Jazz vs Rockets Prediction, Starting Lineups & Player Props (Nov 13, 2026)

by
NBA prop picks: today's featured picks
Utah Jazz logo

Jazz1-11 · 2-10 ATS15th in the West
8:30 PM ETFri, Nov 13Win % 12–89
Houston Rockets logo

Rockets9-3 · 9-3 ATS4th in the West

NBA · Friday, November 13, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · Toyota Center (Houston)

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Utah Jazz +850 +15.5 -106 O 221.5 -106
Houston Rockets -1250 -15.5 -108 U 221.5 -113

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 8:07 PM ET.

Jazz vs Rockets preview

Friday’s Jazz-Rockets matchup has Houston as a -15.5 favorite with a 221.5 total, after opening at Houston -17.5 with a 217.5 total.

The last meeting was April 3, 2026, when Utah lost 106-140 on the road. Utah is 1-11 and 2-10 ATS this season, with a 0-10 last 10 and 2-8 ATS; its most recent game was a 108-123 loss to Orlando on November 11. Houston is 9-3 and 9-3 ATS, 7-3 and 7-3 ATS over its last 10, and most recently beat Golden State 115-108 on November 11.

The main team-level angle is defense and availability: Utah allows 118.1 points (rank 24) and 45.8 rebounds (rank 24), while Houston allows 106.5 points (rank 4) and 40.7 rebounds (rank 3). Houston is without Steven Adams, Clint Capela and Marcus Smart; Utah is without Lauri Markkanen, Jaren Jackson Jr. and Jusuf Nurkic. On the prop side, Darryn Peterson over 0.5 steals is -159 after clearing 9 of 10, with StatsBench projecting 1.4.

StatsBench picks for this game

  • Airious Bailey OVER 5.5 REB (-105): pending
  • Alperen Sengun OVER 6.5 AST (-120): pending

The poster on X · Every posted pick, graded

Top Jazz vs Rockets player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5 Projection
Darryn Peterson UTA Over 0.5 steals -159 BetRivers 90% (9/10) 80% 1.4
Jabari Smith Jr. HOU Over 1.5 threes made -208 BetMGM 90% (9/10) 80% –
Kevin Durant HOU Over 1.5 turnovers -294 Stake 90% (9/10) 100% –
Alperen Sengun HOU Over 0.5 threes made +120 bet365 80% (8/10) 80% –
Airious Bailey UTA Over 5.5 rebounds +119 prophetexchange 80% (8/10) 60% 7.2

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 8:07 PM ET.

The rest of the Jazz vs Rockets propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the NBA board →
Isaiah CollierOver 8.5 points + rebounds8/10
Tari EasonOver 0.5 blocks8/10
Fred VanVleetOver 8.5 field goal attempts8/10

Key matchups

Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.

Jabari Smith Jr. vs Jazz

Jabari Smith Jr.PF, HOU
VS
JazzDefense vs power forwards
Good matchup for Jabari Smith Jr.Jazz allow 2.6 threes a game to power forwards, 5th most in the league. Jr. averages 2.7 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest26th of 30, threesSoftest
Threes made over 1.59/10avg 2.7 · 26th of 30 vs PF · -208BetMGM
Assists over 1.58/10avg 2.4 · 5th of 30 vs PF · -127Kalshi
Blocks over 0.57/10avg 1.1 · 23rd of 30 vs PF · -138Kalshi

Kevin Durant vs Jazz

Kevin DurantPF, HOU
VS
JazzDefense vs power forwards
Good matchup for Kevin DurantJazz allow 2.7 turnovers a game to power forwards, 8th most in the league. Durant averages 3.1 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest23rd of 30, turnoversSoftest
Turnovers over 1.59/10avg 3.1 · 23rd of 30 vs PF · -294Stake
Blocks over 0.57/10avg 1.4 · 23rd of 30 vs PF · -163Kalshi
Steals over 0.55/10avg 0.6 · 23rd of 30 vs PF · -112BetRivers

