Hit Rate Percentages: What 60% Really Means
Hit rate percentages look simple until you price them. Learn what a 60% prop hit rate is worth, when it beats the vig, and how to read it honestly.
WNBA Prop Picks
Jackie Youngpoints rebounds OVER 24.5 · @ TOR90% L10
Jackie Youngfg3 pt made OVER 2.5 · @ TOR80% L10
Kelsey Mitchellpoints assists OVER 27.5 · @ CHI80% L10
MLB Prop Picks
Chandler Simpsonsingles OVER 0.5 · @ BAL100% L10
Alejandro Kirkhits OVER 0.5 · @ NYY100% L10
Pete Alonsohits OVER 0.5 · vs TB100% L10
MLS Prop Picks
Moisés Mosquerafouls OVER 0.5 · @ ATL100% L3
J. Harrisonfouls won OVER 0.5 · vs NYC100% L3
Dejan Joveljićshots on target OVER 0.5 · @ ATL90% L10
CS2 Prop Picks
Krabenimap1 kills OVER 13.5 · vs Spirit90% L10
salazarmap1 kills OVER 11.5 · @ Lavked90% L10
dem0nmap1 kills OVER 14.5 · vs Spirit70% L10
LoL Prop Picks
Dardochmap1 kills OVER 2.5 · vs FlyQuest80% L10
Kingenmap1 kills OVER 2.5 · @ BNK FEARX80% L10
Scoutmap1 kills OVER 3.5 · @ BNK FEARX80% L10
Valorant Prop Picks
Kachowwmap1 kills OVER 18.5 · @ BBL Esports90% L10
Akamemap1 kills OVER 15.5 · @ T190% L10
GLYPHmap2 deaths OVER 13.5 · vs G2 Esports90% L10Hit rate percentages look simple until you price them. Learn what a 60% prop hit rate is worth, when it beats the vig, and how to read it honestly.
Hit rate vs edge in player props: what each number really means, why a 60% hit rate can still be a bad bet, and how to read both together.
A data-first guide to points + rebounds combo props: why combos price differently, how to read hit rates, and where the soft lines hide. 21+.
How to use bench stats to price backup player props: minutes, usage, blowout risk and real StatsBench hit-rate examples. 21+, long-run variance applies.