Most NFL running backs live in one market. Bijan Robinson props live in two. He takes the carries between the tackles, and he catches passes out of the backfield, so books post him rushing lines, receiving lines, and combined lines that blend the two.
In a StatsBench cheatsheet snapshot from October 5, 2026 (Falcons at Saints), two of his numbers stood out. His longest rush line at 17.5 yards showed a 12.8% edge at a best price of -110. His combined rushing and receiving yards line at 132.5 showed a 15.1% edge at -113.
Those are snapshot values, not predictions. They show where price and research disagreed on one date. Here is how to read each market, and how to research his lines for any slate.
What Bijan Robinson props are on the board in 2026?
Featured backs get a full menu. For Robinson, the standard board looks like this:
- Rushing yards
- Longest rush
- Receptions and receiving yards
- Longest reception
- Rushing plus receiving yards (one combined number)
- Anytime touchdown and total touchdowns
Each one asks a different question about the same player. A back who grinds out steady carries can clear a rushing yards number without ever threatening a longest rush line. A back who gets scripted out of the passing game can post a quiet receiving line and still score twice.
The StatsBench NFL props board shows current lines, hit rates, and best available price across books for markets like these.
Here is how that October 5, 2026 snapshot looked for him, straight from the StatsBench cheatsheet.
| Market | Line | Hit rate (L10) | StatsBench edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing + receiving yards | 132.5 | 60% (6/10) | 15.1% | -113 |
| Longest rush | 17.5 | 60% (6/10) | 12.8% | -110 |
| Longest reception | 14.5 | 60% (6/10) | 6.4% | -114 |
| Touchdowns | 0.5 | 60% (6/10) | 0.3% | -163 |
| Anytime touchdown | 0.5 | 60% (6/10) | 0.3% | -163 |
Lines and edges move constantly. This is one dated example, not a standing recommendation.
Where the gap actually showed up
The two widest edges sat on the two markets that combine his workload. Longest rush and combined rushing plus receiving yards both price a back who touches the ball in several different ways. Books have a harder time setting those numbers than a plain rushing total, because the result depends on play calling and game script as much as on talent.
For contrast, look at the touchdown market. A 0.3% edge at -163 is close to a coin flip between the book’s number and the fair price. That is what a sharp market looks like. When you see a gap as wide as 15%, one of three things is usually true: the book is slow to move, the sample behind the number is thin, or both.
A wide edge is a signal to look closer, not a signal to bet bigger.
How much should a 6-of-10 hit rate tell you?
Less than the percentage suggests. Ten games is a small sample, and 60% over 10 games is not the same evidence as 60% over 100. The margin of error around a 6-of-10 record is wide enough that his true rate could sit well above or well below that figure.
That is why hit rate should never be your only filter. StatsBench pairs it with a consistency grade and an SB Score, and the three together tell a better story than any one alone. A player who clears a line six games in a row is a different bet from a player who cleared it twice, missed twice, then hit four straight, even when both finish 6 of 10. There is more on that in Hit Rate vs Edge.
Longest rush and longest reception lines are volatility bets
These two markets hinge on a single play. A 17.5-yard longest rush line can be decided by one cutback in the second quarter. A 14.5-yard longest reception line can be settled by one screen pass that breaks.
In the snapshot, the longest rush line showed a 12.8% edge and the longest reception line showed 6.4%. Same player, same game, very different confidence levels. Big-play markets deserve a bigger discount for variance than volume markets do. If you want the mechanics behind those numbers, the longest reception props guide walks through them.
His receiving work changes the math on rushing lines
A running back who catches passes is a different animal from a pure early-down grinder. Targets add a second path to yards, and they push his combined line higher than his rushing line alone would suggest. That is why the combined market is often the cleanest way to express a view on his role.
The flip side: receiving work can also steal carries. If the offense leans on him as a checkdown option, his rushing attempts can dip. That trade-off is worth checking before you take an over on a rushing number. For background, see the NFL receptions props guide and the rushing yards props breakdown. His career profile and role history are on Wikipedia.
Anytime touchdown props: what a 0.3% edge tells you
Touchdown props are usually the most efficiently priced markets on the board, and this snapshot backs that up. The anytime touchdown line at -163 implied a little under 62% (divide 163 by 263 to get it). StatsBench’s fair price sat within a rounding error of the best posted number, which is why the edge read 0.3%.
Thin edges are not useless. They just mean price shopping decides whether the bet is worth making at all. At -163 the math is different from -185 on the same line, and the spread between the best and worst price on a market like this is often wider than the edge itself. Run the numbers with the free implied probability calculator before you take a short price.
How to research his props before kickoff
A repeatable process beats a hot take. Five steps, in order:
- Start with the combined market. Rushing plus receiving yards captures his whole role in one number.
- Check the matchup. The Defensive Rankings vs Position show which defenses give up production to his position.
- Weigh consistency, not just hit rate. A steady 6 of 10 reads better than a streaky 6 of 10.
- Shop the price across roughly 60 books. The best number on the same line is free value every time.
- Save your filters. The Prop Finder sorts by SB Score, edge, trend, home/away, and rest, and you can reuse the setup all season.
Official game and player context lives at NFL.com’s stats hub. A free StatsBench account also unlocks the Sharps feed and the Bet Tracker journal, which is where you log whether your process actually worked.
The honest part
An edge is a long-run idea, not a promise. A 15% edge can lose on Sunday and still have been the right side of the math. That is variance, and it cuts both ways.
StatsBench is research, not picks. You make the call, you set the stake, and you should only bet money you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Must be 21 or older, and availability varies by state.
Live board
See today’s NFL player props on StatsBench
Live lines, last-10 hit rates and the best price across about 60 books.
Open the NFL player props board →
Prefer email? Get the daily picks newsletter.
Frequently Asked Questions
What Bijan Robinson props can I bet in 2026?
Most books post rushing yards, longest rush, receptions, receiving yards, longest reception, rushing plus receiving yards, and anytime touchdown markets for him. Which ones are live depends on the book and the week.
What did the StatsBench data show on his lines?
In a snapshot dated October 5, 2026, his combined rushing and receiving yards line at 132.5 carried a 15.1% edge at -113, and his longest rush line at 17.5 carried a 12.8% edge at -110. Both markets read a 60% hit rate over his last 10 games.
Is a 60% hit rate on his props a strong signal?
It is one input, not a verdict. Ten games is a small sample, so a 6-of-10 record leaves a wide margin of error. StatsBench pairs hit rate with a consistency grade and an SB Score so you can see whether the record was steady or streaky.
Does a 12.8% edge mean the bet wins?
No. An edge is the gap between the fair price and the best posted price over a large sample. One game can go either way, and short-term results are mostly variance.
How often do his prop lines move?
Prices shift as money comes in and as news breaks, so a line you saw this morning may be gone by kickoff. StatsBench odds and edges refresh continuously, which is why the snapshot numbers here are dated.