Alperen Sengun vs Jazz

Alperen SengunC, HOU
VS
JazzDefense vs centers
Good matchup for Alperen SengunJazz allow 2.2 blocks a game to centers, 9th most in the league. Sengun averages 1.1 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest22nd of 30, blocksSoftest
Blocks over 0.58/10avg 1.1 · 22nd of 30 vs C · -170Kalshi
Assists over 6.58/10avg 7.9 · 13th of 30 vs C · -115BetMGM
Threes made over 0.58/10avg 1 · 15th of 30 vs C · +120bet365

Airious Bailey vs Rockets

Airious BaileySG, UTA
VS
RocketsDefense vs shooting guards
Even matchupRockets allow 7.1 rebounds a game to shooting guards, 14th most in the league. Bailey averages 6.8 against a line of 5.5.
Toughest17th of 30, reboundsSoftest
Rebounds over 5.58/10avg 6.8 · 17th of 30 vs SG · +119prophetexchange
Turnovers over 1.58/10avg 2.1 · 20th of 30 vs SG · -172Stake
Blocks over 0.57/10avg 1.4 · 1st of 30 vs SG · -156Kalshi

Darryn Peterson vs Rockets

Darryn PetersonPG, UTA
VS
RocketsDefense vs point guards
Tough matchup for Darryn PetersonRockets allow 1.4 steals a game to point guards, 5th fewest in the league. Peterson averages 1.4 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest5th of 30, stealsSoftest
Steals over 0.59/10avg 1.4 · 5th of 30 vs PG · -159BetRivers
Threes made over 1.58/10avg 2.4 · 16th of 30 vs PG · -156Kalshi
Assists over 3.58/10avg 4.4 · 5th of 30 vs PG · -130prophetexchange

Brice Sensabaugh vs Rockets

Brice SensabaughSF, UTA
VS
RocketsDefense vs small forwards
Tough matchup for Brice SensabaughRockets allow 2.5 threes a game to small forwards, 4th fewest in the league. Sensabaugh averages 1.6 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest4th of 30, threesSoftest
Threes made over 0.58/10avg 1.6 · 4th of 30 vs SF · -285Kalshi
Rebounds over 2.56/10avg 3 · 14th of 30 vs SF · -114betus
Points + rebounds + assists over 12.56/10avg 12.7 · 14th of 30 vs SF · -119DraftKings

Betting trends

  • Jazz are 2-8 against the spread in their last 10.
  • The over is 3-7 in Jazz’s last 10 games.
  • Rockets are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10.
  • Jazz are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings with the Rockets.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Trade Jazz vs Rockets on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

Polymarket

Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.

Confirmed starting lineups

Both teams have confirmed their starting fives. Updated 8:07 PM ET. The badge next to each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent games; green at 70% or better.

Utah JazzConfirmed
  1. PGKeyonte GeorgeOver 5.5 assists7/10
  2. SGDarryn PetersonOver 1.5 threes made8/10
  3. SFJosh OkogieOver 2.5 rebounds6/10
  4. PFAirious BaileyOver 5.5 rebounds8/10
  5. CJaxson HayesOver 6.5 rebounds + assists7/10

Not in the lineup or in doubt: Jusuf Nurkic (out), Jaren Jackson Jr. (out), Lauri Markkanen (out), Trey Alexander (out), Kobe Bufkin (out), Harrison Ingram (out)

Houston RocketsConfirmed
  1. PGFred VanVleetOver 2.5 threes made7/10
  2. SGAmen ThompsonOver 6.5 rebounds5/10
  3. SFKevin Durant
  4. PFJabari Smith Jr.Over 1.5 assists8/10
  5. CAlperen SengunOver 6.5 assists8/10

Not in the lineup or in doubt: Steven Adams (out), Clint Capela (out), Quadir Copeland (out), Julian Phillips (out), Marcus Smart (out)

Every NBA starting lineup today

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for NBA players. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the NBA board →

Jazz vs Rockets defense vs position

What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 30 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.

