Heat vs Hornets Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 24, 2026)

Heat0-2 · 0-2 ATS

6:00 PM ETSat, Oct 24

Hornets1-1 · 1-1 ATS

NBA · Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 6:00 PM ET

Team	Moneyline	Spread	Total
Miami Heat	-140	-3.5 +102	O 230.5 -104
Charlotte Hornets	+135	+3.5 -104	U 230.5 +100

Best available prices across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges, updated 5:39 AM ET.

Table of Contents

Heat vs Hornets preview

Miami is favored at Charlotte, with a -138 moneyline, a 3.5-point spread and a 231.5 total. The last meeting went against Miami: Charlotte won 136-106 on March 17, 2026. Miami is 0-2 straight up and 0-2 against the spread this season, and 4-6 straight up with a 3-7 ATS mark over its last 10. Charlotte is 1-1 straight up and ATS this season, and 6-4 straight up with a 5-5 ATS mark over its last 10. In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Miami is 8-2 straight up and 1-1 ATS.

The pace and defense profiles stand out. Miami plays at the fastest pace in the league (104.6), while Charlotte ranks 21st (98.7). Miami allows 118.6 points (22nd), 46 rebounds (26th) and 14 threes (27th); Charlotte allows 111.5 points (7th) and 39.1 rebounds (1st). StatsBench projects Bam Adebayo at 20.4 points plus assists against a 20.5 line, and Giannis Antetokounmpo at 14.3 rebounds plus assists against a 16.5 line.

Top Heat vs Hornets player props

Player	Prop	Best price	Last 10	Last 5	Projection
Davion Mitchell MIA	Over 10.5 points	-105 Fanatics	80% (8/10)	100%	14.7
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA	Over 0.5 steals	-300 Fanatics	70% (7/10)	80%	1
Klay Thompson MIA	Over 1.5 assists	-105 DraftKings	60% (6/10)	60%	1.5
Moussa Diabate CHA	Over 1.5 stls blks	-110 888sport	60% (6/10)	80%	–
Bam Adebayo MIA	Over 20.5 points + assists	-110 Fanatics	60% (6/10)	40%	20

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 5:39 AM ET. See every prop for this game on StatsBench.

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Heat vs Hornets odds by sportsbook

Book	MIA spread	CHA spread	MIA ML	CHA ML	Over	Under
888sport	-3.5 -118	+3.5 -118	-150	+120	O 230.5 -118	U 230.5 -118
bet105	-3.5 -102	+3.5 -110	-143	+126	O 230.5 -109	U 230.5 -107
bet365	-3.5 -109	+3.5 -111	-160	+135	O 231.5 -110	U 231.5 -110
BetRivers	-3.5 -112	+3.5 -108	-161	+133	O 230.5 -120	U 230.5 +100
Caesars	-3.5 -110	+3.5 -110	-155	+130	O 230.5 -115	U 230.5 -105
Circa	-3.5 -110	+3.5 -110	-155	+135	O 230.5 -110	U 230.5 -110
Cloudbet	-3.5 -104	+3.5 -112	-147	+120	O 230.5 -111	U 230.5 -109
DraftKings	-3.5 -110	+3.5 -110	-155	+130	O 230.5 -110	U 230.5 -110
ESPN BET	-3.5 -110	+3.5 -110	-150	+130	O 230.5 -105	U 230.5 -115
Fanatics	-3 -115	+3 -105	-150	+125	O 230.5 -110	U 230.5 -110
FanDuel	-3.5 -110	+3.5 -110	-154	+130	O 231.5 -110	U 231.5 -110
Fliff	-3.5 -110	+3.5 -110	-160	+130	O 230.5 -115	U 230.5 -110
Kalshi	-3.5 +100	+3.5 -104	-144	+133	O 230.5 -104	U 230.5 +100
ProphetX	-3.5 +102	+3.5 -104	-140	+134	O 230.5 -105	U 230.5 +100
sportsbet	-3.5 -108	+3.5 -116	-147	+120	O 230.5 -112	U 230.5 -111
Stake	-3.5 -110	+3.5 -115	-159	+124	O 230.5 -114	U 230.5 -112

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 5:39 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this game (Sat 2:37 AM ET): total 231.5 → 230.5.

