
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs MD
Rec – – – –
Rec yds – – – –

Maryland Terrapins

Pharrel Payne F20.5 PTS · 7.0 REB · 0.0 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/7 @ GTWN 30 28 8 0 0
11/2 vs BUCK 24 13 6 0 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs UVA
Rec – – – –
Rec yds – – – –

Andre Mills G15.5 PTS · 6.5 REB · 1.0 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/7 @ GTWN 19 9 2 0 1
11/2 vs BUCK 23 22 11 2 3
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs UVA
Rec – – – –
Rec yds – – – –
Kaden House G13.5 PTS · 3.5 REB · 1.0 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/7 @ GTWN 21 13 2 2 2
11/2 vs BUCK 18 14 5 0 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs UVA
Rec – – – –
Rec yds – – – –

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Virginia 4-0 1-3 4-0 4-0 0-0
Maryland 1-1 0-2 2-0 1-0 0-1

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Virginia vs Maryland head-to-head

Virginia are 1-0, 0-1 ATS, O/U 0-1 in the last 1 meeting. Last time: Virginia won 80-72 on December 20, 2025.

Date Venue Virginia result ATS O/U
Dec 20, 25 Virginia home W 80-72 L -16.5 U 153.5

Recent form

Virginia Cavaliers: last 10 (8-2, 4-6 ATS, O/U 7-3)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 10, 26 vs BUCK W 95-61 L -38.5 O 151.5
Nov 8, 26 vs ARK W 91-72 W -4.5 O 162.5
Nov 6, 26 vs NE W 97-72 L -33.5 O 159.5
Nov 3, 26 vs DREX W 89-60 L -31.5 O 142.5
Mar 14, 26 @ DUKE L 70-74 W +6.5 O 140.5
Mar 13, 26 vs MIA W 84-62 W -3.5 U 146.5
Mar 12, 26 vs NCSU W 81-74 W -6.5 O 153.5
Mar 7, 26 vs VT W 76-72 L -11.5 O 145.5
Mar 3, 26 vs WAKE W 75-70 L -14.5 U 150.5
Feb 28, 26 @ DUKE L 51-77 L +9.5 U 143.5

Maryland Terrapins: last 10 (3-7, 6-4 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 7, 26 @ GTWN L 74-86 L -3.5 O 146.5
Nov 2, 26 vs BUCK W 96-67 L -31.5 O 148.5
Mar 11, 26 @ IOWA L 64-75 W +11.5 O 133.5
Mar 10, 26 @ ORE W 70-60 W +4.5 U 139.5
Mar 8, 26 vs ILL L 72-78 W +14.5 O 145.5
Mar 4, 26 @ WIS L 45-78 L +14.5 U 153.5
Mar 1, 26 vs RUTG L 65-69 L -4.5 U 143.5
Feb 25, 26 @ NEB L 61-74 W +16.5 U 142.5
Feb 21, 26 vs WASH W 64-60 W +4.5 U 143.5
Feb 18, 26 @ NU L 74-78 W +7.5 O 142.5

Injury report

Our data has no injury report for college basketball. Check both teams’ availability reports before betting a player prop.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Virginia defense Maryland defense
Pace (possessions) 72.5 (125th) 70.1 (215th)

Venue and weather

XFINITY Center · College Park, MDIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Virginia vs Maryland odds by sportsbook

Book UVA spread MD spread UVA ML MD ML Over Under
bet365 -6 -110 +6 -120 -260 +210 O 153 -109 U 153 -120
Caesars -6 -110 +6 -110 -250 +205 O 153.5 -110 U 153.5 -110
DraftKings -6.5 -105 +6.5 -115 -250 +205 O 153.5 -112 U 153.5 -108
FanDuel -5.5 -115 +5.5 -105 -250 +198 O 152.5 -115 U 152.5 -105
Fanatics -6.5 -105 +6.5 -115 -260 +210 O 153.5 -110 U 153.5 -110

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 5:49 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line Open Now Move
Maryland spread +6.5 +6.5 –
Total 154.5 153.5 -1
Virginia moneyline -225 -250 +2.2% win chance
Maryland moneyline +185 +205 -2.3% win chance

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Maryland spread +5.5 → +6
Total 152.5 → 153.5
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More on these teams: Virginia basketball stats · Maryland basketball stats · All College Basketball prop picks

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