Jazz defense facing the Rockets

Pos Pts Reb Ast 3PM PRA
PGFred VanVleet 38.328th 9.528th 11.230th 4.622nd 59.029th
SGAmen Thompson 24.516th 6.511th 3.92nd 2.84th 34.913th
SFKevin Durant 25.112th 10.616th 4.04th 3.012th 39.712th
PFJabari Smith Jr. 24.028th 9.520th 2.65th 2.626th 36.125th
CAlperen Sengun 16.614th 12.923rd 3.213th 0.815th 32.718th

Softest spot: 11.2 assists a game to point guards, the most in the league. Fred VanVleet starts there.

Toughest spot: 3.9 assists a game to shooting guards, 2nd fewest in the league. Amen Thompson starts there.

Rockets defense facing the Jazz

Pos Pts Reb Ast 3PM PRA
PGKeyonte George 27.512th 5.06th 6.75th 3.816th 39.29th
SGDarryn Peterson 27.522nd 7.117th 5.814th 4.117th 40.321st
SFJosh Okogie 25.413th 10.414th 4.45th 2.54th 40.114th
PFAirious Bailey 12.53rd 7.68th 4.624th 1.35th 24.75th
CJaxson Hayes 16.816th 12.116th 3.010th 0.89th 31.916th

Softest spot: 4.6 assists a game to power forwards, 7th most in the league. Airious Bailey starts there.

Toughest spot: 12.5 points a game to power forwards, 3rd fewest in the league. Airious Bailey starts there.

The props these matchups touchEvery NBA line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the NBA board →

Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Utah Jazz

Keyonte George PG20.4 PTS · 4.5 REB · 6.5 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/11 vs ORL 33 13 7 7 2
11/8 @ MIN 29 19 5 8 0
11/6 @ DAL 32 16 6 9 1
11/4 @ NOP 43 39 2 9 2
11/2 @ SAS 22 7 7 0 1
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs HOU
PTS 20.4 (11) 20.6 (5) 23.6 (54) 14.0 (2)
28 · 0
REB 4.5 (11) 4.6 (5) 3.7 (54) 2.5 (2)
4 · 1
AST 6.5 (11) 6.2 (5) 6.1 (54) 5.0 (2)
8 · 2

Lauri Markkanen PF20.3 PTS · 7.7 REB · 2.3 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/6 @ DAL 34 24 8 1 8
11/4 @ NOP 38 21 10 4 5
11/2 @ SAS 30 22 8 3 4
10/31 vs POR 28 13 6 1 2
10/26 vs MEM 6 2 0 0 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs HOU
PTS 18.0 (8) 21.3 (4) 26.7 (42) 25.3 (3)
29 · 29 · 18
REB 6.8 (8) 8.8 (4) 6.9 (42) 6.3 (3)
3 · 8 · 8
AST 2.0 (8) 2.8 (4) 2.1 (42) 1.0 (3)
2 · 0 · 1

Jaren Jackson Jr. C19.7 PTS · 5.7 REB · 2.0 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/26 vs MEM 9 6 3 2 0
10/25 vs LAL 33 20 2 1 1
10/23 vs NOP 33 24 10 3 2
10/21 @ MEM 28 15 5 2 2
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs HOU
PTS 16.3 (4) 15.0 (1) 19.4 (48) 17.0 (1)
17
REB 5.0 (4) 5.0 (1) 5.7 (48) 7.0 (1)
7
AST 2.0 (4) 2.0 (1) 2.0 (48) 1.0 (1)
1

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun C21.1 PTS · 9.4 REB · 7.9 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/11 vs GSW 37 19 13 9 1
11/9 vs DEN 35 20 11 8 1
11/7 @ PHX 31 15 6 5 1
11/4 vs MIN 39 17 12 10 0
11/2 vs BOS 37 26 7 10 1
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs UTAH
PTS 21.1 (10) 21.4 (7) 20.4 (78) 23.3 (4)
19 · 16 · 31 · 27
REB 9.4 (10) 10.1 (7) 9.0 (78) 6.3 (4)
4 · 9 · 8 · 4
AST 7.9 (10) 8.6 (7) 6.1 (78) 8.3 (4)
5 · 9 · 14 · 5