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Heat	0-2	0-2	1-1	0-2	0-0
Hornets	1-1	1-1	0-2	0-1	1-0

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Heat vs Hornets head-to-head

Heat are 8-2, 1-1 ATS, O/U 2-0 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Heat lost 106-136 on March 17, 2026.

Date	Venue	Heat result	ATS	O/U
Mar 17, 26	Hornets home	L 106-136	L +5.5	O 236.5
Mar 6, 26	Hornets home	W 128-120	W +7.5	O 229.5
Nov 7, 25	Heat home	W 126-108	–	–
Oct 28, 25	Heat home	W 144-117	–	–
Mar 23, 25	Heat home	W 122-105	–	–
Mar 10, 25	Heat home	L 102-105	–	–
Nov 27, 24	Hornets home	W 98-94	–	–
Oct 26, 24	Hornets home	W 114-106	–	–
Jan 14, 24	Heat home	W 104-87	–	–
Dec 13, 23	Heat home	W 115-104	–	–

Recent form

Miami Heat: last 10 (4-6, 3-7 ATS, O/U 7-3)

Date	Opponent	Result	ATS	O/U
Oct 23, 26	vs DET	L 111-128	L +2.5	O 235.5
Oct 21, 26	vs MIN	L 106-131	L -1.5	U 240.5
Apr 12, 26	vs ATL	W 143-117	W -10.5	O 239.5
Apr 10, 26	@ WSH	W 140-117	W -15.5	O 243.5
Apr 9, 26	@ TOR	L 114-128	L +4.5	O 236.5
Apr 7, 26	@ TOR	L 95-121	L +2.5	U 240.5
Apr 4, 26	vs WSH	W 152-136	L -18.5	O 245.5
Apr 1, 26	vs BOS	L 129-147	L +4.5	O 229.5
Mar 30, 26	vs PHI	W 119-109	W +2.5	U 242.5
Mar 29, 26	@ IND	L 118-135	L -8.5	O 245.5

Charlotte Hornets: last 10 (6-4, 5-5 ATS, O/U 3-7)

Date	Opponent	Result	ATS	O/U
Oct 23, 26	vs ATL	L 81-128	L +2.5	U 226.5
Oct 21, 26	@ BKN	W 110-103	W -1.5	U 220.5
Apr 12, 26	@ NY	W 110-96	L -14.5	U 217.5
Apr 10, 26	vs DET	L 100-118	L -6.5	U 225.5
Apr 7, 26	@ BOS	L 102-113	L +4.5	U 221.5
Apr 5, 26	@ MIN	W 122-108	W -4.5	O 226.5
Apr 3, 26	vs IND	W 129-108	W -15.5	O 234.5
Apr 2, 26	vs PHX	W 127-107	W -5.5	O 227.5
Mar 31, 26	@ BKN	W 117-86	W -18.5	U 219.5
Mar 29, 26	vs BOS	L 99-114	L -2.5	U 216.5

Injury report

Miami Heat: none listed.

Charlotte Hornets

Kylan Boswell (PG): Out, Boswell
Coby White (PG): Day-To-Day, White
Kon Knueppel (SG): Day-To-Day, Knueppel
Grant Williams (PF): Day-To-Day, Williams

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

	Heat defense	Hornets defense
Points allowed per game	118.6 (22nd of 30)	111.5 (7th of 30)
Rebounds allowed per game	46 (26th of 30)	39.1 (1st of 30)
Assists allowed per game	27.2 (22nd of 30)	25.6 (10th of 30)
Threes allowed per game	14 (27th of 30)	12.7 (14th of 30)
Pace (possessions)	104.6 (1st)	98.7 (21st)