Kevin Durant PF20.9 PTS · 6.1 REB · 3.7 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/11 vs GSW 33 20 4 5 1
11/9 vs DEN 36 23 12 8 1
11/7 @ PHX 37 21 10 3 1
11/4 vs MIN 34 21 5 2 2
11/2 vs BOS 32 12 3 3 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs UTAH
PTS 20.9 (12) 20.3 (7) 25.9 (79) 25.0 (4)
25 · 18 · 32 · 25
REB 6.1 (12) 6.0 (7) 5.5 (79) 6.5 (4)
5 · 5 · 9 · 7
AST 3.7 (12) 4.0 (7) 4.8 (79) 6.8 (4)
6 · 12 · 5 · 4

Jabari Smith Jr. PF16.8 PTS · 6.6 REB · 2.2 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/11 vs GSW 35 14 8 0 2
11/9 vs DEN 37 14 7 3 2
11/7 @ PHX 38 15 9 2 1
11/4 vs MIN 35 11 4 2 2
11/2 vs BOS 36 14 10 0 4
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs UTAH
PTS 16.8 (12) 18.4 (7) 15.9 (83) 19.0 (4)
18 · 31 · 12 · 15
REB 6.6 (12) 7.9 (7) 7.0 (83) 5.8 (4)
5 · 9 · 7 · 2
AST 2.2 (12) 2.3 (7) 1.9 (83) 1.0 (4)
0 · 0 · 1 · 3

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Jazz 1-11 2-10 4-8 1-6 0-5
Rockets 9-3 9-3 7-5 6-1 3-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Jazz vs Rockets head-to-head

Jazz are 3-7, 1-3 ATS, O/U 3-1 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Jazz lost 106-140 on April 3, 2026.

Date Venue Jazz result ATS O/U
Apr 3, 26 Rockets home L 106-140 L +18.5 O 231.5
Feb 23, 26 Rockets home L 105-125 L +13.5 O 228.5
Dec 1, 25 Jazz home W 133-125 W +11.5 O 235.5
Nov 30, 25 Jazz home L 101-129 L +11.5 U 233.5
Apr 2, 25 Rockets home L 105-143 – –
Mar 27, 25 Jazz home L 110-121 – –
Feb 22, 25 Jazz home W 124-115 – –
Apr 11, 24 Jazz home W 124-121 – –
Mar 29, 24 Jazz home L 100-101 – –
Mar 23, 24 Rockets home L 119-147 – –

Recent form

Utah Jazz: last 10 (0-10, 2-8 ATS, O/U 3-7)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 11, 26 vs ORL L 108-123 L +4.5 O 215.5
Nov 10, 26 vs MIA L 109-115 W +8.5 U 227.5
Nov 8, 26 @ MIN L 100-115 L +12.5 U 222.5
Nov 6, 26 @ DAL L 100-112 L +6.5 U 226.5
Nov 4, 26 @ NO L 113-120 L +5.5 O 231.5
Nov 2, 26 @ SA L 97-119 L +16.5 U 226.5
Oct 31, 26 vs POR L 90-112 L +6.5 U 232.5
Oct 28, 26 vs SA L 111-117 W +13.5 U 232.5
Oct 26, 26 vs MEM L 105-110 L +1.5 U 237.5
Oct 25, 26 vs LAL L 123-132 L +6.5 O 237.5

Houston Rockets: last 10 (7-3, 7-3 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 11, 26 vs GS W 115-108 W -6.5 O 219.5
Nov 9, 26 vs DEN W 110-100 W -4.5 U 224.5
Nov 7, 26 @ PHX L 99-102 L -6.5 U 223.5
Nov 4, 26 vs MIN L 107-117 L -7.5 O 219.5
Nov 2, 26 vs BOS W 109-93 W -4.5 U 215.5
Oct 31, 26 vs OKC W 119-98 W -2.5 U 219.5
Oct 30, 26 @ DAL L 111-116 L -5.5 O 223.5
Oct 28, 26 @ MIL W 132-100 W -8.5 O 226.5
Oct 26, 26 vs ATL W 120-110 W -4.5 O 228.5
Oct 24, 26 @ ATL W 121-114 W -1.5 O 227.5

Injury report

Utah Jazz

  • Jusuf Nurkic (C): Out, Right 2nd Plantar Plate Tear
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. (C): Out, Right MCL Tear
  • Lauri Markkanen (PF): Out, Right Hand Fracture
  • Trey Alexander (SG): Out, G League – Two-Way
  • Kobe Bufkin (PG): Out, G League – Two-Way
  • Harrison Ingram (SF): Out, G League – Two-Way

Houston Rockets

  • Steven Adams (C): Out, Right Soleus Strain
  • Clint Capela (C): Out, Right Ankle Sprain
  • Quadir Copeland (PG): Out, G League – Two-Way
  • Julian Phillips (SF): Out, G League – Two-Way
  • Marcus Smart (SG): Out, League Suspension

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Jazz defense Rockets defense
Points allowed per game 118.1 (24th of 30) 106.5 (4th of 30)
Rebounds allowed per game 45.8 (24th of 30) 40.7 (3rd of 30)
Assists allowed per game 22.6 (1st of 30) 23.7 (4th of 30)
Threes allowed per game 12.7 (12th of 30) 12.1 (6th of 30)
Pace (possessions) 102 (9th) 98.8 (26th)

Venue and weather

Toyota Center (Houston) · Houston, TXIndoor, weather won’t matter
Compare NBA playersHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books, side by side. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the NBA board →

Jazz vs Rockets odds by sportsbook

Book UTAH spread HOU spread UTAH ML HOU ML Over Under
bet365 +15.5 -109 -15.5 -111 +850 -1401 O 220.5 -114 U 220.5 -106
BetRivers +15.5 -111 -15.5 -110 +650 -1250 O 222.5 -109 U 222.5 -112
Caesars +15.5 -110 -15.5 -110 +800 -1401 O 220 -110 U 220 -110
DraftKings +15.5 -112 -15.5 -108 +810 -1340 O 221.5 -107 U 221.5 -113
FanDuel +15.5 -106 -15.5 -114 +830 -1400 O 221.5 -106 U 221.5 -116
Fanatics +15.5 -110 -15.5 -110 +800 -1300 O 221 -110 U 221 -110

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 8:07 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line Open Now Move
Rockets spread -17.5 -15.5 +2
Total 217.5 221.5 +4
Jazz moneyline +900 +740 +1.9% win chance
Rockets moneyline -1580 -1180 -1.9% win chance

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Rockets spread -17.5 → -15.5
Total 219 → 221.5
Shop the player props tooProp prices across 30+ sportsbooks and pick’em apps, with hit rates beside them. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the NBA board →

More on these teams: Utah Jazz stats · Houston Rockets stats · Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Nov 11 · Orlando Magic vs Utah Jazz Nov 11 · All NBA prop picks

Betting guides: NBA player props guide · how to predict NBA props · NBA first basket guide · how parlays work

21+. Research, not a guarantee: every bet can lose. Bet within your means; if gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Today's NBA picks

Dyson DanielsOVER 2.5 points · @ CHI
10/10
Ty JeromeOVER 5.5 points · @ NOP
10/10
Franz WagnerOVER 2.5 turnovers · vs MIL
10/10
All of today's NBA picks →
Today's prop boardHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today's props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the board →

Latest

1Bet Tracker: What to Record and Why It Matters
2Betting Splits Explained: Tickets vs Money
3What Does the Spread Mean in Betting?
4Round Robin Bet: How It Actually Works
5NFL Snap Counts: Week 10 Snap Counts and Snap Share by Team (2026)

The morning slate, by email

Join the StatsBench DiscordPicks, results and prop talk, live on game daysFollow @stats_bench on XToday's picks, results and line moves as they happen